AC Milan vs Ferencvaros: tipster picks, odds and form
Text written 5 Nov, 15:50, the numbers in the blocks stay live
FerencvarosWhat tipsters picked for AC Milan vs Ferencvaros
The tipsters are almost all on one side. 17 of the 19 tipsters we tracked picked AC Milan to win. Not one picked Ferencvaros to win, and nobody picked both sides.
The other 2 made no winner pick. sharpbetsclub picked both teams to score. Moneylinehacks took Ferencvaros on a 0 handicap, which pays if they win and refunds a draw. Victoryedge12 also picked both teams to score, alongside a Milan win.
- AC Milan over 1.52
- AC Milan over 0.52
- AC Milan or draw2
Can you trust these tipsters?
This is broad support, but not elite support. The best-ranked of these tipsters is carlaBets, at 123rd out of 803 on our leaderboard. None of the 19 is in the top 100. Only 5 have an index above 55, which is just a modest edge on our scale.
13 of the tipsters backing Milan have graded picks in the Europa League. Together they won 65% of 552 picks. The expected share from the odds and team strength was 66%, so they did no better than expected. The other 4 have no graded picks in this competition.
A few individual records stand out. TheBeardWiz won 73% of 30 picks here, against 59% expected. metapred_ won 80% of 10, and AdamsSmith7w won all 4, but those samples are too small to read. Live2Sport_com won only 35% of 34, against 51% expected.
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AC Milan vs Ferencvaros odds
The bookmaker agrees with the tipsters. Milan are priced at 1.357. With the margin removed, that is about a 70% chance of a home win. You would need them to win 74% of the time just to break even at that price.
The draw is at 5.5, about 17%. Ferencvaros are at 7.5, about 13%. The price on Milan has drifted slightly since opening at 1.323. Ferencvaros have shortened a little from 8.0.
The goals line is 3.5. The prices give about a 43% chance of 4 goals or more. The bookmaker's margin on the result market is about 5%.
| DraftKings | Open | Now | No margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| AC Milan | 1.32 | 1.36 | 70% |
| Draw | 5.25 | 5.50 | 17% |
| Ferencvaros | 8.00 | 7.50 | 13% |
| Over 3.5 | 2.30 | 2.15 | 44% |
Form and the table
Milan have been up and down, winning 3 of their last 5. Most recent first, they beat Inter 3-1, lost 2-4 to Bologna, won 2-0 at Udinese, lost 0-3 at AFC Bournemouth in the Europa League and beat Atalanta 3-2.
Ferencvaros are unbeaten in 5, with 4 wins. Most recent first, they beat Paksi SE 2-0, beat MTK Budapest 5-0, beat Torreense 4-1 in the Europa League, drew 1-1 at Kisvarda FC and beat Viktoria Plzen 2-1 in the Europa League.
The Europa League table points the other way from the prices. Ferencvaros are 5th of 36, with 9 points from 3 wins. Their goal difference is +6. Milan are 24th, with 3 points from 3 games and a goal difference of -1.
AC Milan
24 of 36 · 3 pts · W1 D0 L2
- W3:1InterSerie A
- L2:4BolognaSerie A
- W2:0@ UdineseSerie A
- L0:3@ AFC BournemouthEuropa League
- W3:2AtalantaSerie A
Ferencvaros
5 of 36 · 9 pts · W3 D0 L0
- W2:0Paksi SENB I
- W5:0MTK BudapestNB I
- W4:1TorreenseEuropa League
- D1:1@ Kisvarda FCNB I
- W2:1Viktoria PlzenEuropa League
How often is the majority right?
In the Europa League, the side most tipsters picked has won 67% of 67 matches we graded. The expected share was 64%. Across all competitions, the majority pick won 64% of 6,770 matches, against 61% expected.
That win rate is not the same as profit. The majority usually backs the favourite, and favourites pay little when they win. Across 109,166 priced picks from all tipsters, the return was -3.4%. Our backtests found no proven profit in following tipsters.