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Mr Raypicks ⭐

@MrRaypicks9902.4K followersfirst pick 22 Augusually posts 15 h before start

Honest sports Analyst 💯

FootballTennisBaseballNFL & NCAAFBasketballHockeyCricket
Tipster index54.4#265 on the leaderboarddown 28 this weekestablished sample

Open picks 6

Games not played yet
WTA 250 · Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open·
Viktorija Golubic
live
Katie Boulter
Katie Boulter to win@1.73
WTA 250 · Chennai Open·
Aliona Falei
-:-
Magda Linette
Magda Linette to win@1.43
ATP 1000 · Paris Masters·
Ignacio Buse
-:-
Zizou Bergs
Zizou Bergs to win@1.36
ATP 1000 · Paris Masters·
Casper Ruud
-:-
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Casper Ruud to win@1.33
ATP 1000 · Paris Masters·
Kyrian Jacquet
-:-
Tomas Machac
Tomas Machac to win@1.61
ATP Challenger · Bratislava 2, Slovakia·
Luka Pavlovic
-:-
Alexander Shevchenko
Alexander Shevchenko to win@1.49
Hit rate
61.6%
expected 59.4%
Edge
+2.2 pp
hit rate at least 59.9% with 95% confidence: the edge is not luck
Graded
2,231
1371-854-6 · 25 pending
ROI
−4.6%
on 1382 picks with odds · max drawdown −73.61 u
Average odds
1.70
singles with odds
Form
streak W4 · best W18, worst L8

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-200204021 Aug8 Sept26 Sept14 Oct1 Nov

By sport

Football704-368-4 · 1076 graded
+3.9
66%
Tennis248-182 · 430 graded
+0.6
58%
Baseball198-134-1 · 333 graded
+2.7
60%
NFL & NCAAF149-102-1 · 252 graded
+1.3
59%
Basketball43-33 · 76 graded
−0.3
57%
Hockey28-35 · 63 graded
−10.3
44%
Cricket1-0 · 1 graded
+24.6
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result962-597-1 · 1560 graded
+2.0
62%
Handicap145-74-3 · 222 graded
+4.8
66%
Totals135-69-2 · 206 graded
−1.4
66%
Parlays24-80 · 104 graded
−0.8
23%
Both teams to score35-18 · 53 graded
+9.3
66%
Double chance39-5 · 44 graded
+15.4
89%
Team totals31-11 · 42 graded
−0.1
74%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite826-297-2 · 1125 graded
+1.8
74%
Even463-384-4 · 851 graded
+2.4
55%
Underdog58-93 · 151 graded
+6.4
38%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.50373-110 · 483 graded
+1.0%
77%
1.50…1.89347-254-2 · 603 graded
−3.8%
58%
1.90…2.2976-96-1 · 173 graded
−8.5%
44%
2.30…3.4930-57 · 87 graded
−12.0%
34%
3.50+2-15 · 17 graded
−45.9%
12%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 4 of 4 months with 5+ picks
  • August 2026
    +3.5 pp
    205-128-2 · 62%
    ROI +1.6%
  • September 2026
    +3.3 pp
    651-384-3 · 63%
    ROI −6.1%
  • October 2026
    +0.4 pp
    504-338-1 · 60%
    ROI −5.7%
  • November 2026
    +8.4 pp
    11-4 · 73%
    ROI +5.4%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 2 Nov, 06:11 · 19 h before start
Pending
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Chicago Blackhawks
-:-
Colorado Avalanche
Chicago Blackhawks +2.5
Open on Xexpected 93% by model
Singleposted 2 Nov, 06:11 · 18 h before start
Pending
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Florida Panthers
-:-
Detroit Red Wings
Under 6.5
Open on Xexpected 55% by model
Singleposted 2 Nov, 06:11 · 18 h before start
odds 1.36DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Boston Bruins
-:-
Vegas Golden Knights
Boston Bruins +1.5
Open on Xexpected 71% from the closing line
Singleposted 2 Nov, 06:11 · 20 h before start
odds 1.74DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
San Jose Sharks
-:-
Calgary Flames
San Jose Sharks to win
Open on Xexpected 55% from the closing line
Singleposted 2 Nov, 06:10 · 18 h before start
Pending
NBA · Regular season·
Cleveland Cavaliers
-:-
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder +11.5
Open on Xexpected 55% by model
Singleposted 2 Nov, 06:10 · 18 h before start
Pending
NBA · Regular season·
Charlotte Hornets
-:-
Detroit Pistons
Charlotte Hornets +12.5
Open on Xexpected 55% by model
Singleposted 2 Nov, 06:10 · 18 h before start
odds 1.50DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NBA · Regular season·
Indiana Pacers
-:-
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks to win
Open on Xexpected 64% from the closing line
Singleposted 2 Nov, 06:10 · 18 h before start
Pending
NBA · Regular season·
New York Knicks
-:-
Brooklyn Nets
New York Knicks −6.5
Open on Xexpected 56% by model
Singleposted 2 Nov, 06:10 · 18 h before start
Pending
NBA · Regular season·
Orlando Magic
-:-
Washington Wizards
Orlando Magic +7.5
Open on Xexpected 53% by model
Singleposted 2 Nov, 06:10 · 18 h before start
Pending
NBA · Regular season·
Philadelphia 76ers
-:-
Chicago Bulls
Philadelphia 76ers −4.5
Open on Xexpected 53% by model
Singleposted 2 Nov, 06:10 · 19 h before start
odds 1.25DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NBA · Regular season·
Dallas Mavericks
-:-
Sacramento Kings
Dallas Mavericks to win
Open on Xexpected 77% from the closing line
Singleposted 2 Nov, 06:10 · 19 h before start
odds 1.44DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NBA · Regular season·
Memphis Grizzlies
-:-
New Orleans Pelicans
Memphis Grizzlies to win
Open on Xexpected 66% from the closing line
Singleposted 2 Nov, 06:10 · 19 h before start
Pending
NBA · Regular season·
Minnesota Timberwolves
-:-
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks +19.5
Open on Xexpected 59% by model
Singleposted 2 Nov, 06:10 · 19 h before start
Pending
NBA · Regular season·
San Antonio Spurs
-:-
Utah Jazz
San Antonio Spurs −8.5
Open on Xexpected 56% by model
Singleposted 2 Nov, 06:10 · 18 h before start
Pending
NBA · Regular season·
Houston Rockets
-:-
Oklahoma City Thunder
Houston Rockets to win
Open on Xexpected 74% by model
Singleposted 2 Nov, 06:10 · 20 h before start
Pending
NBA · Regular season·
Denver Nuggets
-:-
Portland Trail Blazers
Under 242.5
Open on Xexpected 68% by model
Singleposted 2 Nov, 06:10 · 21 h before start
Pending
NBA · Regular season·
Golden State Warriors
-:-
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns +12.5
Open on Xexpected 55% by model
Singleposted 2 Nov, 02:35 · 17 h before start
odds 1.60Pending
ATP 1000 · Paris Masters·
Ugo Humbert
-:-
Botic van de Zandschulp
Ugo Humbert to win@1.60
Open on Xexpected 59% from odds
Singleposted 2 Nov, 02:35 · 12 h before start
odds 1.61Pending
ATP 1000 · Paris Masters·
Kyrian Jacquet
-:-
Tomas Machac
Tomas Machac to win@1.61
Open on Xexpected 59% from odds
Singleposted 2 Nov, 02:35 · 10 h before start
odds 1.33Pending
ATP 1000 · Paris Masters·
Casper Ruud
-:-
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Casper Ruud to win@1.33
Open on Xexpected 72% from odds
Singleposted 2 Nov, 02:35 · 7 h before start
odds 1.36Pending
ATP 1000 · Paris Masters·
Ignacio Buse
-:-
Zizou Bergs
Zizou Bergs to win@1.36
Open on Xexpected 70% from odds
Singleposted 2 Nov, 02:35 · 7 h before start
odds 1.43Pending
WTA 250 · Chennai Open·
Aliona Falei
-:-
Magda Linette
Magda Linette to win@1.43
Open on Xexpected 67% from odds
Singleposted 2 Nov, 02:35 · 4 h before start
odds 1.73Pending
WTA 250 · Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open·
Viktorija Golubic
live
Katie Boulter
Katie Boulter to win@1.73
Open on Xexpected 55% from odds
Singleposted 2 Nov, 02:35 · 12 h before start
odds 1.49Pending
ATP Challenger · Bratislava 2, Slovakia·
Luka Pavlovic
-:-
Alexander Shevchenko
Alexander Shevchenko to win@1.49
Open on Xexpected 64% from odds
Singleposted 2 Nov, 02:35 · 12 h before start
odds 1.30Pending
ATP Challenger · Bratislava 2, Slovakia·
Nishesh Basavareddy
-:-
Milos Karol
Nishesh Basavareddy to win@1.30
Open on Xexpected 73% from odds
Singleposted 1 Nov, 01:22 · 14 h before start
odds 1.20DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
LaLiga·
Racing Santander
0:3
Real Madrid
Real Madrid to win
Open on Xexpected 80% from the closing line+0.20 u
Singleposted 1 Nov, 01:22 · 13 h before start
odds 1.46DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Serie A·
Lazio
2:1
Cagliari
Lazio to win
Open on Xexpected 63% from the closing line+0.46 u
Singleposted 1 Nov, 01:22 · 18 h before start
odds 2.15DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Serie A·
Juventus
2:0
Napoli
Juventus to win
Open on Xexpected 43% from the closing line+1.15 u
Singleposted 1 Nov, 01:22 · 19 h before start
odds 1.74DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Primeira Liga·
SC Braga
3:0
Famalicao
SC Braga to win
Open on Xexpected 54% from the closing line+0.74 u
Singleposted 1 Nov, 01:22 · 15 h before start
odds 1.42DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Ligue 1·
Lyon
2:0
Angers
Lyon to win
Open on Xexpected 67% from the closing line+0.42 u

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