Skip to content
BetBuddyRank

El Pelon Picks 👨🏻‍🦲

@PelonPickShow1.2K followersfirst pick 22 Septusually posts 2 h before start

Apuestas Deportivas | SOLO CUOTAS POSITIVAS 🥂| La fortuna favorece a los audaces ⚡️ |

BaseballFootballNFL & NCAAFBasketball
CompareRSS
Tipster index63.0#55 on the leaderboarddown 37 this weekdeveloping sample

Open picks 2

Games not played yet
MLB · post-season·
Milwaukee Brewers
-:-
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays to win@2.59DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use it
NBA · Regular season·
LA Lakers
-:-
LA Clippers
LA Clippers to win@4.00
Hit rate
52.8%
expected 40.9%
Edge
+11.9 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 39.4%, the edge is within noise
Graded
37
19-17-1 · 2 pending
ROI
+18.7%
on 37 picks with odds · max drawdown −5.00 u
Average odds
2.37
singles with odds
Form
streak L3 · best W6, worst L5

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

02421 Sept29 Sept7 Oct14 Oct22 Oct

By sport

Baseball5-8 · 13 graded
−3.7
38%
Football6-6-1 · 13 graded
+11.2
50%
NFL & NCAAF7-2 · 9 graded
+36.2
78%
Basketball1-1 · 2 graded
+8.6
50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result11-12 · 23 graded
+8.6
48%
Handicap5-2 · 7 graded
+29.6
71%
Totals3-3-1 · 7 graded
+4.2
50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Even13-9-1 · 23 graded
+14.4
59%
Underdog6-8 · 14 graded
+8.0
43%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.90…2.2911-8-1 · 20 graded
+20.1%
58%
2.30…3.498-9 · 17 graded
+17.2%
47%
3.50+0-0 · 0 graded
-
-

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 2 of 2 months with 5+ picks
  • September 2026
    +27.1 pp
    6-3 · 67%
    ROI +59.6%
  • October 2026
    +6.9 pp
    13-14-1 · 48%
    ROI +5.6%

By league

Similar tipsters

Same main sport, closest index

Badge for your site

Show your BetBuddyRank index on your site, Linktree or Telegram channel. The badge updates with the leaderboard and links to this page.

El Pelon Picks 👨🏻‍🦲 (@PelonPickShow) on BetBuddyRank
Social card (PNG)
HTML
Markdown
BBCode

Picks

Singleposted 23 Oct, 21:23 · 3 h before start
odds 2.59DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
MLB · post-season·
Milwaukee Brewers
-:-
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays to win
Open on Xexpected 37% from the closing line
Singleposted 23 Oct, 21:10 · 5 h before start
odds 4.00Pending
NBA · Regular season·
LA Lakers
-:-
LA Clippers
LA Clippers to win@4.00
Open on Xexpected 24% from odds
Singleposted 21 Oct, 22:35 · 2 h before start
odds 3.30Lost
Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·
Atlas
2:5
CF America
Atlas to win@3.30
Open on Xexpected 29% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 20:48 · 5 h before start
odds 2.17Lost
NBA · Regular season·
LA Lakers
127:105
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors +4.5@2.17
Open on Xexpected 44% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 15:05 · 2 h before start
odds 2.70Lost
Champions League · League Stage·
Como 1907
4:1
Manchester United
Manchester United to win@2.70
Open on Xexpected 35% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 21:47 · 1 h before start
odds 2.45Won
NBA · Regular season·
New York Knicks
100:106
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers to win@2.45
Open on Xexpected 39% from odds+1.45 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 17:44 · 1 h before start
odds 3.40Lost
Champions League · League Stage·
VfB Stuttgart
1:1
Atletico Madrid
VfB Stuttgart to win@3.40
Open on Xexpected 28% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 17:44 · 1 h before start
odds 2.17Won
Champions League · League Stage·
Paris Saint-Germain
4:2
Barcelona
Over 4.5@2.17
Open on Xexpected 44% from odds+1.17 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 21:49 · 2 h before start
odds 2.33Lost
MLB · post-season·
Tampa Bay Rays
7:3
Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians to win@2.33
Open on Xexpected 41% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 20:47 · 2 h before start
odds 3.05DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·
Club Santos Laguna
5:0
Queretaro FC
Queretaro FC to win
Open on Xexpected 31% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 16:01 · 3 h before start
odds 2.10Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Ole Miss Rebels
31:3
Missouri Tigers
Over 61.5@2.10
Open on Xexpected 45% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 01:14 · 2 h before start
odds 2.14Won
Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·
Tijuana
0:0
Puebla
Puebla +0.5@2.14
Open on Xexpected 45% from odds+1.14 u
Singleposted 14 Oct, 22:07 · 2 h before start
odds 2.52Won
MLB · post-season·
Los Angeles Dodgers
2:6
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers to win@2.52
Open on Xexpected 38% from odds+1.52 u
Singleposted 14 Oct, 17:13 · 2 h before start
odds 2.05Lost
Champions League · League Stage·
Manchester City
2:4
Paris Saint-Germain
Manchester City to win@2.05
Open on Xexpected 47% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 14 Oct, 17:13 · 2 h before start
odds 2.05Won
Champions League · League Stage·
Real Betis
3:2
FC Porto
Real Betis to win@2.05
Open on Xexpected 47% from odds+1.05 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 22:11 · 2 h before start
odds 2.14Lost
MLB · post-season·
Tampa Bay Rays
3:1
Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians to win@2.14
Open on Xexpected 45% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 16:19 · 3 h before start
odds 2.00Won
Champions League · League Stage·
Viking
3:3
Bayern Munich
Over 4.5@2.00
Open on Xexpected 48% from odds+1.00 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 16:19 · 3 h before start
odds 2.16Push
Champions League · League Stage·
Arsenal
3:0
Lille
Under 3@2.16
Open on Xexpected 44% from odds+0.00 u
Singleposted 12 Oct, 23:37 · 37 min before start
odds 2.54Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Rams
34:37
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills to win@2.54
Open on Xexpected 38% from odds+1.54 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 17:40 · 2 h before start
odds 2.67Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
California Golden Bears
25:20
Virginia Tech Hokies
Virginia Tech Hokies −12.5@2.67
Open on Xexpected 36% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 8 Oct, 21:21 · 3 h before start
odds 2.14Lost
MLB · post-season·
Chicago White Sox
5:9
Cleveland Guardians
Under 6.5@2.14
Open on Xexpected 45% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 8 Oct, 21:21 · 3 h before start
odds 2.15Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Dallas Cowboys
16:24
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win@2.15
Open on Xexpected 44% from odds+1.15 u
Singleposted 5 Oct, 20:32 · 3 h before start
odds 2.04Won
MLB · post-season·
Tampa Bay Rays
5:2
New York Yankees
Tampa Bay Rays to win@2.04
Open on Xexpected 47% from odds+1.04 u
Singleposted 4 Oct, 23:11 · 1 h before start
odds 2.07Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Carolina Panthers
32:26
Detroit Lions
Carolina Panthers +3@2.07
Open on Xexpected 46% from odds+1.07 u
Singleposted 3 Oct, 21:46 · 3 h before start
odds 2.75Lost
MLB · post-season·
Milwaukee Brewers
3:2
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres to win@2.75
Open on Xexpected 35% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 3 Oct, 15:25 · 2 h before start
odds 2.00Won
MLB · post-season·
Cleveland Guardians
0:3
Chicago White Sox
Under 6.5@2.00
Open on Xexpected 48% from odds+1.00 u
Singleposted 2 Oct, 21:41 · 2 h before start
odds 2.10Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Northwestern Wildcats
34:13
Penn State Nittany Lions
Northwestern Wildcats to win@2.10
Open on Xexpected 45% from odds+1.10 u
Singleposted 2 Oct, 16:45 · 2 h before start
odds 2.34Won
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 2·
Hungary
1:0
Georgia
Hungary to win@2.34
Open on Xexpected 41% from odds+1.34 u
Singleposted 1 Oct, 19:05 · 5 h before start
odds 2.08Lost
MLB · post-season·
Atlanta Braves
6:2
Philadelphia Phillies
Under 7@2.08
Open on Xexpected 46% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 1 Oct, 00:42 · 1 h before start
odds 2.22Lost
MLB · post-season·
San Diego Padres
4:1
Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs to win@2.22
Open on Xexpected 43% from odds−1.00 u