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Tito El Bambaino

@TitoElBambaino88 followersfirst pick 24 Septusually posts 3 days before start

Parodia del tipster de todo el mundo. El personaje es un mamador; los picks son en serio y quedan todos registrados, verdes y rojos. No vendo nada. No hay VIP.

NFL & NCAAFTennisFootballBasketball
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Tipster index48.0#289 on the leaderboarddown 63 this weekdeveloping sample

Open picks 1

Games not played yet
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Rams
-:-
Buffalo Bills
Los Angeles Rams −3@1.88
Hit rate
50.0%
expected 51.9%
Edge
−1.9 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 36.5%, the edge is within noise
Graded
34
17-17 · 1 pending
ROI
−9.0%
on 28 picks with odds · max drawdown −6.22 u
Average odds
1.85
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 · best W3, worst L3

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-1.5-1-0.500.524 Sept28 Sept3 Oct7 Oct12 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF9-13 · 22 graded
−9.9
41%
Tennis5-0 · 5 graded
+46.2
100%
Football1-3 · 4 graded
−29.9
25%
Basketball2-1 · 3 graded
+13.7
67%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap13-13 · 26 graded
−2.4
50%
Totals1-2 · 3 graded
−18.8
33%
Match result2-1 · 3 graded
+13.5
67%
Parlays1-1 · 2 graded
+6.8
50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite2-0 · 2 graded
+33.6
100%
Even14-16 · 30 graded
−4.8
47%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.899-7 · 16 graded
−0.6%
56%
1.90…2.295-7 · 12 graded
−20.2%
42%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • September 2026
    +10.4 pp
    2-1 · 67%
  • October 2026
    −3.1 pp
    15-16 · 48%
    ROI −9.4%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 11 Oct, 17:10 · 10 h before start
odds 1.58Won
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Anhelina Kalinina
0:2
Sonay Kartal
Sonay Kartal to win@1.58
Open on Xexpected 60% from odds+0.58 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 23:37 · 4 h before start
odds 1.93Lost
Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·
CF America
1:1
Monterrey
CF America −0.5@1.93
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 18:35 · 25 min before start
odds 1.87Lost
LaLiga·
Real Madrid
1:0
Villarreal
Over 3.5@1.87
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 03:08 · 16 h before start
odds 1.79Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Vanderbilt Commodores
17:52
Ole Miss Rebels
Vanderbilt Commodores +10.5@1.79
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds−1.00 u
Same-game combo · 2posted 10 Oct, 03:08 · 17 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Ohio State Buckeyes
45:16
Maryland Terrapins
Maryland Terrapins +35@1.93✓
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Ohio State Buckeyes
45:16
Maryland Terrapins
Ohio State Buckeyes to win✓
Open on Xexpected 41% by model
Singleposted 10 Oct, 03:08 · 3 days before start
odds 1.88Pending
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Rams
-:-
Buffalo Bills
Los Angeles Rams −3@1.88
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds
Singleposted 9 Oct, 23:27 · 11 h before start
odds 1.93Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Luciano Darderi
0:2
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Stefanos Tsitsipas −3@1.93
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds+0.93 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 23:27 · 12 h before start
odds 1.75Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
0:2
Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz −5.5@1.75
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds+0.75 u
Singleposted 8 Oct, 22:28 · 2 h before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Dallas Cowboys
16:24
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Dallas Cowboys −15
Open on Xexpected 53% by model
Singleposted 8 Oct, 13:47 · 3 days before start
odds 1.78Won
NFL · Regular Season·
New England Patriots
45:17
Las Vegas Raiders
New England Patriots −3@1.78
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds+0.78 u
Singleposted 8 Oct, 13:47 · 3 days before start
odds 1.88Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Seattle Seahawks
29:32
San Francisco 49ers
Seattle Seahawks −3@1.88
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 8 Oct, 13:47 · 3 days before start
odds 1.76Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Washington Commanders
27:27
New York Giants
Washington Commanders −3@1.76
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 8 Oct, 01:45 · 3 days before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Northwestern Wildcats
45:14
Ball State Cardinals
Under 29
Open on Xexpected 53% by model
Singleposted 8 Oct, 01:45 · 4 days before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Tennessee Titans
3:26
Houston Texans
Under 55
Open on Xexpected 53% by model
Singleposted 8 Oct, 01:41 · 3 days before start
odds 1.91Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Alabama Crimson Tide
17:20
Georgia Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide −1.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 8 Oct, 01:41 · 3 days before start
odds 1.91Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Nebraska Cornhuskers
17:20
Indiana Hoosiers
Nebraska Cornhuskers +7.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 8 Oct, 01:41 · 3 days before start
odds 1.91Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Utah Utes
41:24
Kansas Jayhawks
Kansas Jayhawks +15.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 7 Oct, 00:42 · 17 h before start
odds 1.79Won
Champions League · Group F·
Spartak Subotica
96:64
SC RASTA Vechta
Spartak Subotica −4.5@1.79
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds+0.79 u
Singleposted 6 Oct, 21:21 · 11 h before start
odds 1.86Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Rinky Hijikata
0:2
Roman Safiullin
Roman Safiullin −3.5@1.86
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds+0.86 u
Singleposted 5 Oct, 20:21 · 22 h before start
odds 1.80Lost
EuroCup · Group A·
Rostock Seawolves
87:86
Rigas Zelli
Rostock Seawolves −7.5@1.80
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 5 Oct, 20:21 · 22 h before start
odds 1.81Won
Champions League · Group G·
Igokea
79:92
Bilbao Basket
Bilbao Basket to win@1.81
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds+0.81 u
Singleposted 1 Oct, 19:28 · 14 h before start
odds 1.76Won
ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·
Arthur Fils
2:0
Frances Tiafoe
Arthur Fils −3@1.76
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds+0.76 u
Singleposted 1 Oct, 03:30 · 4 days before start
odds 1.94Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Las Vegas Raiders
27:30
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs −4@1.94
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 1 Oct, 03:30 · 4 days before start
odds 1.77Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Giants
36:24
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals −1@1.77
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 1 Oct, 03:30 · 4 days before start
odds 1.91Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Philadelphia Eagles
20:24
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams −3@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 1 Oct, 03:30 · 4 days before start
odds 1.77Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Buffalo Bills
26:29
New England Patriots
New England Patriots +7.5@1.77
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds+0.77 u
Singleposted 1 Oct, 03:30 · 4 days before start
odds 1.91Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Cincinnati Bengals
17:22
Jacksonville Jaguars
Cincinnati Bengals −2.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 1 Oct, 03:30 · 4 days before start
odds 1.90Won
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
24:14
Denver Broncos
San Francisco 49ers −2.5@1.90
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.90 u
Singleposted 1 Oct, 00:31 · 3 days before start
odds 1.82Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Tennessee Volunteers
24:14
Auburn Tigers
Auburn Tigers +7.5@1.82
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 1 Oct, 00:31 · 3 days before start
odds 1.81Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Missouri Tigers
45:17
Florida Gators
Missouri Tigers +6.5@1.81
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds+0.81 u