Santas Picks🎄🎅🏼

@Santas_Picks822 followersfirst pick 12 Octusually posts 59 min before start

From the North Pole to the payout window 🎄 🎅🏼 🏈 NFL | 🏈 CFB | 🏀 NBA | 🏀 CBB Sides • Totals • Props | 🔔 On

NFL & NCAAFBasketballHockey

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Tipster index36.6needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Open picks 2

Games not played yet

NBA · Regular season·23 Oct, 23:00

Charlotte Hornets

-:-

Atlanta Hawks

Charlotte Hornets +3

NFL · Regular Season·25 Oct, 17:00

Houston Texans

-:-

New York Giants

Over 45

Hit rate

16.7%

expected 56.8%

Edge

−40.1 pp

over expectation

Graded

1-5 · 2 pending

ROI

on 1 picks with odds

Average odds

1.74

singles with odds

Form

streak L2 · best W1, worst L3

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

NFL & NCAAF1-3 · 4 graded

−31.0

25%

Hockey0-1 · 1 graded

−55.1

Basketball0-1 · 1 graded

−61.5

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap1-3 · 4 graded

−31.0

25%

Totals0-2 · 2 graded

−58.3

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite1-2 · 3 graded

−33.5

33%

Even0-3 · 3 graded

−46.7

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.890-1 · 1 graded

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).