Coach Capper 🧢🎒

@Thecoachcapper1.3K followersfirst pick 3 Septusually posts 3 h before start

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NFL & NCAAFBaseballHockeyFootball

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Tipster index46.7needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Hit rate

50.0%

expected 59.9%

Edge

−9.9 pp

over expectation

Graded

3-3-1

ROI

on 1 picks with odds

Average odds

1.62

singles with odds

Form

streak L1 · best W1, worst L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

NFL & NCAAF1-2-1 · 4 graded

−20.7

33%

Baseball0-1 · 1 graded

−77.5

Football1-0 · 1 graded

+38.6

100%

Hockey1-0 · 1 graded

+41.4

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result3-1 · 4 graded

+14.5

75%

Totals0-1 · 1 graded

−77.5

Parlays0-1 · 1 graded

−40.0

Handicap0-0-1 · 1 graded

0.0

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite2-2 · 4 graded

−15.2

50%

Even1-0 · 1 graded

+41.4

100%

Underdog0-0-1 · 1 graded

0.0

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.891-0 · 1 graded

100%

Singles with the odds stated in the post. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

September 2026
−5.9 pp
2-2 · 50%
October 2026
−18.0 pp
1-1-1 · 50%

By league

NFL0-1-10%−40.0
NCAAF1-150%−11.1
MLB · USA0-10%−77.5
NHL1-0100%+41.4
Ligue 1 · France1-0100%+38.6

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Picks

Singleposted 11 Oct, 22:49 · 1 h before start

Lost

MLB · post-season·12 Oct, 00:00

Milwaukee Brewers

2:1

Los Angeles Dodgers

Over 6

Singleposted 10 Oct, 17:12 · 6 h before start

odds 1.63Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·10 Oct, 23:00

Ottawa Senators

3:2

Nashville Predators

penalties

Ottawa Senators to win@1.63

Singleposted 4 Oct, 19:49 · 35 min before start

Push

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 20:25

Seattle Seahawks

30:23

Los Angeles Chargers

Seattle Seahawks −7

Same-game combo · 2posted 14 Sept, 22:46 · 1 h before start

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·15 Sept, 00:15

Kansas City Chiefs

31:10

Denver Broncos

Kansas City Chiefs to win✓

NFL · Regular Season·15 Sept, 00:15

Kansas City Chiefs

31:10

Denver Broncos

Over 42.5✕

Singleposted 4 Sept, 17:53 · 5 h before start

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·4 Sept, 22:30

Eastern Michigan Eagles

21:27

San Jose State Spartans

Eastern Michigan Eagles to win

Singleposted 4 Sept, 17:53 · 30 h before start

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·5 Sept, 23:30

Michigan Wolverines

13:12

Western Michigan Broncos

Michigan Wolverines to win

Singleposted 3 Sept, 16:14 · 3 h before start

Won

Ligue 1·3 Sept, 18:45

Toulouse

0:1

Lille

Lille to win