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𝕋𝕠𝕕𝕕 π”Ύπ•¦π•Ÿπ•« πŸ’°

@toddgunzwins127 followersfirst pick 5 Augusually posts 44 min before start

κœ±α΄˜α΄Κ€α΄›κœ± ΙͺΙ΄α΄ α΄‡κœ±α΄›α΄Κ€ α΄‘Ιͺα΄›Κœ ᴏᴠᴇʀ 30 Κα΄‡α΄€Κ€κœ± ᴇxα΄˜α΄‡Κ€Ιͺᴇɴᴄᴇ. πŸ’΅πŸŽŸοΈ α΄€ΚŸΚŸ ᴘΙͺα΄„α΄‹κœ± ᴇxα΄„ΚŸα΄œκœ±Ιͺα΄ α΄‡ΚŸΚ @tonyspicks β¬‡οΈα΄€ΚŸΚŸ κœ±α΄˜α΄Κ€α΄›κœ± α΄€α΄„α΄„α΄‡κœ±κœ±β¬‡οΈ

NFL & NCAAFBaseball
CompareRSS
Tipster index50.4needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history
Hit rate
50.0%
expected 48.7%
Edge
+1.3 pp
over expectation
Graded
7
3-3-1
ROI
-
on 3 picks with odds
Average odds
2.19
singles with odds
Form
streak W2 Β· best W2, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-1-0.8-0.5-0.304 Aug21 Aug7 Sept24 Sept12 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF2-1-1 Β· 4 graded
+13.1
67%
Baseball1-2 Β· 3 graded
βˆ’10.5
33%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result2-2 Β· 4 graded
+1.9
50%
Handicap1-1-1 Β· 3 graded
+0.2
50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite1-0 Β· 1 graded
+38.9
100%
Even2-1 Β· 3 graded
+15.9
67%
Underdog0-2-1 Β· 3 graded
βˆ’39.3
0%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.90…2.291-1 Β· 2 graded
-
50%
2.30…3.490-1 Β· 1 graded
-
0%

Singles with the odds stated in the post. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

  • August 2026
    βˆ’44.5 pp
    0-1 Β· 0%
  • September 2026
    βˆ’13.2 pp
    1-2-1 Β· 33%
  • October 2026
    +46.1 pp
    2-0 Β· 100%

By league

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Same main sport, closest index

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𝕋𝕠𝕕𝕕 π”Ύπ•¦π•Ÿπ•« πŸ’° (@toddgunzwins) on BetBuddyRank
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Picks

Singleposted 11 Oct, 21:41 Β· 2 h before start
odds 1.98Won
MLB Β· post-seasonΒ·
Milwaukee Brewers
2:1
Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers to win@1.98
Open on Xexpected 48% from odds+0.98 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 23:15 Β· 44 min before start
Won
NCAAF Β· NCAAF: Regular SeasonΒ·
Purdue Boilermakers
41:13
Minnesota Golden Gophers
Purdue Boilermakers +3
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Singleposted 27 Sept, 22:44 Β· 2 h before start
Lost
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Denver Broncos
30:26
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams βˆ’1
Open on Xexpected 40% by model
Singleposted 20 Sept, 23:58 Β· 22 min before start
Won
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Kansas City Chiefs
33:30
Indianapolis Colts
Kansas City Chiefs to win
Open on Xexpected 61% by model
Singleposted 17 Sept, 16:13 Β· 27 min before start
odds 2.45Lost
MLBΒ·
Cincinnati Reds
2:8
Los Angeles Dodgers
Cincinnati Reds to win@2.45
Open on Xexpected 39% from oddsβˆ’1.00 u
Singleposted 9 Sept, 13:23 Β· 11 h before start
Push
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Seattle Seahawks
13:10
New England Patriots
Seattle Seahawks βˆ’3
Open on Xexpected 40% by model
Singleposted 5 Aug, 22:43 Β· 31 min before start
odds 2.14Lost
MLBΒ·
Atlanta Braves
4:1
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins to win@2.14
Open on Xexpected 45% from oddsβˆ’1.00 u