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LineupLocks

@LineupLocksHQ140 followersfirst pick 20 Septusually posts 47 min before start

Sports news, fantasy advice & betting edges šŸ”„ Daily rankings, props, line moves & sharp analysis NFL • NBA • UFC & more | Follow for the edge

BasketballNFL & NCAAF
Tipster index53.4needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Open picks 2

Games not played yet
NBA Ā· Regular seasonĀ·
Milwaukee Bucks
live
Chicago Bulls
Milwaukee Bucks +1.5
NBA Ā· Regular seasonĀ·
Utah Jazz
-:-
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans +3.5
Hit rate
50.0%
expected 35.5%
Edge
+14.5 pp
over expectation
Graded
4
2-2 Ā· 2 pending
ROI
-
on 2 picks with odds
Average odds
1.85
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 Ā· best W1, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-0.4-0.200.20.419 Sept30 Sept11 Oct22 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF1-2 Ā· 3 graded
āˆ’7.3
33%
Basketball1-0 Ā· 1 graded
+80.0
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Parlays1-1 Ā· 2 graded
+30.5
50%
Handicap1-0 Ā· 1 graded
+48.5
100%
Totals0-1 Ā· 1 graded
āˆ’51.5
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite0-0 Ā· 0 graded
-
-
Even1-1 Ā· 2 graded
āˆ’1.5
50%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.891-1 Ā· 2 graded
-
50%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

  • September 2026
    āˆ’7.3 pp
    1-2 Ā· 33%
  • October 2026
    +80.0 pp
    1-0 Ā· 100%

By league

  • NFL1-150%āˆ’1.5
  • NBA0-0--

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Picks

Singleposted 23 Oct, 19:45 Ā· 15 min before start
Pending
NBA Ā· Regular seasonĀ·
Milwaukee Bucks
live
Chicago Bulls
Milwaukee Bucks +1.5
Open on Xexpected 65% by model
Singleposted 23 Oct, 19:45 Ā· 6 h before start
Pending
NBA Ā· Regular seasonĀ·
Utah Jazz
-:-
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans Pelicans +3.5
Open on Xexpected 65% by model
Parlay Ā· 4posted 21 Oct, 22:45 Ā· 45 min before start
Won
NBA Ā· Regular seasonĀ·
Toronto Raptors
135:92
Chicago Bulls
Toronto Raptors to wināœ“
NBA Ā· Regular seasonĀ·
Brooklyn Nets
103:110
Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte Hornets to wināœ“
NBA Ā· Regular seasonĀ·
Houston Rockets
128:110
Dallas Mavericks
Houston Rockets to wināœ“
NBA Ā· Regular seasonĀ·
LA Clippers
121:96
Sacramento Kings
LA Clippers to wināœ“
Open on Xexpected 20% by model
Singleposted 20 Sept, 16:12 Ā· 47 min before start
odds 1.85Won
NFL Ā· Regular SeasonĀ·
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
19:23
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns +9.5@1.85
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds+0.85 u
Singleposted 20 Sept, 16:12 Ā· 47 min before start
odds 1.85Lost
NFL Ā· Regular SeasonĀ·
Atlanta Falcons
3:34
Carolina Panthers
Over 42.5@1.85
Open on Xexpected 52% from oddsāˆ’1.00 u
Parlay Ā· 6posted 20 Sept, 16:12 Ā· 47 min before start
Lost
NFL Ā· Regular SeasonĀ·
Kansas City Chiefs
33:30
Indianapolis Colts
Kansas City Chiefs to wināœ“
NFL Ā· Regular SeasonĀ·
Tennessee Titans
20:24
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles to wināœ“
NFL Ā· Regular SeasonĀ·
Baltimore Ravens
17:24
New Orleans Saints
Baltimore Ravens to wināœ•
NFL Ā· Regular SeasonĀ·
Los Angeles Chargers
14:26
Las Vegas Raiders
Los Angeles Chargers to wināœ•
NFL Ā· Regular SeasonĀ·
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
19:23
Cleveland Browns
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to wināœ•
NFL Ā· Regular SeasonĀ·
San Francisco 49ers
35:13
Miami Dolphins
San Francisco 49ers to wināœ“
Open on Xexpected 19% by model