odds 2.80Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Holger Rune
1:2
Daniel Altmaier
Daniel Altmaier to win@2.80
Hit rate
55.6%
expected 54.3%
Edge
+1.4 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 51.2%, the edge is within noise
Graded
336
187-149
ROI
+6.0%
on 146 picks with odds
Average odds
2.03
singles with odds
Form
streak W2
Wins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
Baseball74-76 · 150 graded
−5.149%
Tennis61-43 · 104 graded
+2.259%
NFL & NCAAF41-21 · 62 graded
+13.466%
Football8-7 · 15 graded
+5.853%
Basketball2-1 · 3 graded
+28.867%
Hockey1-1 · 2 graded
+8.250%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Match result139-116 · 255 graded
−1.255%
Handicap36-13 · 49 graded
+12.373%
Parlays1-15 · 16 graded
−1.86%
Totals8-5 · 13 graded
+5.862%
Double chance2-0 · 2 graded
+37.2100%
Team totals1-0 · 1 graded
+47.7100%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By league
- MLB · USA74-7450%−5.1
- NFL26-1268%+12.4
- US Open18-1358%+3.5
- NCAAF15-575%+18.8
- ATP 25011-761%+4.9
- ATP 50012-571%+3.4
- WTA 10006-0100%+41.9
- ATP Challenger4-267%+4.5
- WTA 2503-350%−7.0
- WTA Challenger2-433%−26.6
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Picks
odds 17.08Lost
NBA · Pre-season·
Charlotte Hornets
90:124
Brooklyn NetsBrooklyn Nets to win✓
NBA · Pre-season·
Oklahoma City Thunder
110:116
New Orleans PelicansOklahoma City Thunder −3.5✕
NBA · Pre-season·
Utah Jazz
106:117
Denver NuggetsDenver Nuggets to win✓
NBA · Pre-season·
Golden State Warriors
124:98
LA LakersGolden State Warriors −2.5✓
odds 1.94Lost
MLB · post-season·
Atlanta Braves
1:3
Los Angeles DodgersAtlanta Braves to win@1.94
odds 1.77Lost
MLB · post-season·
San Diego Padres
4:3
Milwaukee BrewersOver 7.5✕
MLB · post-season·
San Diego Padres
4:3
Milwaukee BrewersSan Diego Padres to win@1.77✓
odds 1.69Lost
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 3·
Croatia
1:2
SpainSpain −1.5@1.69
odds 1.80Lost
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 3·
England
3:0
CzechiaOver 3.5@1.80
odds 11.03Won
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 1·
Scotland
1:2
SloveniaBoth teams to score: yes@2.20✓
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 1·
Switzerland
3:0
North MacedoniaSwitzerland over 2.5@1.63✓
UEFA Nations League · League C: Group 4·
Estonia
0:0
IcelandUnder 2.5@1.80✓
UEFA Nations League · League C: Group 3·
Moldova
0:4
SlovakiaOver 2.5@1.71✓
odds 1.82Won
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 3·
Croatia
1:2
SpainSpain over 1.5@1.82
Void
ATP 500 · China Open·
Novak Djokovic
void
Alex de Minaur
Alex de Minaur to win
odds 1.48Won
WTA 1000 · China Open·
Iva Jovic
0:2
Iga Swiatek
Iga Swiatek to win@1.48
odds 1.69Won
WTA 1000 · China Open·
Karolina Muchova
2:1
Naomi Osaka
Karolina Muchova to win@1.69
odds 1.40Lost
WTA Challenger · Samsun, Turkiye·
Emiliana Arango
0:2
Ayla Aksu
Emiliana Arango to win@1.40
odds 1.33Lost
WTA Challenger · Samsun, Turkiye·
Antonia Ruzic
1:2
Alicia Dudeney
Antonia Ruzic to win@1.33
odds 1.44Lost
International Friendlies · Friendlies·
China
0:1
TajikistanChina to win@1.44
odds 1.60Void
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification·
Yoshihito Nishioka
void
Dalibor Svrcina
Dalibor Svrcina to win@1.60
odds 16.00Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification·
Kyrian Jacquet
1:2
Rei Sakamoto
Rei Sakamoto to win@2.14✓
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification·
Rigele Te
0:2
Ilia Simakin
Rigele Te to win@5.40✕
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification·
Mattia Bellucci
2:0
Alexandre Muller
Mattia Bellucci to win@1.39✓
odds 1.67Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification·
Chak Wong
2:1
Lloyd Harris
Lloyd Harris to win@1.67
Lost
WTA 1000 · China Open·
Daria Snigur
0:2
Mirra Andreeva
Mirra Andreeva to win✓
WTA 1000 · China Open·
Linda Noskova
0:2
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Linda Noskova to win✕
WTA 1000 · China Open·
Sinja Kraus
1:2
Nikola Bartunkova
Nikola Bartunkova to win✓
ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·
Carlos Alcaraz
2:0
Jiri Lehecka
Carlos Alcaraz to win✓
ATP 500 · China Open·
Novak Djokovic
void
Alex de Minaur
Novak Djokovic to win∅
odds 1.77Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
24:45
Atlanta FalconsNew Orleans Saints to win@1.77
odds 1.65Lost
MLB · post-season·
Cleveland Guardians
3:4
Chicago White SoxCleveland Guardians to win@1.65
odds 1.80Lost
MLB · post-season·
Tampa Bay Rays
5:2
New York YankeesNew York Yankees to win@1.80
odds 2.01Won
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
24:45
Atlanta FalconsAtlanta Falcons to win@2.01
odds 2.00Won
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 4·
Romania
0:1
SwedenSweden or draw@2.00
odds 1.12Won
ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·
Carlos Alcaraz
2:1
Jaume Munar
Carlos Alcaraz to win@1.12
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Carolina Panthers
32:26
Detroit LionsCarolina Panthers +4.5
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Carolina Panthers
32:26
Detroit LionsOver 50.5
odds 2.00Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Carolina Panthers
32:26
Detroit LionsCarolina Panthers +3.5@2.00
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Baltimore Ravens
24:18
Tennessee TitansBaltimore Ravens to win
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Philadelphia Eagles
20:24
Los Angeles RamsLos Angeles Rams to win
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Minnesota Vikings
15:10
Miami DolphinsMinnesota Vikings to win