Tipster check: verify a capper’s record
Enter a tipster’s X handle (with or without @) or name. If they are in the database, you will see their index, hit rate and a link to the full record.
What it means to check a tipster
Checking a tipster means comparing all of their public picks with final scores over a meaningful sample, instead of trusting screenshots and testimonials. A fair check counts every pick in order, losses included, and adjusts for difficulty: hitting short-priced favourites is worth less than hitting underdogs.
How to use the tipster check
- Enter the capper’s X handle or name.
- Choose the tipster from the matches.
- Look at the index, hit rate and the number of graded picks.
- Open the profile to see every pick with a link to the post and the final score.
How to read the result
An index of 50 means the tipster wins exactly as often as the odds and team strength predict. Above 55 suggests an edge, above 60 is rare. Check the number of graded picks too: under 50, a record can easily be luck.
Hit rate without the expected hit rate means little. A capper who hits 70% when 72% was expected is losing to the market.
How to check a tipster by hand
- Open the tipster’s timeline and list every pick for a month in order, not only the ones marked with a check.
- Make sure each post went up before kick-off: hover over the post date to see the exact time.
- Grade each pick against the final score and count wins, pushes and losses.
- For picks with odds, compute ROI: total profit divided by the number of bets.
- Compare the hit rate with the probability implied by the odds. Without this step, a high percentage on favourites looks like skill.
What the tipster data shows
Tipsters on X with a meaningful sample, graded by BetBuddyRank on final scores.
If a capper is not in the database
They either post picks somewhere other than X or have too few picks that can be graded from the score. Browse the tipster leaderboard for your sport or league: it only lists tipsters with a meaningful sample.
Ways to check a tipster
| Method | What it shows | Weak spot |
|---|---|---|
| Reviews and ratings | Follower opinions | Easy to fake, not tied to results |
| Follower count | Popularity | Says nothing about the win rate |
| Self-reported record | Claimed results | Losses can be left out |
| Verified record | Every pick graded on the score | Needs a sample; image-only picks are not counted |
FAQ
How do you know if a tipster is legit?
Grade every public pick they posted, in order, against the final score and compare the hit rate with the probability implied by the odds. The quickest way is a verified record: search for the capper’s handle above.
What is a good win rate for a sports capper?
None on its own. A 60% hit rate is great at odds around +100 and poor at −250. Look at the gap between the actual and the expected hit rate, and at the number of picks.
What ROI can a tipster realistically make?
In BetBuddyRank data, the average ROI of priced picks from tipsters on X is negative: −6.0%. A steady plus 5-10% over hundreds of bets is already strong, and claims of 30% or more deserve a close look.
Why is a tipster missing from the database?
We include authors who post picks on X for matches with a clear market and outcome. Picks posted only as images, on Telegram or in private groups are not counted.
Can I trust a capper with a high index?
A high index on a large sample means the tipster beat the market in the past. It does not guarantee future results, and betting remains risky. 18+.