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Fade The Public

@FadeeFactory44 followers

Fade the Public. Find the Value.

TennisFootballBaseballNFL & NCAAFBasketball
Tipster index59.4#46 on the leaderboard
Hit rate
56.9%
expected 49.4%
Edge
+7.4 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 45.4%, the edge is within noise
Graded
51
29-22
ROI
+5.1%
on 48 picks with odds
Average odds
2.10
singles with odds
Form
streak L3

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

02412 Aug23 Aug4 Sept16 Sept28 Sept

By sport

Tennis10-9 · 19 graded
+2.8
53%
Football9-6 · 15 graded
+13.8
60%
Baseball6-4 · 10 graded
+8.6
60%
NFL & NCAAF3-3 · 6 graded
−2.6
50%
Basketball1-0 · 1 graded
+48.0
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result16-8 · 24 graded
+17.3
67%
Handicap9-11 · 20 graded
−4.7
45%
Double chance2-2 · 4 graded
+2.8
50%
Totals1-1 · 2 graded
−2.2
50%
Parlays1-0 · 1 graded
+49.6
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 28 Sept, 00:18
odds 1.91Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Denver Broncos
30:26
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams to win@1.91
Singleposted 26 Sept, 03:55
odds 1.80Lost
WTA 500 · Korea Open, Seoul·
Taylah Preston
0:2
Alina Korneeva
Taylah Preston +4.5@1.80
Singleposted 22 Sept, 00:13
odds 1.95Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Rams
28:6
New York Giants
New York Giants +6.5@1.95
Singleposted 18 Sept, 01:33
odds 1.91Won
MLB·
Los Angeles Angels
5:4
Minnesota Twins
Los Angeles Angels to win@1.91
Singleposted 17 Sept, 23:56
odds 1.83Won
WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·
Chicago Sky
80:110
Washington Mystics
Washington Mystics to win@1.83
Singleposted 17 Sept, 21:07
odds 1.83Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Buffalo Bills
41:31
Detroit Lions
Buffalo Bills −4.5@1.83
Singleposted 16 Sept, 00:57
odds 2.25Lost
Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·
Puebla
0:1
Toluca
Toluca −1.5@2.25
Singleposted 16 Sept, 00:33
odds 1.74Lost
WTA 500 · Guadalajara Open Akron·
Sloane Stephens
2:0
Janice Tjen
Janice Tjen −2.5@1.74
Singleposted 15 Sept, 23:38
odds 1.83Lost
MLB·
Minnesota Twins
1:8
New York Yankees
Minnesota Twins +1.5@1.83
Singleposted 15 Sept, 00:13
odds 1.74Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Kansas City Chiefs
31:10
Denver Broncos
Kansas City Chiefs to win@1.74
Same-game combo · 2posted 14 Sept, 23:32
odds 1.80Won
MLB·
Minnesota Twins
3:8
New York Yankees
Over 8@1.80✓
MLB·
Minnesota Twins
3:8
New York Yankees
New York Yankees to win@1.80✓
Singleposted 14 Sept, 18:03
odds 1.59Won
WTA 500 · Guadalajara Open Akron·
Elvina Kalieva
0:2
Kayla Day
Kayla Day to win@1.59
Singleposted 14 Sept, 16:32
Won
LaLiga·
Atletico Madrid
4:0
Osasuna
Atletico Madrid draw no bet
Singleposted 14 Sept, 16:32
Won
LaLiga·
Atletico Madrid
4:0
Osasuna
Atletico Madrid to win
Singleposted 13 Sept, 17:57
odds 1.87Lost
US Open · Men's Singles·
Alexander Zverev
3:1
Ben Shelton
Ben Shelton +1.5 sets@1.87
Singleposted 13 Sept, 17:57
odds 2.15Lost
US Open · Men's Singles·
Alexander Zverev
3:1
Ben Shelton
Ben Shelton to win@2.15
Singleposted 12 Sept, 20:00
odds 1.67Lost
US Open · Women's Singles·
Aryna Sabalenka
1:2
Elena Rybakina
Aryna Sabalenka to win@1.67
Singleposted 12 Sept, 18:10
odds 2.40Lost
Premier League·
Sunderland
0:2
Arsenal
Sunderland or draw@2.40
Singleposted 12 Sept, 18:10
odds 4.20Lost
Premier League·
Sunderland
0:2
Arsenal
Sunderland draw no bet@4.20
Singleposted 12 Sept, 03:06
odds 1.80Won
Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·
Tijuana
0:1
Queretaro FC
Queretaro FC or draw@1.80
Singleposted 12 Sept, 03:06
odds 2.60Won
Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·
Tijuana
0:1
Queretaro FC
Queretaro FC draw no bet@2.60
Singleposted 12 Sept, 02:34
odds 1.67Won
Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·
Atlante
0:3
Pachuca
Pachuca draw no bet@1.67
Singleposted 12 Sept, 02:34
odds 2.30Won
Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·
Atlante
0:3
Pachuca
Pachuca to win@2.30
Singleposted 10 Sept, 03:31
Won
MLB·
Seattle Mariners
4:3
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners to win
Singleposted 10 Sept, 00:19
odds 1.57Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Seattle Seahawks
13:10
New England Patriots
Seattle Seahawks to win@1.57
Singleposted 9 Sept, 19:42
odds 1.74Void
US Open · Men's Singles·
Karen Khachanov
void
Alexander Blockx
Alexander Blockx +1.5 sets@1.74
Singleposted 9 Sept, 19:42
odds 2.50Void
US Open · Men's Singles·
Karen Khachanov
void
Alexander Blockx
Alexander Blockx to win@2.50
Singleposted 9 Sept, 00:37
odds 2.00Won
US Open · Men's Singles·
Ben Shelton
3:2
Carlos Alcaraz
Ben Shelton +4.5@2.00
Singleposted 9 Sept, 00:37
odds 4.00Won
US Open · Men's Singles·
Ben Shelton
3:2
Carlos Alcaraz
Ben Shelton to win@4.00
Singleposted 8 Sept, 16:11
odds 1.65Won
US Open · Men's Singles·
Frances Tiafoe
3:2
Alex Michelsen
Frances Tiafoe to win@1.65