Sharp Shot

@sharpshotcalc5 followersfirst pick 26 Oct

It’s not luck. It’s leverage 🎯 https://t.co/eqh56xiUXq

BasketballNFL & NCAAF

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Tipster index45.2needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Open picks 1

Games not played yet

NFL · Regular Season·8 Nov, 18:00

Miami Dolphins

-:-

Detroit Lions

Detroit Lions −4.5

Hit rate

0.0%

expected 38.3%

Edge

−38.3 pp

over expectation

Graded

0-2 · 1 pending

ROI

on 2 picks with odds

Average odds

2.63

singles with odds

Form

streak L2 · best W0, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Basketball0-2 · 2 graded

−38.3

NFL & NCAAF0-0 · 0 graded

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result0-2 · 2 graded

−38.3

Handicap0-0 · 0 graded

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Even0-1 · 1 graded

−47.4

Underdog0-1 · 1 graded

−29.3

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.90…2.290-1 · 1 graded

2.30…3.490-1 · 1 graded

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).