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Browneyebets

@browneyebets45 followersfirst pick 23 Septusually posts 7 h before start

No Parlays

NFL & NCAAF
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Tipster index48.3#403 on the leaderboardup 33 this weekdeveloping sample

Open picks 3

Games not played yet
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Virginia Cavaliers
-:-
Duke Blue Devils
Duke Blue Devils +2.5@1.91DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use it
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Stanford Cardinal
-:-
North Carolina State Wolfpack
Stanford Cardinal +7.5@1.91DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use it
NFL · Regular Season·
Houston Texans
-:-
New York Giants
Under 46.5
Hit rate
50.0%
expected 51.5%
Edge
−1.5 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 37.7%, the edge is within noise
Graded
43
21-21-1 · 3 pending
ROI
−14.6%
on 20 picks with odds · max drawdown −7.14 u
Average odds
1.89
singles with odds
Form
streak L3 · best W5, worst L5

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-2-10124 Sept1 Oct8 Oct15 Oct23 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF21-21-1 · 43 graded
−1.5
50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap16-15-1 · 32 graded
−0.2
52%
Totals3-4 · 7 graded
−9.5
43%
Match result2-1 · 3 graded
+10.8
67%
Parlays0-1 · 1 graded
−20.7
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite7-4 · 11 graded
+0.2
64%
Even14-16-1 · 31 graded
−1.4
47%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.897-4 · 11 graded
+18.0%
64%
1.90…2.292-7 · 9 graded
−54.4%
22%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 2 months with 5+ picks
  • September 2026
    +15.2 pp
    7-3 · 70%
  • October 2026
    −6.7 pp
    14-18-1 · 44%
    ROI −26.0%

By league

  • NFL13-13-150%−1.9
  • NCAAF8-850%−0.7

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Picks

Singleposted 23 Oct, 17:40 · 5 h before start
odds 1.91DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Virginia Cavaliers
-:-
Duke Blue Devils
Duke Blue Devils +2.5
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line
Singleposted 23 Oct, 17:40 · 9 h before start
odds 1.91DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Stanford Cardinal
-:-
North Carolina State Wolfpack
Stanford Cardinal +7.5
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line
Same-game combo · 2posted 22 Oct, 20:42 · 4 h before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Chicago Bears
30:24
New England Patriots
Chicago Bears −2.5✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Chicago Bears
30:24
New England Patriots
Under 50.5✕
Open on Xexpected 21% by model
Singleposted 21 Oct, 22:47 · 4 days before start
Pending
NFL · Regular Season·
Houston Texans
-:-
New York Giants
Under 46.5
Open on Xexpected 51% by model
Singleposted 20 Oct, 17:08 · 6 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Marshall Thundering Herd
20:13
South Alabama Jaguars
South Alabama Jaguars −2.5
Open on Xexpected 44% by model
Singleposted 20 Oct, 17:08 · 6 h before start
odds 1.90DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
FIU Golden Panthers
23:26
Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders
Under 46.5
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 19:50 · 4 h before start
odds 1.84DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
23:17
Washington Commanders
Washington Commanders +7.5
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line+0.84 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 23:59 · 20 min before start
odds 1.81DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Green Bay Packers
23:13
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys to win
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 23:59 · 20 min before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Green Bay Packers
23:13
Dallas Cowboys
Over 53.5
Open on Xexpected 67% by model
Singleposted 18 Oct, 03:54 · 13 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Cleveland Browns
13:10
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns +3.5
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Singleposted 18 Oct, 03:54 · 13 h before start
odds 1.86DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Philadelphia Eagles
14:25
Carolina Panthers
Carolina Panthers −3
Open on Xexpected 51% from the closing line+0.86 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 03:54 · 13 h before start
odds 1.92DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Indianapolis Colts
20:26
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts −6.5
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 00:59 · 16 h before start
odds 1.84DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
New England Patriots
26:19
New York Jets
New York Jets +7.5
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line+0.84 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 00:57 · 19 h before start
odds 1.86DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Las Vegas Raiders
30:33
Buffalo Bills
Las Vegas Raiders +5.5
Open on Xexpected 51% from the closing line+0.86 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 00:56 · 16 h before start
odds 1.86DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
19:26
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers −2.5
Open on Xexpected 51% from the closing line+0.86 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 13:15 · 6 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Virginia Tech Hokies
34:24
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Virginia Tech Hokies −9.5
Open on Xexpected 40% by model
Singleposted 17 Oct, 13:15 · 10 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Oklahoma Sooners
13:21
Kentucky Wildcats
Oklahoma Sooners −6.5
Open on Xexpected 41% by model
Singleposted 17 Oct, 13:15 · 6 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Air Force Falcons
41:31
UNLV Rebels
Air Force Falcons to win
Open on Xexpected 71% by model
Singleposted 17 Oct, 13:15 · 10 h before start
odds 1.90DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
BYU Cougars
28:24
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Notre Dame Fighting Irish −10.5
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 16 Oct, 14:09 · 10 h before start
odds 1.90DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Purdue Boilermakers
26:38
Washington Huskies
Under 50.5
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 16 Oct, 14:09 · 10 h before start
odds 1.86DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
32:35
Appalachian State Mountaineers
Over 48.5
Open on Xexpected 51% from the closing line+0.86 u
Singleposted 14 Oct, 17:33 · 4 days before start
odds 2.20DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Jacksonville Jaguars
31:34
Houston Texans
Houston Texans to win
Open on Xexpected 44% from the closing line+1.20 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 20:17 · 7 min before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Seattle Seahawks
29:32
San Francisco 49ers
Seattle Seahawks −2.5
Open on Xexpected 44% by model
Singleposted 10 Oct, 13:12 · 3 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Pittsburgh Panthers
17:21
North Carolina Tar Heels
Under 46.5
Open on Xexpected 51% by model
Singleposted 10 Oct, 13:12 · 6 h before start
odds 2.00DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Oklahoma Sooners
27:24
Texas Longhorns
Under 40.5
Open on Xexpected 48% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 4 Oct, 15:25 · 2 h before start
odds 1.92DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Buffalo Bills
26:29
New England Patriots
Buffalo Bills −7
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 4 Oct, 15:25 · 2 h before start
Push
NFL · Regular Season·
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
14:17
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers −3
Open on Xexpected 44% by model
Singleposted 4 Oct, 15:25 · 5 h before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
24:14
Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos +2.5
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Singleposted 4 Oct, 15:25 · 9 h before start
odds 1.86DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Carolina Panthers
32:26
Detroit Lions
Detroit Lions −3.5
Open on Xexpected 51% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 4 Oct, 15:25 · 2 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Philadelphia Eagles
20:24
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams −3.5
Open on Xexpected 44% by model