Jimmy Boyd

@boydsbets15.4K followersfirst pick 27 Aug

I bet on sports for a living and believe there is no point in being confident and having a small position. The money only goes one way

HockeyBaseballNFL & NCAAF

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Tipster index58.6needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Hit rate

100.0%

expected 52.5%

Edge

+47.5 pp

over expectation

Graded

3-0

ROI

on 3 picks with odds

Average odds

1.82

singles with odds

Form

streak W3 · best W3, worst L0

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Baseball1-0 · 1 graded

+50.5

100%

Hockey1-0 · 1 graded

+48.8

100%

NFL & NCAAF1-0 · 1 graded

+43.0

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result2-0 · 2 graded

+46.8

100%

Totals1-0 · 1 graded

+48.8

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Even3-0 · 3 graded

+47.5

100%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.892-0 · 2 graded

100%

1.90…2.291-0 · 1 graded

100%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).