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DylPicks33

@DylPicks33182 followersfirst pick 15 Octusually posts 7 h before start

#44/8 #Tiger Exposing Gods code get rich by the numbers #Numerology #GG33 #CUE

HockeyNFL & NCAAFBasketballBaseball
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Tipster index57.0#141 on the leaderboardnewdeveloping sample
Hit rate
57.6%
expected 50.9%
Edge
+6.7 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 43.4%, the edge is within noise
Graded
33
19-14
ROI
+3.0%
on 27 picks with odds · max drawdown −3.24 u
Average odds
1.88
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 · best W8, worst L4

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-2-101214 Oct17 Oct20 Oct23 Oct26 Oct

By sport

Hockey6-5 · 11 graded
−1.5
55%
NFL & NCAAF8-2 · 10 graded
+29.5
80%
Basketball3-4 · 7 graded
−2.6
43%
Baseball2-3 · 5 graded
−7.9
40%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result14-9 · 23 graded
+7.3
61%
Handicap4-4 · 8 graded
−0.6
50%
Parlays1-1 · 2 graded
+28.7
50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite8-1 · 9 graded
+24.5
89%
Even10-11 · 21 graded
−0.9
48%
Underdog0-1 · 1 graded
−36.6
0%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.504-0 · 4 graded
-
100%
1.50…1.896-4 · 10 graded
−1.4%
60%
1.90…2.295-4 · 9 graded
+11.0%
56%
2.30…3.491-3 · 4 graded
-
25%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    +6.7 pp
    19-14 · 58%
    ROI +3.0%

By league

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Same main sport, closest index

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Picks

Singleposted 25 Oct, 15:09 · 2 h before start
odds 2.36DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Baltimore Ravens
13:35
Cincinnati Bengals
Baltimore Ravens to win
Open on Xexpected 41% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 15:09 · 2 h before start
odds 2.00DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Jets
25:28
Miami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins +3.5
Open on Xexpected 48% from the closing line+1.00 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 15:09 · 2 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Tennessee Titans
24:27
Cleveland Browns
Tennessee Titans +3.5
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Singleposted 25 Oct, 15:09 · 2 h before start
odds 2.20DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Atlanta Falcons
29:20
San Francisco 49ers
Atlanta Falcons to win
Open on Xexpected 44% from the closing line+1.20 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 15:09 · 8 h before start
odds 2.02DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Winnipeg Jets
1:2
Montreal Canadiens
Winnipeg Jets to win
Open on Xexpected 47% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 15:09 · 11 h before start
odds 1.48DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Vancouver Canucks
2:4
Minnesota Wild
Minnesota Wild to win
Open on Xexpected 65% from the closing line+0.48 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 15:09 · 6 h before start
Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Utah Jazz
123:132
LA Lakers
Utah Jazz +8.5
Open on Xexpected 53% by model
Singleposted 25 Oct, 15:09 · 7 h before start
odds 1.45DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Brooklyn Nets
109:136
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers to win
Open on Xexpected 66% from the closing line+0.45 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 18:33 · 6 h before start
odds 2.24DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Utah Mammoth
5:4
Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning to win
Open on Xexpected 43% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 18:33 · 5 h before start
odds 1.86DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB · post-season·
Milwaukee Brewers
5:4
Tampa Bay Rays
Milwaukee Brewers to win
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line+0.86 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 18:33 · 5 h before start
odds 1.58DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Texas Longhorns
34:27
Ole Miss Rebels
Texas Longhorns to win
Open on Xexpected 61% from the closing line+0.58 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 18:33 · 7 h before start
odds 1.95DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Phoenix Suns
131:122
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors +9.5
Open on Xexpected 49% from the closing line+0.95 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 17:14 · 7 h before start
odds 2.65DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB · post-season·
Milwaukee Brewers
3:2
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays to win
Open on Xexpected 37% from the closing line−1.00 u
Parlay · 5posted 23 Oct, 17:14 · 7 h before start
Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Sacramento Kings
120:128
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers to win✓
NBA · Regular season·
LA Lakers
125:117
LA Clippers
LA Clippers +8.5✓
NBA · Regular season·
Miami Heat
111:128
Detroit Pistons
Miami Heat to win✕
NBA · Regular season·
San Antonio Spurs
110:114
Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets to win✓
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Chicago Blackhawks
1:4
Montreal Canadiens
Chicago Blackhawks to win✕
Open on Xexpected 3% by model
Singleposted 22 Oct, 16:20 · 8 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Chicago Bears
30:24
New England Patriots
Chicago Bears −2.5
Open on Xexpected 46% by model
Singleposted 22 Oct, 16:20 · 8 h before start
odds 1.50DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Dallas Stars
3:2
Winnipeg Jets
Dallas Stars to win
Open on Xexpected 64% from the closing line+0.50 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 16:20 · 7 h before start
odds 1.45DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New Jersey Devils
4:1
Anaheim Ducks
New Jersey Devils to win
Open on Xexpected 66% from the closing line+0.45 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 16:20 · 7 h before start
odds 1.92DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Pittsburgh Penguins
4:0
Florida Panthers
Pittsburgh Penguins to win
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line+0.92 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 16:20 · 9 h before start
Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Oklahoma City Thunder
96:84
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets +8.5
Open on Xexpected 53% by model
Singleposted 22 Oct, 15:48 · 8 h before start
odds 1.89DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Chicago Bears
30:24
New England Patriots
New England Patriots +3
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 17:44 · 8 h before start
odds 1.84DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
San Antonio Spurs
104:116
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder to win
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line+0.84 u
Same-game combo · 2posted 19 Oct, 16:52 · 7 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
23:17
Washington Commanders
Washington Commanders +7.5✓
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
23:17
Washington Commanders
San Francisco 49ers to win✓
Open on Xexpected 40% by model
Singleposted 19 Oct, 16:52 · 7 h before start
odds 2.34DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB · post-season·
Tampa Bay Rays
7:3
Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians to win
Open on Xexpected 42% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 16:52 · 6 h before start
odds 2.05DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Philadelphia Flyers
3:2
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche −1.5
Open on Xexpected 47% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 16:52 · 8 h before start
odds 1.54DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Utah Mammoth
5:4
Pittsburgh Penguins
Utah Mammoth to win
Open on Xexpected 62% from the closing line+0.54 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 16:25 · 8 h before start
odds 1.28Won
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
23:17
Washington Commanders
San Francisco 49ers to win@1.28
Open on Xexpected 75% from odds+0.28 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 19:25 · 5 min before start
odds 2.20DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
WNBA · WNBA: Play-off·
Golden State Valkyries
68:64
Atlanta Dream
Atlanta Dream to win
Open on Xexpected 44% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 18:58 · 4 h before start
odds 1.60DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Philadelphia Flyers
3:1
Ottawa Senators
Ottawa Senators to win
Open on Xexpected 60% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 18:58 · 3 h before start
odds 1.54DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Florida Panthers
8:3
Seattle Kraken
Florida Panthers to win
Open on Xexpected 62% from the closing line+0.54 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 18:55 · 5 h before start
odds 1.92DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB · post-season·
Cleveland Guardians
3:7
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays to win
Open on Xexpected 51% from the closing line+0.92 u