odds 2.00Void
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Arthur Gea
void
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina to win@2.00
Sir locks
🔪 I love tennis.🎾 Frequent risk taker of these as well: 🏀 ⚽️ 🏈#clv | https://t.co/BxTgCNJQsB @riceandcigss
Tennis
Hit rate
25.0%
expected 47.9%
Edge
−22.9 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 10.5%, the edge is within noise
Graded
12
3-9
ROI
−62.1%
on 10 picks with odds · max drawdown −7.06 u
Average odds
2.03
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 · best W1, worst L7
Wins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
Tennis3-9 · 12 graded
−22.925%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Match result2-8 · 10 graded
−28.220%
Handicap1-1 · 2 graded
+3.750%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
Favourites and underdogs
Even3-7 · 10 graded
−20.330%
Underdog0-2 · 2 graded
−35.70%
Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By odds
1.50…1.891-4 · 5 graded
−63.1%20%
1.90…2.291-2 · 3 graded
-33%
2.30…3.490-2 · 2 graded
-0%
Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).
By month
Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 1 months with 5+ picks- August 2026−22.2 pp2-5 · 29%ROI −45.9%
- September 2026−33.8 pp0-1 · 0%
- October 2026−21.3 pp1-3 · 25%
By league
- ATP Challenger2-529%−22.2
- ATP 10000-20%−46.3
- WTA 10001-150%+3.7
- WTA 2500-10%−33.8
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Picks
Won
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Daria Kasatkina
0:2
Jelena Ostapenko
Jelena Ostapenko −1.5 sets
Lost
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Yulia Putintseva
2:1
Zeynep Sonmez
Yulia Putintseva −1.5 sets
odds 2.02Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Martin Landaluce
0:2
Jan-Lennard Struff
Martin Landaluce to win@2.02
odds 2.10Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Adolfo Vallejo
2:0
Valentin Royer
Valentin Royer to win@2.10
odds 2.82Lost
WTA 250 · Singapore Open·
Leylah Fernandez
2:0
Talia Gibson
Talia Gibson to win@2.82
odds 2.53Lost
ATP Challenger · Quebec City, Canada·
Rei Sakamoto
1:2
Luca Van Assche
Rei Sakamoto to win@2.53
odds 1.85Won
ATP Challenger · Prague 2, Czech Republic·
Oleksii Krutykh
2:0
Nick Hardt
Oleksii Krutykh to win@1.85
odds 1.88Lost
ATP Challenger · Kingston, Jamaica·
Edward Winter
0:2
Gonzalo Bueno
Edward Winter to win@1.88
odds 1.65Lost
ATP Challenger · Kingston, Jamaica·
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
2:1
Andres Andrade
Andres Andrade to win@1.65
odds 1.94Won
ATP Challenger · Roehampton, England·
Mark Ceban
2:0
Iliyan Radulov
Mark Ceban to win@1.94
odds 1.67Lost
ATP Challenger · Sion, Switzerland·
Lorenzo Giustino
2:1
Henry Bernet
Henry Bernet to win@1.67
odds 1.83Lost
ATP Challenger · Roehampton, England·
Elmer Moller
0:2
Anton Matusevich
Elmer Moller to win@1.83