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The Athlete’s Atlas

@athletesatlas222 followersfirst pick 25 Sept

Exploring sports, one athlete at a time. ⚽ Football 🎾 Tennis 📊 Opinions • Analysis • Predictions

Tennis
Tipster index45.2needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Open picks 1

Games not played yet
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Zizou Bergs
-:-
Carlos Alcaraz
Zizou Bergs to win
Hit rate
0.0%
expected 38.1%
Edge
−38.1 pp
over expectation
Graded
3
0-2-1 · 1 pending
ROI
-
posts no odds
Average odds
-
singles with odds
Form
streak L2 · best W0, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-0.8-0.6-0.4-0.2024 Sept2 Oct10 Oct

By sport

Tennis0-2-1 · 3 graded
−38.1
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result0-2 · 2 graded
−38.1
0%
Totals0-0-1 · 1 graded
0.0
-

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite0-0-1 · 1 graded
0.0
-
Even0-1 · 1 graded
−40.4
0%
Underdog0-1 · 1 graded
−35.8
0%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By month

  • September 2026
    0.0 pp
    0-0-1 · -
  • October 2026
    −38.1 pp
    0-2 · 0%

By league

  • ATP 10000-20%−38.1
  • ATP team tournaments0-0-1-0.0

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Picks

Singleposted 12 Oct, 06:19 · 4 h before start
Pending
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Zizou Bergs
-:-
Carlos Alcaraz
Zizou Bergs to win
Open on Xexpected 28% by model
Singleposted 10 Oct, 05:19 · 4 h before start
Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Arthur Fils
2:0
Pavel Kotov
Pavel Kotov to win
Open on Xexpected 40% by model
Singleposted 10 Oct, 05:19 · 1 h before start
Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Matteo Arnaldi
0:2
Taylor Fritz
Matteo Arnaldi to win
Open on Xexpected 36% by model
Singleposted 25 Sept, 06:56 · 11 h before start
Push
ATP team tournaments · Laver Cup·
Rafael Jodar
2:0
Alexander Bublik
Over 2 sets
Open on Xexpected 97% by model