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@Wonderpunter906 followersfirst pick 8 Octusually posts 4 h before start

Free daily sports betting picks & odds. NFL, NCAAF, NBA, NCAAB, NHL & MLB. Every pick posted before the game. Wins and losses on record.

NFL & NCAAFHockeyBasketball
CompareRSS
Tipster index42.3#539 on the leaderboarddown 9 this weekestablished sample
Hit rate
53.8%
expected 59.9%
Edge
−6.1 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 42.6%, the edge is within noise
Graded
53
28-24-1
ROI
−9.9%
on 51 picks with odds · max drawdown −9.26 u
Average odds
1.61
singles with odds
Form
streak W3 · best W4, worst L4

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-6-4-207 Oct11 Oct15 Oct19 Oct23 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF16-15-1 · 32 graded
−10.3
52%
Hockey6-7 · 13 graded
−8.3
46%
Basketball6-2 · 8 graded
+14.1
75%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result27-22-1 · 50 graded
−5.8
55%
Handicap1-2 · 3 graded
−11.2
33%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite12-9-1 · 22 graded
−12.8
57%
Even16-15 · 31 graded
−1.5
52%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.508-6 · 14 graded
−27.2%
57%
1.50…1.8916-13-1 · 30 graded
−6.7%
55%
1.90…2.294-3 · 7 graded
+11.1%
57%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    −6.1 pp
    28-24-1 · 54%
    ROI −9.9%

By league

  • NFL13-9-159%−1.6
  • NHL6-746%−8.3
  • NCAAF3-633%−31.8
  • NBA6-275%+14.1

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Picks

Singleposted 22 Oct, 21:40 · 1 h before start
odds 1.90Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Pittsburgh Penguins
4:0
Florida Panthers
Pittsburgh Penguins to win@1.90
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.90 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 21:40 · 2 h before start
odds 1.83Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
St. Louis Blues
6:2
Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas Golden Knights to win@1.83
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 21:40 · 1 h before start
odds 1.93Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Toronto Maple Leafs
5:4
New York Rangers
New York Rangers to win@1.93
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 21:40 · 1 h before start
odds 1.67Won
NBA · Regular season·
Philadelphia 76ers
114:106
Cleveland Cavaliers
Philadelphia 76ers to win@1.67
Open on Xexpected 57% from odds+0.67 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 21:40 · 4 h before start
odds 1.33Won
NBA · Regular season·
Oklahoma City Thunder
96:84
Denver Nuggets
Oklahoma City Thunder to win@1.33
Open on Xexpected 72% from odds+0.33 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 17:05 · 7 h before start
odds 1.64DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Chicago Bears
30:24
New England Patriots
Chicago Bears to win
Open on Xexpected 58% from the closing line+0.64 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 17:05 · 7 h before start
odds 1.92DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Chicago Bears
30:24
New England Patriots
Chicago Bears −3
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line+0.92 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 21:00 · 2 h before start
odds 1.57DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Washington Wizards
128:116
Milwaukee Bucks
Washington Wizards to win
Open on Xexpected 61% from the closing line+0.57 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 21:00 · 3 h before start
odds 1.21DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Toronto Raptors
135:92
Chicago Bulls
Toronto Raptors to win
Open on Xexpected 79% from the closing line+0.21 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 21:00 · 6 h before start
odds 1.54DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
LA Clippers
121:96
Sacramento Kings
LA Clippers to win
Open on Xexpected 62% from the closing line+0.54 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 22:30 · 2 h before start
odds 1.24DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
23:17
Washington Commanders
San Francisco 49ers to win
Open on Xexpected 77% from the closing line+0.24 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 21:00 · 2 h before start
odds 1.72Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New York Rangers
5:2
Anaheim Ducks
New York Rangers to win@1.72
Open on Xexpected 55% from odds+0.72 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 21:00 · 2 h before start
odds 1.45Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Philadelphia Flyers
3:2
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche to win@1.45
Open on Xexpected 66% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 21:00 · 3 h before start
odds 1.74Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Toronto Maple Leafs
3:1
San Jose Sharks
Toronto Maple Leafs to win@1.74
Open on Xexpected 55% from odds+0.74 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 21:00 · 4 h before start
odds 1.57Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Utah Mammoth
5:4
Pittsburgh Penguins
Utah Mammoth to win@1.57
Open on Xexpected 61% from odds+0.57 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 16:00 · 27 h before start
odds 2.05DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Detroit Pistons
121:113
Boston Celtics
Detroit Pistons to win
Open on Xexpected 47% from the closing line+1.05 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 16:00 · 31 h before start
odds 1.57DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NBA · Regular season·
New York Knicks
100:106
Philadelphia 76ers
New York Knicks to win
Open on Xexpected 61% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 16:00 · 34 h before start
odds 1.98DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NBA · Regular season·
San Antonio Spurs
104:116
Oklahoma City Thunder
San Antonio Spurs to win
Open on Xexpected 48% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 18:57 · 5 h before start
odds 1.81DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Green Bay Packers
23:13
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys to win
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 18:55 · 2 h before start
odds 1.26Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Kansas City Chiefs
22:6
Los Angeles Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs to win@1.26
Open on Xexpected 76% from odds+0.26 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 18:55 · 2 h before start
odds 1.43Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Las Vegas Raiders
30:33
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills to win@1.43
Open on Xexpected 67% from odds+0.43 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 18:55 · 1 h before start
odds 1.12Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Rams
16:18
Arizona Cardinals
Los Angeles Rams to win@1.12
Open on Xexpected 85% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 14:55 · 2 h before start
odds 1.71Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
19:26
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers to win@1.71
Open on Xexpected 56% from odds+0.71 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 14:55 · 2 h before start
odds 1.59Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Cleveland Browns
13:10
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens to win@1.59
Open on Xexpected 60% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 14:55 · 2 h before start
odds 1.32Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Indianapolis Colts
20:26
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts to win@1.32
Open on Xexpected 72% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 14:55 · 2 h before start
odds 1.29Won
NFL · Regular Season·
New England Patriots
26:19
New York Jets
New England Patriots to win@1.29
Open on Xexpected 74% from odds+0.29 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 14:55 · 2 h before start
odds 1.87Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Atlanta Falcons
23:31
Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears to win@1.87
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds+0.87 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 12:56 · 33 min before start
odds 1.70DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Jacksonville Jaguars
31:34
Houston Texans
Jacksonville Jaguars to win
Open on Xexpected 56% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 16 Oct, 18:31 · 5 h before start
odds 1.61Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Purdue Boilermakers
26:38
Washington Huskies
Purdue Boilermakers to win@1.61
Open on Xexpected 59% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 16 Oct, 18:31 · 5 h before start
odds 1.38Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Tulane Green Wave
31:17
Memphis Tigers
Memphis Tigers to win@1.38
Open on Xexpected 69% from odds−1.00 u