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Greeno Picks🤑

@GreenoPicks29 followersfirst pick 30 Septusually posts 2 h before start

Trusted NFL, CFB, NBA, MLB capper. #GamblingX 📊Statiscally backed picks +37.3 units last month

NFL & NCAAFBaseballHockey
Tipster index42.6#364 on the leaderboardnewdeveloping sample
Hit rate
45.8%
expected 54.1%
Edge
−8.3 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 30.4%, the edge is within noise
Graded
24
11-13
ROI
-
on 1 picks with odds
Average odds
1.67
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 · best W3, worst L5

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-3-2-1029 Sept2 Oct5 Oct8 Oct12 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF9-11 · 20 graded
−8.2
45%
Baseball1-2 · 3 graded
−23.6
33%
Hockey1-0 · 1 graded
+34.9
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap8-5 · 13 graded
+0.9
62%
Match result1-3 · 4 graded
−31.1
25%
Parlays1-3 · 4 graded
−1.6
25%
Totals1-2 · 3 graded
−26.8
33%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite6-2 · 8 graded
+7.0
75%
Even4-6 · 10 graded
−16.9
40%
Underdog0-2 · 2 graded
−39.8
0%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.890-1 · 1 graded
-
0%

Singles with the odds stated in the post. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • September 2026
    −57.1 pp
    0-1 · 0%
  • October 2026
    −6.2 pp
    11-12 · 48%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 11 Oct, 23:57 · 23 min before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Atlanta Falcons
23:30
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens +3
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 19:54 · 30 min before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Seattle Seahawks
29:32
San Francisco 49ers
Seattle Seahawks to win
Open on Xexpected 55% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 19:54 · 30 min before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Arizona Cardinals
21:45
Detroit Lions
Arizona Cardinals +7.5
Open on Xexpected 68% by model
Singleposted 10 Oct, 23:17 · 13 min before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Alabama Crimson Tide
17:20
Georgia Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide to win
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Singleposted 10 Oct, 23:11 · 18 min before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Penn State Nittany Lions
23:31
USC Trojans
Penn State Nittany Lions +3.5
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Singleposted 10 Oct, 14:58 · 1 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Nebraska Cornhuskers
17:20
Indiana Hoosiers
Nebraska Cornhuskers +8.5
Open on Xexpected 73% by model
Singleposted 10 Oct, 14:49 · 9 h before start
Lost
MLB · post-season·
Cleveland Guardians
2:0
Chicago White Sox
Over 7.5
Open on Xexpected 61% by model
Singleposted 10 Oct, 14:48 · 2 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Florida Gators
19:38
South Carolina Gamecocks
South Carolina Gamecocks +17.5
Open on Xexpected 51% by model
Parlay · 2posted 9 Oct, 21:57 · 3 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
San Jose State Spartans
13:16
Wyoming Cowboys
Wyoming Cowboys +10.5✓
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Washington Huskies
24:41
Iowa Hawkeyes
Under 51.5✕
Open on Xexpected 40% by model
Singleposted 9 Oct, 16:18 · 9 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Washington Huskies
24:41
Iowa Hawkeyes
Washington Huskies −2.5
Open on Xexpected 40% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 9 Oct, 13:37 · 9 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Louisville Cardinals
44:20
Florida State Seminoles
Louisville Cardinals −3.5✓
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Louisville Cardinals
44:20
Florida State Seminoles
Under 59.5✕
Open on Xexpected 22% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 9 Oct, 13:37 · 11 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Washington Huskies
24:41
Iowa Hawkeyes
Washington Huskies −2.5✕
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Washington Huskies
24:41
Iowa Hawkeyes
Under 41.5✕
Open on Xexpected 22% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 9 Oct, 13:37 · 13 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
BYU Cougars
24:10
Iowa State Cyclones
BYU Cougars −10.5✓
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
BYU Cougars
24:10
Iowa State Cyclones
Under 46.5✓
Open on Xexpected 24% by model
Singleposted 8 Oct, 20:40 · 4 h before start
Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Calgary Flames
3:7
Colorado Avalanche
Over 5.5
Open on Xexpected 65% by model
Singleposted 8 Oct, 20:38 · 4 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Dallas Cowboys
16:24
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +9.5
Open on Xexpected 73% by model
Singleposted 6 Oct, 20:10 · 2 h before start
Won
MLB · post-season·
Atlanta Braves
1:3
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers to win
Open on Xexpected 53% by model
Singleposted 5 Oct, 18:19 · 6 h before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
24:45
Atlanta Falcons
Under 47.5
Open on Xexpected 54% by model
Singleposted 4 Oct, 20:11 · 13 min before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
24:14
Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos +3.5
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Singleposted 4 Oct, 20:11 · 13 min before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Las Vegas Raiders
27:30
Kansas City Chiefs
Las Vegas Raiders +5.5
Open on Xexpected 68% by model
Singleposted 4 Oct, 14:50 · 2 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Buffalo Bills
26:29
New England Patriots
New England Patriots +7.5
Open on Xexpected 68% by model
Singleposted 4 Oct, 14:50 · 2 h before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Cincinnati Bengals
17:22
Jacksonville Jaguars
Cincinnati Bengals −2.5
Open on Xexpected 40% by model
Singleposted 3 Oct, 18:05 · 5 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
TCU Horned Frogs
10:17
BYU Cougars
TCU Horned Frogs +7.5
Open on Xexpected 68% by model
Singleposted 2 Oct, 22:07 · 52 min before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Virginia Tech Hokies
33:35
Pittsburgh Panthers
Pittsburgh Panthers +3.5
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Singleposted 30 Sept, 19:15 · 2 h before start
odds 1.67Lost
MLB · post-season·
Houston Astros
3:7
Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros to win@1.67
Open on Xexpected 57% from odds−1.00 u