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HausPicks

@hauspicks40 followersfirst pick 7 Octusually posts 11 h before start

🏠 Daily Sports Picks 📈30% ROI ⚾ MLB | 🏈 NFL/CFB | 🏒 NHL | 🏀 NBA 📠 Straights and Primetime Parlays 💰 Free Picks Daily 💰One unit a piece

NFL & NCAAFBaseballHockey
CompareRSS
Tipster index38.6#397 on the leaderboardnewdeveloping sample
Hit rate
40.0%
expected 50.5%
Edge
−10.5 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 27.6%, the edge is within noise
Graded
37
14-21-2
ROI
−28.0%
on 28 picks with odds · max drawdown −9.30 u
Average odds
1.94
singles with odds
Form
streak L2 · best W5, worst L9

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-4-2026 Oct8 Oct9 Oct10 Oct12 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF10-18-1 · 29 graded
−14.6
36%
Baseball4-1-1 · 6 graded
+28.7
80%
Hockey0-2 · 2 graded
−51.4
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap7-11-1 · 19 graded
−12.4
39%
Match result5-6 · 11 graded
−2.4
45%
Totals2-4-1 · 7 graded
−20.1
33%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite0-3-1 · 4 graded
−67.3
0%
Even13-16-1 · 30 graded
−5.1
45%
Underdog1-2 · 3 graded
−6.0
33%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.892-5 · 7 graded
−48.8%
29%
1.90…2.298-11-1 · 20 graded
−17.1%
42%
2.30…3.490-1 · 1 graded
-
0%

Singles with the odds stated in the post. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    −10.5 pp
    14-21-2 · 40%
    ROI −28.0%

By league

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Same main sport, closest index

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Picks

Singleposted 11 Oct, 21:40 · 2 h before start
odds 1.96Lost
MLB · post-season·
Milwaukee Brewers
2:1
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers to win@1.96
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 21:40 · 2 h before start
odds 1.71Won
MLB · post-season·
Milwaukee Brewers
2:1
Los Angeles Dodgers
Under 6.5@1.71
Open on Xexpected 56% from odds+0.71 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 06:08 · 7 h before start
odds 1.87Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Jacksonville Jaguars
19:17
Philadelphia Eagles
Over 41.5@1.87
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 06:08 · 11 h before start
odds 1.91Push
NFL · Regular Season·
Miami Dolphins
24:31
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals −7@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.00 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 06:08 · 11 h before start
odds 2.14Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Jets
17:12
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns to win@2.14
Open on Xexpected 45% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 06:08 · 11 h before start
odds 1.95Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Tennessee Titans
3:26
Houston Texans
Tennessee Titans +7@1.95
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 06:08 · 11 h before start
odds 1.95Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Pittsburgh Steelers
34:22
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts +2.5@1.95
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 06:08 · 11 h before start
odds 1.91Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Green Bay Packers
31:7
Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears −1.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 06:08 · 11 h before start
odds 1.91Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
New England Patriots
45:17
Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas Raiders +3.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 06:08 · 11 h before start
odds 2.16Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
13:23
Minnesota Vikings
New Orleans Saints to win@2.16
Open on Xexpected 44% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 06:08 · 11 h before start
odds 1.89Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Washington Commanders
27:27
New York Giants
Washington Commanders −3.5@1.89
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 06:08 · 14 h before start
odds 1.89Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Chargers
17:23
Denver Broncos
Los Angeles Chargers +3.5@1.89
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 06:08 · 14 h before start
odds 1.93Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Arizona Cardinals
21:45
Detroit Lions
Over 54.5@1.93
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds+0.93 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 06:08 · 14 h before start
odds 1.96Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Seattle Seahawks
29:32
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers +3@1.96
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds+0.96 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 06:08 · 18 h before start
odds 1.82Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Atlanta Falcons
23:30
Baltimore Ravens
Atlanta Falcons −3@1.82
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 04:54 · 11 h before start
odds 1.91Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Nebraska Cornhuskers
17:20
Indiana Hoosiers
Nebraska Cornhuskers +7.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 04:54 · 11 h before start
odds 2.40Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Missouri Tigers
27:6
Texas A&M Aggies
Texas A&M Aggies to win@2.40
Open on Xexpected 40% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 04:54 · 15 h before start
odds 1.91Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Oklahoma Sooners
27:24
Texas Longhorns
Texas Longhorns −7.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 04:54 · 15 h before start
odds 1.91Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Vanderbilt Commodores
17:52
Ole Miss Rebels
Ole Miss Rebels −9.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 04:54 · 15 h before start
odds 1.91Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Oregon Ducks
15:17
UCLA Bruins
UCLA Bruins +11.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 04:54 · 19 h before start
odds 2.04Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Alabama Crimson Tide
17:20
Georgia Bulldogs
Georgia Bulldogs to win@2.04
Open on Xexpected 47% from odds+1.04 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 04:54 · 22 h before start
odds 1.91Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Fresno State Bulldogs
31:38
Boise State Broncos
Boise State Broncos −6.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 04:54 · 19 h before start
odds 2.02Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Penn State Nittany Lions
23:31
USC Trojans
USC Trojans to win@2.02
Open on Xexpected 47% from odds+1.02 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 15:44 · 9 h before start
odds 1.94Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Utah State Aggies
17:16
Washington State Cougars
Over 43.5@1.94
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 15:39 · 7 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Louisville Cardinals
44:20
Florida State Seminoles
Florida State Seminoles +4
Open on Xexpected 68% by model
Singleposted 9 Oct, 15:39 · 9 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Washington Huskies
24:41
Iowa Hawkeyes
Washington Huskies −2.5
Open on Xexpected 40% by model
Singleposted 9 Oct, 15:39 · 9 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
San Jose State Spartans
13:16
Wyoming Cowboys
Over 42.5
Open on Xexpected 66% by model
Singleposted 9 Oct, 15:28 · 8 h before start
odds 1.71Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Detroit Red Wings
3:6
Seattle Kraken
Detroit Red Wings to win@1.71
Open on Xexpected 56% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 15:28 · 8 h before start
odds 2.02Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Columbus Blue Jackets
3:2
Pittsburgh Penguins
penalties
Pittsburgh Penguins to win@2.02
Open on Xexpected 47% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 8 Oct, 18:35 · 6 h before start
odds 1.91Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Dallas Cowboys
16:24
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Over 47.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u