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Pronóstico y Aciertos.

@SabioDelParley7.1K followersfirst pick 21 Augusually posts 4 h before start

Asesoría Deportiva Gratuita ⚾🏀🏈🏒⚽ // Publicidad al DM 📩

HockeyBaseballBasketball
Tipster index59.3needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history
Hit rate
75.0%
expected 52.9%
Edge
+22.1 pp
over expectation
Graded
8
6-2
ROI
+37.3%
on 8 picks with odds · max drawdown −2.00 u
Average odds
1.83
singles with odds
Form
streak W4 · best W4, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

00.511.520 Aug8 Sept26 Sept15 Oct3 Nov

By sport

Hockey3-1 · 4 graded
+21.0
75%
Baseball2-1 · 3 graded
+14.0
67%
Basketball1-0 · 1 graded
+51.2
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result6-2 · 8 graded
+22.1
75%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Even6-2 · 8 graded
+22.1
75%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.894-1 · 5 graded
+41.0%
80%
1.90…2.292-1 · 3 graded
-
67%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

  • August 2026
    +14.0 pp
    2-1 · 67%
  • October 2026
    +20.8 pp
    3-1 · 75%
  • November 2026
    +51.8 pp
    1-0 · 100%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 2 Nov, 21:46 · 2 h before start
odds 1.98DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Boston Bruins
3:2
Vegas Golden Knights
penalties
Boston Bruins to win
Open on Xexpected 48% from the closing line+0.98 u
Singleposted 30 Oct, 18:58 · 4 h before start
odds 1.95DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Washington Wizards
95:79
Charlotte Hornets
Washington Wizards to win
Open on Xexpected 49% from the closing line+0.95 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 19:56 · 2 h before start
odds 1.76DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Columbus Blue Jackets
3:7
Florida Panthers
Columbus Blue Jackets to win
Open on Xexpected 54% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 19:56 · 5 h before start
odds 1.74DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Nashville Predators
2:5
Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas Golden Knights to win
Open on Xexpected 55% from the closing line+0.74 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 19:56 · 3 h before start
odds 1.64DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Carolina Hurricanes
4:2
Washington Capitals
Carolina Hurricanes to win
Open on Xexpected 58% from the closing line+0.64 u
Singleposted 31 Aug, 19:41 · 3 h before start
odds 1.92DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB·
Washington Nationals
6:3
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins to win
Open on Xexpected 51% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 21 Aug, 18:59 · 4 h before start
odds 1.87DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB·
Baltimore Orioles
5:3
Tampa Bay Rays
Baltimore Orioles to win
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line+0.87 u
Singleposted 21 Aug, 18:59 · 5 h before start
odds 1.80DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB·
Chicago White Sox
6:4
New York Mets
Chicago White Sox to win
Open on Xexpected 55% from the closing line+0.80 u