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Professor Bets

@professorbetss49 followersfirst pick 7 Octusually posts 2 h before start

Sports Bettor | 🏀🏈🏒 👊🏻 | Picks daily on Instagram

HockeyNFL & NCAAFBasketballBaseball
CompareRSS
Tipster index59.9#110 on the leaderboardup 114 this weekdeveloping sample
Hit rate
62.1%
expected 52.0%
Edge
+10.1 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 46.9%, the edge is within noise
Graded
29
18-11
ROI
+17.1%
on 11 picks with odds · max drawdown −2.26 u
Average odds
1.90
singles with odds
Form
streak W10 · best W10, worst L4

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-2026 Oct14 Oct21 Oct28 Oct5 Nov

By sport

Hockey8-6 · 14 graded
+3.7
57%
NFL & NCAAF5-2 · 7 graded
+21.1
71%
Basketball5-1 · 6 graded
+27.7
83%
Baseball0-2 · 2 graded
−36.2
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap8-2 · 10 graded
+23.5
80%
Parlays4-5 · 9 graded
−3.1
44%
Totals4-3 · 7 graded
+4.3
57%
Match result2-1 · 3 graded
+18.5
67%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite2-1 · 3 graded
−6.8
67%
Even12-5 · 17 graded
+20.1
71%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.895-1 · 6 graded
+49.7%
83%
1.90…2.292-2 · 4 graded
-
50%
2.30…3.490-1 · 1 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    +5.6 pp
    15-11 · 58%
    ROI +11.4%
  • November 2026
    +49.2 pp
    3-0 · 100%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 4 Nov, 23:49 · 3 h before start
odds 1.74DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Seattle Kraken
2:1
Calgary Flames
Seattle Kraken to win
Open on Xexpected 55% from the closing line+0.74 u
Singleposted 1 Nov, 14:06 · 4 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Buffalo Bills
36:10
Baltimore Ravens
Buffalo Bills −2.5
Open on Xexpected 49% by model
Singleposted 1 Nov, 14:06 · 4 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Detroit Lions
19:15
Minnesota Vikings
Detroit Lions −2.5
Open on Xexpected 49% by model
Singleposted 27 Oct, 20:27 · 4 h before start
Won
NBA · Regular season·
New York Knicks
111:97
Detroit Pistons
New York Knicks −2.5
Open on Xexpected 56% by model
Singleposted 27 Oct, 20:27 · 7 h before start
Won
NBA · Regular season·
LA Lakers
129:136
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers +3.5
Open on Xexpected 63% by model
Singleposted 26 Oct, 23:32 · 2 h before start
odds 1.80DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Edmonton Oilers
3:4
Detroit Red Wings
penalties
Over 6.5
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line+0.80 u
Singleposted 26 Oct, 22:26 · 2 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Philadelphia Eagles
21:38
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys −2.5
Open on Xexpected 49% by model
Parlay · 2posted 24 Oct, 22:58 · 1 min before start
Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Boston Bruins
6:4
San Jose Sharks
Boston Bruins to win✓
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
St. Louis Blues
0:4
Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina Hurricanes +1.5✓
Open on Xexpected 58% by model
Parlay · 2posted 24 Oct, 22:57 · 2 h before start
Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Utah Mammoth
5:4
Tampa Bay Lightning
Utah Mammoth to win✓
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Seattle Kraken
1:5
Minnesota Wild
Minnesota Wild to win✓
Open on Xexpected 36% by model
Singleposted 23 Oct, 22:15 · 44 min before start
Won
NBA · Regular season·
Charlotte Hornets
81:128
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks −1.5
Open on Xexpected 56% by model
Parlay · 4posted 22 Oct, 22:20 · 39 min before start
Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Boston Bruins
6:0
Nashville Predators
Boston Bruins +1.5✓
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New York Islanders
2:3
Los Angeles Kings
Los Angeles Kings +2.5✓
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Seattle Kraken
5:3
Utah Mammoth
Utah Mammoth +1.5✕
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Vancouver Canucks
2:5
Detroit Red Wings
Detroit Red Wings +1.5✓
Open on Xexpected 65% by model
Singleposted 22 Oct, 22:01 · 59 min before start
odds 1.90DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Philadelphia 76ers
114:106
Cleveland Cavaliers
Philadelphia 76ers −2.5
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line+0.90 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 03:34 · 19 h before start
Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Ottawa Senators
2:6
San Jose Sharks
Ottawa Senators +1.5
Open on Xexpected 92% by model
Parlay · 2posted 21 Oct, 22:46 · 44 min before start
Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Buffalo Sabres
1:3
Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia Flyers +2.5✓
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Ottawa Senators
5:1
Florida Panthers
Ottawa Senators +1.5✓
Open on Xexpected 82% by model
Singleposted 21 Oct, 22:30 · 4 h before start
odds 2.30DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NBA · Regular season·
Portland Trail Blazers
124:83
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns to win
Open on Xexpected 42% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 22:19 · 1 h before start
Won
NBA · Regular season·
Toronto Raptors
135:92
Chicago Bulls
Under 238.5
Open on Xexpected 66% by model
Singleposted 19 Oct, 22:05 · 55 min before start
odds 1.74DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Philadelphia Flyers
3:2
Colorado Avalanche
Under 6.5
Open on Xexpected 55% from the closing line+0.74 u
Parlay · 2posted 18 Oct, 13:10 · 4 h before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Indianapolis Colts
20:26
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts to win✕
NFL · Regular Season·
New England Patriots
26:19
New York Jets
New England Patriots to win✓
Open on Xexpected 54% by model
Singleposted 13 Oct, 22:25 · 3 h before start
odds 1.98DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Utah Mammoth
5:4
Toronto Maple Leafs
Under 6.5
Open on Xexpected 48% from the closing line−1.00 u
Parlay · 2posted 13 Oct, 22:24 · 1 h before start
Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New York Islanders
3:2
Vancouver Canucks
Vancouver Canucks under 2.5✓
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Chicago Blackhawks
5:3
Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins to win✕
Open on Xexpected 28% by model
Singleposted 11 Oct, 20:00 · 25 min before start
odds 1.90DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Seattle Seahawks
29:32
San Francisco 49ers
Seattle Seahawks −3
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 16:10 · 50 min before start
odds 1.86DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Jets
17:12
Cleveland Browns
New York Jets −2.5
Open on Xexpected 51% from the closing line+0.86 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 16:05 · 55 min before start
odds 1.84DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Tennessee Titans
3:26
Houston Texans
Under 37.5
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line+0.84 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 21:13 · 2 h before start
odds 1.84DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Washington Capitals
3:1
New York Rangers
Over 5.5
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 21:12 · 3 h before start
odds 2.00DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Winnipeg Jets
1:5
Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim Ducks to win
Open on Xexpected 48% from the closing line+1.00 u
Singleposted 8 Oct, 23:00 · 1 h before start
Lost
MLB · post-season·
Chicago White Sox
5:9
Cleveland Guardians
Under 7.5
Open on Xexpected 44% by model
Parlay · 2posted 8 Oct, 20:56 · 4 h before start
Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Vegas Golden Knights
4:3
Toronto Maple Leafs
penalties
Vegas Golden Knights to win✓
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Calgary Flames
3:7
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche to win✓
Open on Xexpected 41% by model
Parlay · 2posted 7 Oct, 22:11 · 1 h before start
Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Winnipeg Jets
3:2
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche to win✕
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Anaheim Ducks
2:5
Edmonton Oilers
Edmonton Oilers to win✓
Open on Xexpected 35% by model
Parlay · 2posted 7 Oct, 18:47 · 1 h before start
Lost
MLB · post-season·
Chicago White Sox
3:9
Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox to win✕
MLB · post-season·
Atlanta Braves
1:4
Los Angeles Dodgers
Under 8.5✓
Open on Xexpected 29% by model