SGT. BETS

@SGTBETS33 followersfirst pick 12 Oct

BETTING MADE EASY - SHARP PLAYS - NBA NFL MANY MORE...

BasketballNFL & NCAAF

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Tipster index43.6needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Hit rate

25.0%

expected 52.2%

Edge

−27.2 pp

over expectation

Graded

1-3

ROI

on 2 picks with odds

Average odds

1.80

singles with odds

Form

streak W1 · best W1, worst L3

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Basketball1-2 · 3 graded

−20.8

33%

NFL & NCAAF0-1 · 1 graded

−46.3

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result1-1 · 2 graded

−3.9

50%

Handicap0-2 · 2 graded

−50.4

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite1-0 · 1 graded

+40.0

100%

Even0-3 · 3 graded

−49.5

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.891-0 · 1 graded

100%

1.90…2.290-1 · 1 graded

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).