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OH Picks

@OHPicks_484 followersfirst pick 1 Augusually posts 34 min before start

| Amante de los deportes | Apuestas + Contenido Deportivo |

BaseballNFL & NCAAFBasketballFootball
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Tipster index41.3#552 on the leaderboarddown 6 this weekestablished sample

Open picks 3

Games not played yet
NBA · Regular season·
Charlotte Hornets
-:-
Atlanta Hawks
Charlotte Hornets +3@1.87
NBA · Regular season·
Orlando Magic
-:-
Minnesota Timberwolves
Orlando Magic to win@2.00
Benin · Ligue 1·
Cavaliers
-:-
AS Sobemap
Cavaliers +3.5@1.80
Hit rate
43.1%
expected 48.4%
Edge
−5.3 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 36.3%, the edge is within noise
Graded
137
59-78 · 3 pending
ROI
−15.4%
on 137 picks with odds · max drawdown −29.43 u
Average odds
1.98
singles with odds
Form
streak W4 · best W6, worst L6

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-15-10-5031 Jul21 Aug11 Sept2 Oct23 Oct

By sport

Baseball37-57 · 94 graded
−7.9
39%
NFL & NCAAF20-17 · 37 graded
+3.2
54%
Basketball2-1 · 3 graded
+17.4
67%
Football0-3 · 3 graded
−50.7
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result39-64 · 103 graded
−9.6
38%
Handicap20-13 · 33 graded
+9.7
61%
Totals0-1 · 1 graded
−52.0
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Even59-78 · 137 graded
−5.3
43%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.8922-21 · 43 graded
−5.8%
51%
1.90…2.2936-57 · 93 graded
−21.4%
39%
2.30…3.491-0 · 1 graded
-
100%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 3 months with 5+ picks
  • August 2026
    −9.8 pp
    24-40 · 38%
    ROI −24.0%
  • September 2026
    −15.9 pp
    11-23 · 32%
    ROI −35.6%
  • October 2026
    +11.3 pp
    24-15 · 62%
    ROI +16.5%

By league

  • MLB · USA37-5739%−7.9
  • NCAAF11-858%+7.0
  • NFL9-950%−0.8
  • NBA2-167%+17.4
  • Hong Kong Premier League0-20%−48.8
  • Ligue 1 · Benin0-0--
  • Europa League0-10%−54.7

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Same main sport, closest index

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Picks

Singleposted 23 Oct, 21:53 · 1 h before start
odds 1.87Pending
NBA · Regular season·
Charlotte Hornets
-:-
Atlanta Hawks
Charlotte Hornets +3@1.87
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds
Singleposted 23 Oct, 19:12 · 4 h before start
odds 2.00Pending
NBA · Regular season·
Orlando Magic
-:-
Minnesota Timberwolves
Orlando Magic to win@2.00
Open on Xexpected 48% from odds
Singleposted 22 Oct, 22:52 · 1 h before start
odds 1.77Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Chicago Bears
30:24
New England Patriots
Chicago Bears −2.5@1.77
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds+0.77 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 21:02 · 42 h before start
odds 1.80Pending
Benin · Ligue 1·
Cavaliers
-:-
AS Sobemap
Cavaliers +3.5@1.80
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds
Singleposted 21 Oct, 23:24 · 36 min before start
odds 1.89Won
NBA · Regular season·
New Orleans Pelicans
120:123
Indiana Pacers
New Orleans Pelicans +3.5@1.89
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.89 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 21:46 · 2 h before start
odds 2.00Won
NBA · Regular season·
Miami Heat
106:131
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves to win@2.00
Open on Xexpected 48% from odds+1.00 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 22:54 · 36 min before start
odds 1.87Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Marshall Thundering Herd
20:13
South Alabama Jaguars
Marshall Thundering Herd +2.5@1.87
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds+0.87 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 22:05 · 54 min before start
odds 1.91Lost
NBA · Regular season·
New York Knicks
100:106
Philadelphia 76ers
New York Knicks −4.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 21:51 · 2 h before start
odds 1.87Won
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
23:17
Washington Commanders
Washington Commanders +7.5@1.87
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds+0.87 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 23:58 · 22 min before start
odds 1.91Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Green Bay Packers
23:13
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys to win@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 16:12 · 47 min before start
odds 1.87Won
NFL · Regular Season·
New England Patriots
26:19
New York Jets
New York Jets +7.5@1.87
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds+0.87 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 15:58 · 1 h before start
odds 2.12Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
19:26
Pittsburgh Steelers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win@2.12
Open on Xexpected 45% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 19:05 · 25 min before start
odds 1.89DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Tennessee Volunteers
26:10
Alabama Crimson Tide
Tennessee Volunteers +7.5
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line+0.89 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 15:07 · 53 min before start
odds 1.79Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Michigan State Spartans
21:24
Northwestern Wildcats
Michigan State Spartans +7.5@1.79
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds+0.79 u
Singleposted 16 Oct, 23:43 · 16 min before start
odds 1.95Void
MLB · post-season·
Cleveland Guardians
void
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Guardians to win@1.95
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds
Singleposted 15 Oct, 23:15 · 59 min before start
odds 1.91Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Denver Broncos
17:14
Seattle Seahawks
Denver Broncos +2.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 15 Oct, 16:45 · 15 min before start
odds 1.77Won
MLB · post-season·
Cleveland Guardians
3:2
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Guardians to win@1.77
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds+0.77 u
Singleposted 14 Oct, 22:10 · 2 h before start
odds 1.87Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Sam Houston State Bearkats
3:16
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to win@1.87
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds+0.87 u
Singleposted 13 Oct, 22:44 · 1 h before start
odds 2.10Lost
MLB · post-season·
Tampa Bay Rays
3:1
Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians to win@2.10
Open on Xexpected 45% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 12 Oct, 23:32 · 43 min before start
odds 2.00Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Rams
34:37
Buffalo Bills
Los Angeles Rams −3.5@2.00
Open on Xexpected 48% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 12 Oct, 20:07 · 52 min before start
odds 2.15Won
MLB · post-season·
Milwaukee Brewers
7:4
Los Angeles Dodgers
Milwaukee Brewers to win@2.15
Open on Xexpected 44% from odds+1.15 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 20:16 · 8 min before start
odds 2.00Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Seattle Seahawks
29:32
San Francisco 49ers
Seattle Seahawks −3@2.00
Open on Xexpected 48% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 11 Oct, 16:08 · 52 min before start
odds 1.91Won
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Jets
17:12
Cleveland Browns
New York Jets −2.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 22:57 · 33 min before start
odds 1.87Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Alabama Crimson Tide
17:20
Georgia Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide −2.5@1.87
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 19:00 · 30 min before start
odds 1.87Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Kansas State Wildcats
16:35
Houston Cougars
Kansas State Wildcats −2.5@1.87
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 16:07 · 38 min before start
odds 1.87Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Florida Gators
19:38
South Carolina Gamecocks
South Carolina Gamecocks +10.5@1.87
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds+0.87 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 20:00 · 5 h before start
odds 1.79Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Washington Huskies
24:41
Iowa Hawkeyes
Washington Huskies −2.5@1.79
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 8 Oct, 23:10 · 1 h before start
odds 1.91Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Dallas Cowboys
16:24
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +9.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 8 Oct, 21:35 · 2 h before start
odds 1.87Won
MLB · post-season·
Chicago White Sox
5:9
Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians to win@1.87
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds+0.87 u
Singleposted 7 Oct, 22:48 · 12 min before start
odds 1.95Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Kennesaw State Owls
26:27
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Kennesaw State Owls +2.5@1.95
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds+0.95 u