B0BBY W./BIG RICK PayPal.me @RobertWAGNER703

@RobertW04145422849 followersfirst pick 3 Augusually posts 6 h before start

Sports fanatic/Music Lover

Baseball

CompareRSS

Tipster index40.7#381 on the leaderboarddeveloping sample

Hit rate

52.1%

expected 59.7%

Edge

−7.6 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 40.5%, the edge is within noise

Graded

25-23

ROI

posts no odds

Average odds

singles with odds

Form

streak W5 · best W5, worst L5

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Baseball25-23 · 48 graded

−7.6

52%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result24-21 · 45 graded

−6.5

53%

Handicap1-2 · 3 graded

−23.4

33%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite12-10 · 22 graded

−10.0

55%

Even13-13 · 26 graded

−5.5

50%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 2 months with 5+ picks

August 2026
−8.3 pp
20-19 · 51%
September 2026
−4.3 pp
5-4 · 56%

By league

MLB · USA25-2352%−7.6

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Same main sport, closest index

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Picks

Singleposted 29 Sept, 15:02 · 3 h before start

Won

MLB · post-season·29 Sept, 18:00

Atlanta Braves

5:3

Philadelphia Phillies

Atlanta Braves to win

Singleposted 29 Sept, 15:02 · 6 h before start

Won

MLB · post-season·29 Sept, 21:00

Houston Astros

3:6

Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox to win

Singleposted 29 Sept, 15:02 · 11 h before start

Won

MLB · post-season·30 Sept, 02:00

San Diego Padres

8:0

Chicago Cubs

San Diego Padres to win

Singleposted 24 Sept, 13:07 · 3 h before start

Won

MLB·24 Sept, 16:35

Pittsburgh Pirates

2:1

St. Louis Cardinals

Pittsburgh Pirates to win

Singleposted 24 Sept, 13:07 · 5 h before start

Won

MLB·24 Sept, 18:20

Chicago Cubs

2:1

Miami Marlins

Chicago Cubs to win

Singleposted 2 Sept, 05:23 · 13 h before start

Lost

MLB·2 Sept, 18:35

Texas Rangers

2:9

Athletics

Texas Rangers to win

Singleposted 2 Sept, 05:23 · 14 h before start

Lost

MLB·2 Sept, 19:10

Colorado Rockies

6:5

Baltimore Orioles

Baltimore Orioles to win

Singleposted 2 Sept, 05:23 · 15 h before start

Lost

MLB·2 Sept, 20:10

Boston Red Sox

3:8

Seattle Mariners

Boston Red Sox to win

Singleposted 2 Sept, 05:23 · 17 h before start

Lost

MLB·2 Sept, 22:40

Tampa Bay Rays

4:10

New York Mets

Tampa Bay Rays to win

Singleposted 24 Aug, 17:05 · 6 h before start

Won

MLB·24 Aug, 22:45

Washington Nationals

13:3

Colorado Rockies

Washington Nationals to win

Singleposted 24 Aug, 17:05 · 7 h before start

Lost

MLB·24 Aug, 23:40

Chicago White Sox

2:11

Texas Rangers

Chicago White Sox to win

Singleposted 24 Aug, 17:05 · 9 h before start

Won

MLB·25 Aug, 01:38

Los Angeles Angels

2:4

Cleveland Guardians

Cleveland Guardians to win

Singleposted 24 Aug, 17:05 · 9 h before start

Won

MLB·25 Aug, 01:40

San Diego Padres

2:3

Pittsburgh Pirates

San Diego Padres +1.5

Singleposted 24 Aug, 17:05 · 9 h before start

Lost

MLB·25 Aug, 01:45

San Francisco Giants

5:0

Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati Reds to win

Singleposted 11 Aug, 18:09 · 5 h before start

Won

MLB·11 Aug, 23:05

New York Yankees

4:1

Seattle Mariners

New York Yankees to win

Singleposted 11 Aug, 18:09 · 5 h before start

Won

MLB·11 Aug, 23:15

Atlanta Braves

4:0

New York Mets

Atlanta Braves to win

Singleposted 11 Aug, 18:09 · 6 h before start

Lost

MLB·11 Aug, 23:40

Chicago White Sox

4:5

Cincinnati Reds

Chicago White Sox to win

Singleposted 11 Aug, 18:09 · 6 h before start

Lost

MLB·11 Aug, 23:45

St. Louis Cardinals

2:0

Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies to win

Singleposted 11 Aug, 18:09 · 8 h before start

Lost

MLB·12 Aug, 01:40

Arizona Diamondbacks

2:3

Colorado Rockies

Arizona Diamondbacks to win

Singleposted 10 Aug, 16:43 · 6 h before start

Lost

MLB·10 Aug, 23:07

Toronto Blue Jays

2:1

Boston Red Sox

Boston Red Sox to win

Singleposted 10 Aug, 16:43 · 7 h before start

Lost

MLB·10 Aug, 23:15

Atlanta Braves

5:8

New York Mets

Atlanta Braves to win

Singleposted 10 Aug, 16:43 · 7 h before start

Lost

MLB·10 Aug, 23:45

St. Louis Cardinals

5:6

Philadelphia Phillies

St. Louis Cardinals to win

Singleposted 10 Aug, 16:43 · 9 h before start

Won

MLB·11 Aug, 01:40

Arizona Diamondbacks

9:0

Colorado Rockies

Arizona Diamondbacks to win

Singleposted 10 Aug, 16:43 · 9 h before start

Won

MLB·11 Aug, 02:10

Los Angeles Dodgers

6:5

Kansas City Royals

Los Angeles Dodgers to win

Singleposted 9 Aug, 11:28 · 6 h before start

Lost

MLB·9 Aug, 17:35

Boston Red Sox

3:4

Athletics

Boston Red Sox to win

Singleposted 9 Aug, 11:28 · 6 h before start

Lost

MLB·9 Aug, 17:35

New York Yankees

1:2

Atlanta Braves

New York Yankees to win

Singleposted 9 Aug, 11:28 · 6 h before start

Won

MLB·9 Aug, 17:35

Philadelphia Phillies

7:6

Toronto Blue Jays

Philadelphia Phillies to win

Singleposted 9 Aug, 11:28 · 6 h before start

Won

MLB·9 Aug, 17:40

Miami Marlins

12:3

Los Angeles Angels

Miami Marlins to win

Singleposted 9 Aug, 11:28 · 7 h before start

Lost

MLB·9 Aug, 18:10

Milwaukee Brewers

4:3

Minnesota Twins

Milwaukee Brewers −1.5

Singleposted 9 Aug, 11:28 · 7 h before start

Won

MLB·9 Aug, 18:15

St. Louis Cardinals

7:4

Colorado Rockies

St. Louis Cardinals to win