Won
MLB · post-season·
Tampa Bay Rays
7:3
Cleveland GuardiansOver 6.5
Biggie bets|Sports Props
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BaseballNFL & NCAAFHockey
Hit rate
41.7%
expected 56.3%
Edge
−14.6 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 22.0%, the edge is within noise
Graded
12
5-7
ROI
−71.4%
on 6 picks with odds · max drawdown −5.00 u
Average odds
1.72
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 · best W3, worst L6
Wins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
Baseball3-3 · 6 graded
−3.450%
NFL & NCAAF2-2 · 4 graded
−14.550%
Hockey0-2 · 2 graded
−48.60%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Match result1-4 · 5 graded
−39.720%
Totals2-3 · 5 graded
−9.440%
Handicap2-0 · 2 graded
+35.1100%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
Favourites and underdogs
Favourite3-2 · 5 graded
−6.960%
Even2-5 · 7 graded
−20.229%
Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By odds
< 1.500-1 · 1 graded
-0%
1.50…1.891-3 · 4 graded
-25%
1.90…2.290-1 · 1 graded
-0%
Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).
By month
Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 1 months with 5+ picks- October 2026−14.6 pp5-7 · 42%ROI −71.4%
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Picks
Cleveland Guardiansodds 1.37DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Oklahoma Sooners
13:21
Kentucky WildcatsOklahoma Sooners to win
odds 1.92DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itVoid
MLB · post-season·
Cleveland Guardians
void
Tampa Bay RaysOver 6.5
odds 1.64DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Denver Broncos
17:14
Seattle SeahawksSeattle Seahawks to win
Lost
MLB · post-season·
Los Angeles Dodgers
2:6
Milwaukee BrewersUnder 7.5
odds 1.76DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Columbus Blue Jackets
3:7
Florida PanthersColumbus Blue Jackets to win
odds 1.61DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB · post-season·
Tampa Bay Rays
3:7
Cleveland GuardiansTampa Bay Rays to win
Lost
MLB · post-season·
Milwaukee Brewers
7:4
Los Angeles DodgersUnder 7.5
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
UTSA Roadrunners
31:24
South Florida BullsSouth Florida Bulls +7.5
Won
MLB · post-season·
New York Yankees
3:4
Tampa Bay RaysUnder 7.5
odds 2.24DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Anaheim Ducks
2:5
Edmonton OilersUnder 6.5
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Kennesaw State Owls
26:27
Jacksonville State GamecocksKennesaw State Owls +3.5
odds 1.71Won
MLB · post-season·
San Diego Padres
4:3
Milwaukee BrewersSan Diego Padres to win@1.71