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Mr. Magic's Picks | Sports Betting

@MrMagicsPicks93 followersfirst pick 23 Octusually posts 18 h before start

🥊 Mr. Magic’s Picks Boxing MMA NFL NCAAF NBA NCAABB MLB NHL BKFC Tennis

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Tipster index56.2#170 on the leaderboardnewdeveloping sample

Open picks 3

Games not played yet
WTA 500 · Pan Pacific Open (Tokyo)·
Alexandra Eala
-:-
Mika Stojsavljevic
Alexandra Eala to win@1.12
ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel·
Mika Brunold
-:-
Nuno Borges
Nuno Borges to win@1.33
ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel·
Holger Rune
-:-
Quentin Halys
Holger Rune to win@1.83
Hit rate
66.7%
expected 58.4%
Edge
+8.3 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 47.4%, the edge is within noise
Graded
18
12-6 · 3 pending
ROI
+23.0%
on 12 picks with odds · max drawdown −1.40 u
Average odds
1.60
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 · best W5, worst L3

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

00.5123 Oct24 Oct25 Oct26 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF7-6 · 13 graded
−4.1
54%
Baseball2-0 · 2 graded
+42.1
100%
Basketball2-0 · 2 graded
+50.1
100%
Tennis1-0 · 1 graded
+17.5
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result8-2 · 10 graded
+11.2
80%
Handicap4-2 · 6 graded
+21.2
67%
Totals0-1 · 1 graded
−64.3
0%
Parlays0-1 · 1 graded
−26.6
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite6-3 · 9 graded
−7.3
67%
Even4-2 · 6 graded
+18.9
67%
Underdog2-0 · 2 graded
+63.6
100%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.504-2 · 6 graded
−20.8%
67%
1.50…1.892-0 · 2 graded
-
100%
1.90…2.292-1 · 3 graded
-
67%
2.30…3.491-0 · 1 graded
-
100%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    +8.3 pp
    12-6 · 67%
    ROI +23.0%

By league

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Same main sport, closest index

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Picks

Singleposted 26 Oct, 00:14 · 14 h before start
odds 1.83Pending
ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel·
Holger Rune
-:-
Quentin Halys
Holger Rune to win@1.83
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds
Singleposted 26 Oct, 00:14 · 12 h before start
odds 1.33Pending
ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel·
Mika Brunold
-:-
Nuno Borges
Nuno Borges to win@1.33
Open on Xexpected 71% from odds
Singleposted 26 Oct, 00:14 · 5 h before start
odds 1.15Won
WTA 500 · Pan Pacific Open (Tokyo)·
Moyuka Uchijima
0:2
Elise Mertens
Elise Mertens to win@1.15
Open on Xexpected 83% from odds+0.15 u
Singleposted 26 Oct, 00:14 · 8 h before start
odds 1.12Pending
WTA 500 · Pan Pacific Open (Tokyo)·
Alexandra Eala
-:-
Mika Stojsavljevic
Alexandra Eala to win@1.12
Open on Xexpected 85% from odds
Same-game combo · 2posted 25 Oct, 13:48 · 3 h before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Tennessee Titans
24:27
Cleveland Browns
Tennessee Titans to win@2.14✕
NFL · Regular Season·
Tennessee Titans
24:27
Cleveland Browns
Tennessee Titans +1.5✕
Open on Xexpected 27% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 14:12 · 10 h before start
odds 1.86DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB · post-season·
Milwaukee Brewers
5:4
Tampa Bay Rays
Milwaukee Brewers to win
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line+0.86 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 13:03 · 12 h before start
odds 1.91Won
NBA · Regular season·
Atlanta Hawks
114:121
Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets +1.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 13:03 · 10 h before start
odds 1.91Won
NBA · Regular season·
Philadelphia 76ers
127:116
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks +12.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 01:12 · 40 h before start
odds 1.91Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Minnesota Vikings
16:10
Indianapolis Colts
Minnesota Vikings −6.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 22:41 · 1 h before start
odds 1.53DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB · post-season·
Milwaukee Brewers
3:2
Tampa Bay Rays
Milwaukee Brewers to win
Open on Xexpected 63% from the closing line+0.53 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 22:05 · 43 h before start
odds 2.80DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Jets
25:28
Miami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins to win
Open on Xexpected 34% from the closing line+1.80 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 22:05 · 21 h before start
odds 1.11DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
UCLA Bruins
28:10
Michigan State Spartans
UCLA Bruins to win
Open on Xexpected 86% from the closing line+0.11 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 22:05 · 21 h before start
odds 1.16DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Alabama Crimson Tide
31:20
Texas A&M Aggies
Alabama Crimson Tide to win
Open on Xexpected 82% from the closing line+0.16 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 22:05 · 18 h before start
odds 1.23DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Cincinnati Bearcats
37:24
Texas Tech Red Raiders
Texas Tech Red Raiders to win
Open on Xexpected 78% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 22:05 · 18 h before start
odds 1.33DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Michigan Wolverines
6:13
Indiana Hoosiers
Indiana Hoosiers to win
Open on Xexpected 72% from the closing line+0.33 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 22:05 · 21 h before start
odds 1.32DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
UCF Knights
39:31
BYU Cougars
BYU Cougars to win
Open on Xexpected 72% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 22:05 · 28 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
New Mexico Lobos
21:16
North Dakota State Bison
New Mexico Lobos to win
Open on Xexpected 65% by model
Singleposted 23 Oct, 22:05 · 18 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Auburn Tigers
17:38
LSU Tigers
LSU Tigers −6.5
Open on Xexpected 42% by model
Singleposted 23 Oct, 22:05 · 21 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Minnesota Golden Gophers
13:10
Iowa Hawkeyes
Iowa Hawkeyes −6.5
Open on Xexpected 42% by model
Singleposted 23 Oct, 22:05 · 25 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Arizona Wildcats
39:3
Iowa State Cyclones
Arizona Wildcats −9.5
Open on Xexpected 39% by model
Singleposted 23 Oct, 22:05 · 28 h before start
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Utah Utes
21:13
Houston Cougars
Over 56.5
Open on Xexpected 64% by model