Charger Jack ⚡️

@RecoveredParlay54 followersfirst pick 12 Augusually posts 4 h before start

Recovered parlay addict. Individual picks only — NFL, NBA, MLB & College. Sharp lines, honest record. The Chargers are my only losing bet. ⚡

NFL & NCAAFBaseballHockeyBasketball

CompareRSS

Tipster index51.7#185 on the leaderboardestablished sample

Hit rate

55.3%

expected 54.1%

Edge

+1.2 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 45.9%, the edge is within noise

Graded

42-34

ROI

posts no odds

Average odds

singles with odds

Form

streak L2 · best W5, worst L4

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

NFL & NCAAF19-22 · 41 graded

−3.5

46%

Baseball20-11 · 31 graded

+5.9

65%

Hockey2-1 · 3 graded

+2.0

67%

Basketball1-0 · 1 graded

+45.1

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result26-14 · 40 graded

+4.0

65%

Handicap14-12 · 26 graded

+4.9

54%

Parlays1-5 · 6 graded

−9.2

17%

Totals1-3 · 4 graded

−35.7

25%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite21-15 · 36 graded

−4.8

58%

Even15-9 · 24 graded

+8.7

63%

Underdog5-5 · 10 graded

+11.0

50%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 3 months with 5+ picks

August 2026
−10.3 pp
12-14 · 46%
September 2026
+9.0 pp
28-17 · 62%
October 2026
−8.7 pp
2-3 · 40%

By league

MLB · USA20-1165%+5.9
NFL9-1243%−6.2
NCAAF10-1050%−0.7
NHL2-167%+2.0
WNBA1-0100%+45.1

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Picks

Same-game combo · 2posted 10 Oct, 16:23 · 3 h before start

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·10 Oct, 19:30

Oklahoma Sooners

27:24

Texas Longhorns

Texas Longhorns to win✕

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·10 Oct, 19:30

Oklahoma Sooners

27:24

Texas Longhorns

Under 41.5✕

Same-game combo · 2posted 1 Oct, 23:26 · 48 min before start

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·2 Oct, 00:15

Cleveland Browns

27:24

Pittsburgh Steelers

Pittsburgh Steelers −2.5✕

NFL · Regular Season·2 Oct, 00:15

Cleveland Browns

27:24

Pittsburgh Steelers

Under 39.5✕

Singleposted 30 Sept, 17:51 · 9 min before start

Won

MLB · post-season·30 Sept, 18:00

Atlanta Braves

3:4

Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies to win

Singleposted 30 Sept, 17:51 · 3 h before start

Lost

MLB · post-season·30 Sept, 21:00

Houston Astros

3:7

Chicago White Sox

Houston Astros to win

Singleposted 30 Sept, 17:51 · 6 h before start

Lost

MLB · post-season·1 Oct, 00:00

New York Yankees

9:2

Boston Red Sox

Boston Red Sox +1.5

Singleposted 30 Sept, 17:51 · 8 h before start

Won

MLB · post-season·1 Oct, 02:00

San Diego Padres

4:1

Chicago Cubs

San Diego Padres to win

Singleposted 30 Sept, 17:51 · 8 h before start

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·1 Oct, 02:00

Colorado Avalanche

8:4

Los Angeles Kings

Colorado Avalanche to win

Singleposted 30 Sept, 17:51 · 5 h before start

Won

WNBA · WNBA: Play-off·30 Sept, 23:00

Washington Mystics

75:93

Atlanta Dream

Atlanta Dream −2.5

Same-game combo · 2posted 30 Sept, 00:16 · 2 h before start

Won

MLB · post-season·30 Sept, 02:00

San Diego Padres

8:0

Chicago Cubs

San Diego Padres to win✓

MLB · post-season·30 Sept, 02:00

San Diego Padres

8:0

Chicago Cubs

Over 7.5✓

Singleposted 30 Sept, 00:16 · 2 h before start

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·30 Sept, 02:00

Edmonton Oilers

5:6

Vancouver Canucks

Edmonton Oilers to win

Singleposted 30 Sept, 00:16 · 2 h before start

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·30 Sept, 02:30

Vegas Golden Knights

5:2

Chicago Blackhawks

Vegas Golden Knights to win

Same-game combo · 2posted 29 Sept, 00:04 · 11 min before start

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·29 Sept, 00:15

Chicago Bears

27:7

Philadelphia Eagles

Philadelphia Eagles to win✕

NFL · Regular Season·29 Sept, 00:15

Chicago Bears

27:7

Philadelphia Eagles

Under 43.5✓

Singleposted 26 Sept, 19:41 · 3 h before start

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·26 Sept, 23:00

Alabama Crimson Tide

49:18

South Carolina Gamecocks

Alabama Crimson Tide −10.5

Singleposted 26 Sept, 19:41 · 34 min before start

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·26 Sept, 20:15

Auburn Tigers

21:15

Vanderbilt Commodores

Auburn Tigers −9.5

Same-game combo · 3posted 26 Sept, 19:41 · 4 h before start

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·26 Sept, 23:30

LSU Tigers

35:6

Texas A&M Aggies

LSU Tigers −7✓

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·26 Sept, 23:30

LSU Tigers

35:6

Texas A&M Aggies

Under 40✕

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·26 Sept, 23:30

LSU Tigers

35:6

Texas A&M Aggies

Under 43.5✓

Singleposted 19 Sept, 16:01 · 3 h before start

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·19 Sept, 19:30

Louisville Cardinals

41:31

SMU Mustangs

Louisville Cardinals to win

Singleposted 19 Sept, 16:01 · 3 h before start

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·19 Sept, 19:30

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

35:42

USC Trojans

USC Trojans −20.5

Singleposted 19 Sept, 16:01 · 3 h before start

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·19 Sept, 19:30

Alabama Crimson Tide

50:36

Florida State Seminoles

Alabama Crimson Tide −18.5

Singleposted 19 Sept, 16:01 · 7 h before start

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·19 Sept, 23:00

Auburn Tigers

39:44

Florida Gators

Florida Gators to win

Singleposted 19 Sept, 16:01 · 7 h before start

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·19 Sept, 23:30

Ole Miss Rebels

32:24

LSU Tigers

LSU Tigers to win

Singleposted 17 Sept, 18:55 · 5 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·18 Sept, 00:15

Buffalo Bills

41:31

Detroit Lions

Buffalo Bills −3

Singleposted 17 Sept, 18:55 · 15 min before start

Won

MLB·17 Sept, 19:10

Colorado Rockies

2:9

San Diego Padres

San Diego Padres to win

Singleposted 17 Sept, 18:55 · 5 h before start

Won

MLB·18 Sept, 00:05

Texas Rangers

3:4

Boston Red Sox

Boston Red Sox to win

Singleposted 13 Sept, 16:44 · 16 min before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·13 Sept, 17:00

Jacksonville Jaguars

34:10

Cleveland Browns

Jacksonville Jaguars −7

Singleposted 13 Sept, 16:44 · 16 min before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·13 Sept, 17:00

Pittsburgh Steelers

20:13

Atlanta Falcons

Pittsburgh Steelers −6

Singleposted 13 Sept, 16:44 · 16 min before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·13 Sept, 17:00

Houston Texans

31:36

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo Bills to win

Singleposted 13 Sept, 16:44 · 16 min before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·13 Sept, 17:00

Carolina Panthers

37:59

Chicago Bears

Chicago Bears to win

Singleposted 13 Sept, 16:44 · 4 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·13 Sept, 20:25

Las Vegas Raiders

27:13

Miami Dolphins

Las Vegas Raiders to win

Singleposted 13 Sept, 16:44 · 16 min before start

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·13 Sept, 17:00

Detroit Lions

31:30

New Orleans Saints

Detroit Lions −6

Singleposted 13 Sept, 16:44 · 4 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·13 Sept, 20:25

Minnesota Vikings

39:22

Green Bay Packers

Minnesota Vikings to win