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@Mike628919686149 followersfirst pick 10 Octusually posts 14 h before start

LEGIT AND SURE BETTING TIPS AVAILABLE 💯WIN MATCHES 💯VERIFIED https://t.co/YH8r7NHW9B

NFL & NCAAFBasketballHockeyTennisFootball
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Tipster index43.3#524 on the leaderboarddown 203 this weekestablished sample

Open picks 6

Games not played yet
NBA · Regular season·
Milwaukee Bucks
live
Chicago Bulls
Milwaukee Bucks to win@1.85DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use it
NBA · Regular season·
Miami Heat
-:-
Detroit Pistons
Miami Heat to win +9
NBA · Regular season·
Washington Wizards
-:-
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors to win@1.29DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use it
NBA · Regular season·
Boston Celtics
-:-
New York Knicks
New York Knicks to win@2.20DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use it
NBA · Regular season·
Indiana Pacers
-:-
Dallas Mavericks
Indiana Pacers −6.5
NBA · Regular season·
Charlotte Hornets
-:-
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks to win@1.70DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use it
Hit rate
52.8%
expected 57.3%
Edge
−4.5 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 44.2%, the edge is within noise
Graded
89
47-42 · 12 pending
ROI
−7.7%
on 68 picks with odds · max drawdown −9.69 u
Average odds
1.79
singles with odds
Form
streak W2 · best W4, worst L7

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-6-4-209 Oct13 Oct16 Oct19 Oct23 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF15-20 · 35 graded
−12.3
43%
Basketball10-13 · 23 graded
−5.5
43%
Hockey13-5 · 18 graded
+8.8
72%
Tennis6-2 · 8 graded
+9.0
75%
Football3-2 · 5 graded
−14.4
60%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result37-27 · 64 graded
−1.4
58%
Handicap8-9 · 17 graded
−11.9
47%
Parlays0-4 · 4 graded
−11.8
0%
Totals1-2 · 3 graded
−24.3
33%
Double chance1-0 · 1 graded
+15.5
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite34-13 · 47 graded
+2.9
72%
Even12-22 · 34 graded
−14.4
35%
Underdog1-3 · 4 graded
+0.3
25%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.5018-7 · 25 graded
−3.9%
72%
1.50…1.8917-8 · 25 graded
+11.3%
68%
1.90…2.291-9 · 10 graded
−80.2%
10%
2.30…3.491-3 · 4 graded
-
25%
3.50+1-2 · 3 graded
-
33%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    −4.5 pp
    47-42 · 53%
    ROI −7.7%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 23 Oct, 14:50 · 8 h before start
odds 1.29DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NBA · Regular season·
Washington Wizards
-:-
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors to win
Open on Xexpected 74% from the closing line
Singleposted 23 Oct, 14:50 · 8 h before start
odds 2.20DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NBA · Regular season·
Boston Celtics
-:-
New York Knicks
New York Knicks to win
Open on Xexpected 44% from the closing line
Singleposted 23 Oct, 14:50 · 8 h before start
Pending
NBA · Regular season·
Indiana Pacers
-:-
Dallas Mavericks
Indiana Pacers −6.5
Open on Xexpected 59% by model
Singleposted 23 Oct, 14:50 · 5 h before start
odds 1.85DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NBA · Regular season·
Milwaukee Bucks
live
Chicago Bulls
Milwaukee Bucks to win
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line
Singleposted 23 Oct, 14:50 · 8 h before start
odds 1.70DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NBA · Regular season·
Charlotte Hornets
-:-
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks to win
Open on Xexpected 56% from the closing line
Parlay · 10posted 23 Oct, 06:40 · 13 h before start
Pending
NBA · Regular season·
Miami Heat
-:-
Detroit Pistons
Miami Heat to win◷
NBA · Regular season·
Indiana Pacers
-:-
Dallas Mavericks
Indiana Pacers to win◷
NBA · Regular season·
LA Lakers
-:-
LA Clippers
LA Lakers to win◷
NBA · Regular season·
Charlotte Hornets
-:-
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks to win◷
NBA · Regular season·
San Antonio Spurs
-:-
Houston Rockets
San Antonio Spurs to win◷
NBA · Regular season·
Milwaukee Bucks
live
Chicago Bulls
Milwaukee Bucks +10.5◷
NBA · Regular season·
Golden State Warriors
-:-
Memphis Grizzlies
Golden State Warriors to win◷
NBA · Regular season·
Orlando Magic
-:-
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves to win◷
NBA · Regular season·
Boston Celtics
-:-
New York Knicks
Boston Celtics to win◷
NBA · Regular season·
Utah Jazz
-:-
New Orleans Pelicans
Utah Jazz to win◷
Open on Xexpected 1% by model
Singleposted 21 Oct, 22:00 · 4 days before start
odds 1.34Pending
NFL · Regular Season·
Minnesota Vikings
-:-
Indianapolis Colts
Minnesota Vikings to win@1.34
Open on Xexpected 71% from odds
Singleposted 21 Oct, 22:00 · 26 h before start
odds 1.64Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Chicago Bears
30:24
New England Patriots
Chicago Bears to win@1.64
Open on Xexpected 58% from odds+0.64 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 22:00 · 4 days before start
odds 1.43Pending
NFL · Regular Season·
Arizona Cardinals
-:-
Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos to win@1.43
Open on Xexpected 67% from odds
Singleposted 21 Oct, 22:00 · 4 days before start
odds 2.46Pending
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
-:-
Pittsburgh Steelers
New Orleans Saints to win@2.46
Open on Xexpected 39% from odds
Singleposted 21 Oct, 22:00 · 4 days before start
odds 1.66Pending
NFL · Regular Season·
Baltimore Ravens
-:-
Cincinnati Bengals
Baltimore Ravens to win@1.66
Open on Xexpected 57% from odds
Singleposted 21 Oct, 22:00 · 4 days before start
odds 1.58Pending
NFL · Regular Season·
Detroit Lions
-:-
Green Bay Packers
Detroit Lions to win@1.58
Open on Xexpected 60% from odds
Singleposted 21 Oct, 22:00 · 4 days before start
odds 1.19Pending
NFL · Regular Season·
Houston Texans
-:-
New York Giants
Houston Texans to win@1.19
Open on Xexpected 80% from odds
Parlay · 4posted 21 Oct, 13:05 · 10 h before start
odds 9.50Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Orlando Magic
125:132
Atlanta Hawks
Orlando Magic to win✕
NBA · Regular season·
Miami Heat
106:131
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves to win✓
NBA · Regular season·
Brooklyn Nets
103:110
Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte Hornets to win✓
NBA · Regular season·
Toronto Raptors
135:92
Chicago Bulls
Toronto Raptors −9.5✓
Open on Xexpected 9% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 09:40 · 13 h before start
odds 1.74DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NBA · Regular season·
Orlando Magic
125:132
Atlanta Hawks
Orlando Magic to win
Open on Xexpected 55% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 09:40 · 14 h before start
Won
NBA · Regular season·
Brooklyn Nets
103:110
Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte Hornets +8.5
Open on Xexpected 49% by model
Singleposted 21 Oct, 09:40 · 14 h before start
Won
NBA · Regular season·
Miami Heat
106:131
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves +7.5
Open on Xexpected 49% by model
Singleposted 21 Oct, 09:40 · 14 h before start
Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Memphis Grizzlies
123:103
Utah Jazz
Over 231.5
Open on Xexpected 39% by model
Singleposted 21 Oct, 09:40 · 16 h before start
Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Portland Trail Blazers
124:83
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns +9.5
Open on Xexpected 49% by model
Singleposted 21 Oct, 09:40 · 17 h before start
odds 1.54DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
LA Clippers
121:96
Sacramento Kings
LA Clippers to win
Open on Xexpected 62% from the closing line+0.54 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 06:10 · 20 h before start
odds 1.94Lost
NBA · Regular season·
LA Lakers
127:105
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors +6.5@1.94
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 06:10 · 18 h before start
odds 2.34Lost
NBA · Regular season·
New Orleans Pelicans
120:123
Indiana Pacers
New Orleans Pelicans to win@2.34
Open on Xexpected 41% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 06:10 · 17 h before start
odds 4.30Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Toronto Raptors
135:92
Chicago Bulls
Chicago Bulls to win@4.30
Open on Xexpected 22% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 06:10 · 17 h before start
odds 1.88Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Brooklyn Nets
103:110
Charlotte Hornets
Brooklyn Nets −2.5@1.88
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 06:10 · 17 h before start
odds 1.93Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Miami Heat
106:131
Minnesota Timberwolves
Miami Heat −1.5@1.93
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 06:09 · 17 h before start
odds 1.98DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Miami Heat
106:131
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves to win
Open on Xexpected 48% from the closing line+0.98 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 06:09 · 17 h before start
odds 1.57DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Washington Wizards
128:116
Milwaukee Bucks
Washington Wizards to win
Open on Xexpected 61% from the closing line+0.57 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 06:09 · 20 h before start
odds 1.43DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
LA Lakers
127:105
Golden State Warriors
LA Lakers to win
Open on Xexpected 67% from the closing line+0.43 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 06:09 · 18 h before start
odds 2.05DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NBA · Regular season·
Memphis Grizzlies
123:103
Utah Jazz
Utah Jazz to win
Open on Xexpected 47% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 06:09 · 17 h before start
Won
NBA · Regular season·
Orlando Magic
125:132
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks +4.5
Open on Xexpected 65% by model