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@LakhwaniTiffany503 followersfirst pick 2 Augusually posts 5 h before start

Daily Sports Picks + Parlays Subscribe now with Premium picks ↓ https://t.co/Mr6jyPtRta 7 day FREE trial - XBETWTIFF26

BaseballNFL & NCAAFHockey
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Tipster index59.7#112 on the leaderboardup 9 this weekdeveloping sample
Hit rate
65.5%
expected 55.6%
Edge
+9.9 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 50.3%, the edge is within noise
Graded
29
19-10
ROI
+0.9%
on 22 picks with odds · max drawdown −4.23 u
Average odds
1.75
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 · best W5, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-101231 Aug22 Aug12 Sept3 Oct24 Oct

By sport

Baseball9-9 · 18 graded
−4.3
50%
NFL & NCAAF7-0 · 7 graded
+44.7
100%
Hockey3-1 · 4 graded
+12.9
75%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result7-7 · 14 graded
−8.3
50%
Totals6-3 · 9 graded
+13.0
67%
Handicap6-0 · 6 graded
+47.7
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite6-1 · 7 graded
+21.6
86%
Even13-9 · 22 graded
+6.2
59%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.501-0 · 1 graded
-
100%
1.50…1.899-6 · 15 graded
+0.9%
60%
1.90…2.293-3 · 6 graded
−3.3%
50%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 2 of 2 months with 5+ picks
  • August 2026
    +5.6 pp
    9-6 · 60%
    ROI −27.8%
  • September 2026
    +15.1 pp
    7-3 · 70%
    ROI +29.7%
  • October 2026
    +12.9 pp
    3-1 · 75%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 24 Oct, 18:59 · 4 h before start
odds 1.70Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Pittsburgh Penguins
3:2
Nashville Predators
Pittsburgh Penguins to win@1.70
Open on Xexpected 56% from odds+0.70 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 16:45 · 6 h before start
odds 1.65Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Philadelphia Flyers
3:1
Ottawa Senators
Ottawa Senators to win@1.65
Open on Xexpected 58% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 16:45 · 6 h before start
odds 1.64Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Detroit Red Wings
4:3
San Jose Sharks
penalties
Detroit Red Wings to win@1.64
Open on Xexpected 58% from odds+0.64 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 16:45 · 3 h before start
odds 1.25DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Tampa Bay Lightning
4:2
Vancouver Canucks
Tampa Bay Lightning to win
Open on Xexpected 77% from the closing line+0.25 u
Singleposted 18 Sept, 22:04 · 4 h before start
odds 1.90DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB·
Los Angeles Angels
0:3
Minnesota Twins
Over 8
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Sept, 22:04 · 2 h before start
odds 1.85DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB·
Colorado Rockies
4:5
Seattle Mariners
Over 10.5
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Sept, 22:04 · 2 h before start
odds 1.87DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB·
Chicago White Sox
8:11
Detroit Tigers
Over 8
Open on Xexpected 51% from the closing line+0.87 u
Singleposted 18 Sept, 22:04 · 1 h before start
odds 1.84DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB·
Baltimore Orioles
5:6
Milwaukee Brewers
Over 8
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line+0.84 u
Singleposted 17 Sept, 22:36 · 2 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Buffalo Bills
41:31
Detroit Lions
Over 53.5
Open on Xexpected 64% by model
Singleposted 12 Sept, 15:09 · 8 h before start
odds 1.54Won
MLB·
Milwaukee Brewers
13:9
Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers to win@1.54
Open on Xexpected 62% from odds+0.54 u
Singleposted 9 Sept, 16:26 · 6 h before start
Lost
MLB·
Philadelphia Phillies
11:7
Houston Astros
Under 8.5
Open on Xexpected 51% by model
Singleposted 9 Sept, 16:26 · 8 h before start
odds 1.63Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Seattle Seahawks
13:10
New England Patriots
Seattle Seahawks to win@1.63
Open on Xexpected 59% from odds+0.63 u
Singleposted 8 Sept, 12:49 · 13 h before start
odds 1.56Won
MLB·
Athletics
2:4
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays to win@1.56
Open on Xexpected 61% from odds+0.56 u
Singleposted 4 Sept, 12:30 · 10 h before start
odds 1.94Won
MLB·
Pittsburgh Pirates
1:0
Los Angeles Angels
Los Angeles Angels +1.5@1.94
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds+0.94 u
Singleposted 30 Aug, 16:18 · 4 h before start
odds 1.53Won
MLB·
Los Angeles Angels
2:5
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies to win@1.53
Open on Xexpected 62% from odds+0.53 u
Singleposted 30 Aug, 16:18 · 7 h before start
Won
MLB·
Chicago Cubs
5:7
Cincinnati Reds
Over 7.5
Open on Xexpected 62% by model
Singleposted 28 Aug, 22:57 · 1 h before start
odds 1.92DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Preseason·
Philadelphia Eagles
13:30
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals +2.5
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line+0.92 u
Singleposted 26 Aug, 14:10 · 8 h before start
odds 1.77DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB·
Miami Marlins
4:0
Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox to win
Open on Xexpected 55% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 24 Aug, 16:06 · 7 h before start
odds 2.13Lost
MLB·
Miami Marlins
2:4
Boston Red Sox
Miami Marlins to win@2.13
Open on Xexpected 45% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 20 Aug, 19:21 · 5 h before start
Won
NFL · Preseason·
Houston Texans
20:22
Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas Raiders +2.5
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Singleposted 18 Aug, 21:18 · 1 h before start
odds 2.00Lost
MLB·
Baltimore Orioles
1:3
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles to win@2.00
Open on Xexpected 48% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 17 Aug, 14:12 · 9 h before start
odds 1.76DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB·
Minnesota Twins
4:2
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves to win
Open on Xexpected 56% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 16 Aug, 15:20 · 3 h before start
Won
MLB·
Minnesota Twins
5:7
Philadelphia Phillies
Over 8.5
Open on Xexpected 51% by model
Singleposted 15 Aug, 16:42 · 17 min before start
odds 1.95DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Preseason·
New York Giants
10:13
Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings −1.5
Open on Xexpected 49% from the closing line+0.95 u
Singleposted 14 Aug, 16:56 · 6 h before start
Won
NFL · Preseason·
Atlanta Falcons
7:27
Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos −2.5
Open on Xexpected 47% by model
Singleposted 13 Aug, 18:54 · 5 h before start
Won
NFL · Preseason·
New England Patriots
13:13
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts +2.5
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Singleposted 13 Aug, 12:00 · 14 h before start
odds 1.68DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB·
Los Angeles Angels
7:0
Texas Rangers
Texas Rangers to win
Open on Xexpected 58% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 12 Aug, 18:02 · 12 min before start
odds 1.82Won
MLB·
St. Louis Cardinals
7:1
Philadelphia Phillies
Under 8.5@1.82
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds+0.82 u
Singleposted 2 Aug, 21:59 · 1 h before start
odds 1.53DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB·
Los Angeles Dodgers
4:8
Boston Red Sox
Los Angeles Dodgers to win
Open on Xexpected 62% from the closing line−1.00 u