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Mike Lundin Sports Picks

@MikeLundinBET8.7K followersfirst pick 3 Augusually posts 9 h before start

Professional sports handicapper with picks documented on reputable sites: Picks & Parlays, SportsCapping network etc, since 2014. Premium pick access ⬇️

BaseballNFL & NCAAF
CompareRSS
Tipster index61.0#79 on the leaderboardup 45 this weekdeveloping sample
Hit rate
70.0%
expected 48.0%
Edge
+22.0 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 44.2%, the edge is within noise
Graded
11
7-3-1
ROI
+72.2%
on 11 picks with odds · max drawdown −1.13 u
Average odds
2.33
singles with odds
Form
streak W2 · best W4, worst L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-10123 Aug22 Aug10 Sept29 Sept18 Oct

By sport

Baseball6-3-1 · 10 graded
+14.8
67%
NFL & NCAAF1-0 · 1 graded
+86.3
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result4-2 · 6 graded
+21.4
67%
Totals2-1-1 · 4 graded
+16.4
67%
Handicap1-0 · 1 graded
+42.1
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Even6-3-1 · 10 graded
+14.8
67%
Underdog1-0 · 1 graded
+86.3
100%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.895-1-1 · 7 graded
+38.5%
83%
1.90…2.291-2 · 3 graded
-
33%
3.50+1-0 · 1 graded
-
100%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • August 2026
    +11.4 pp
    5-3-1 · 63%
    ROI +14.4%
  • September 2026
    +42.4 pp
    1-0 · 100%
  • October 2026
    +86.3 pp
    1-0 · 100%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 18 Oct, 07:16 · 13 h before start
odds 7.00DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Rams
16:18
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona Cardinals to win
Open on Xexpected 14% from the closing line+6.00 u
Singleposted 4 Sept, 14:40 · 8 h before start
odds 1.65Won
MLB·
Cincinnati Reds
7:10
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers to win@1.65
Open on Xexpected 58% from odds+0.65 u
Singleposted 26 Aug, 14:35 · 5 h before start
odds 1.99Lost
MLB·
Arizona Diamondbacks
2:0
Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs to win@1.99
Open on Xexpected 48% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 25 Aug, 11:15 · 11 h before start
odds 1.64Won
MLB·
Miami Marlins
3:7
Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox to win@1.64
Open on Xexpected 58% from odds+0.64 u
Singleposted 22 Aug, 12:10 · 6 h before start
odds 1.89DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB·
Milwaukee Brewers
4:1
Atlanta Braves
Under 8
Open on Xexpected 51% from the closing line+0.89 u
Singleposted 15 Aug, 11:54 · 5 h before start
odds 2.25Won
MLB·
Detroit Tigers
3:4
Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox to win@2.25
Open on Xexpected 42% from odds+1.25 u
Singleposted 14 Aug, 13:53 · 9 h before start
odds 1.65Won
MLB·
Detroit Tigers
5:9
Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox +1.5@1.65
Open on Xexpected 58% from odds+0.65 u
Singleposted 12 Aug, 14:18 · 8 h before start
odds 1.94DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB·
Detroit Tigers
4:6
Cleveland Guardians
Under 8
Open on Xexpected 49% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 11 Aug, 13:09 · 13 h before start
odds 1.87DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB·
Los Angeles Dodgers
5:4
Kansas City Royals
Over 8
Open on Xexpected 51% from the closing line+0.87 u
Singleposted 8 Aug, 11:48 · 11 h before start
odds 1.87DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPush
MLB·
San Francisco Giants
0:8
Detroit Tigers
Over 8
Open on Xexpected 51% from the closing line+0.00 u
Singleposted 3 Aug, 10:28 · 14 h before start
odds 1.83Lost
MLB·
Chicago Cubs
10:5
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers to win@1.83
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds−1.00 u