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KAYJAY

@kayjayquis215 followersfirst pick 4 Augusually posts 9 h before start

Professional Sports Consultant |CEO of KAYJAY💸 |FREE DISCORD LINK BELOW TAP IN⬇️

BaseballTennisNFL & NCAAFFootballHockeyBasketball
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Tipster index59.8#91 on the leaderboarddown 29 this weekestablished sample
Hit rate
64.4%
expected 59.2%
Edge
+5.2 pp
hit rate at least 60.8% with 95% confidence: the edge is not luck
Graded
483
311-172
ROI
+3.0%
on 328 picks with odds · max drawdown −10.95 u
Average odds
1.72
singles with odds
Form
streak W2 · best W10, worst L6

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

010203 Aug23 Aug13 Sept3 Oct23 Oct

By sport

Baseball179-102 · 281 graded
+6.7
64%
Tennis64-25 · 89 graded
+9.2
72%
NFL & NCAAF43-27 · 70 graded
+0.9
61%
Football16-9 · 25 graded
+0.8
64%
Hockey9-8 · 17 graded
−12.4
53%
Basketball0-1 · 1 graded
−50.0
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result238-133 · 371 graded
+4.7
64%
Handicap71-30 · 101 graded
+7.5
70%
Parlays0-7 · 7 graded
−1.1
0%
Totals2-1 · 3 graded
+19.6
67%
Team totals0-1 · 1 graded
−50.0
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite169-67 · 236 graded
+3.7
72%
Even139-91 · 230 graded
+7.5
60%
Underdog3-7 · 10 graded
−7.6
30%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.5037-18 · 55 graded
−10.0%
67%
1.50…1.89133-73 · 206 graded
+6.7%
65%
1.90…2.2923-22 · 45 graded
+3.9%
51%
2.30…3.499-13 · 22 graded
−1.0%
41%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 2 of 3 months with 5+ picks
  • August 2026
    +6.4 pp
    142-86 · 62%
    ROI +5.9%
  • September 2026
    +6.3 pp
    140-65 · 68%
    ROI +2.5%
  • October 2026
    −5.0 pp
    29-21 · 58%
    ROI −14.4%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 22 Oct, 06:53 · 16 h before start
odds 1.74DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Ottawa Senators
2:6
San Jose Sharks
Ottawa Senators to win
Open on Xexpected 55% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 06:53 · 16 h before start
odds 1.37DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Toronto Maple Leafs
5:4
New York Rangers
Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5
Open on Xexpected 70% from the closing line+0.37 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 06:53 · 16 h before start
odds 1.67DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Boston Bruins
6:0
Nashville Predators
Boston Bruins to win
Open on Xexpected 57% from the closing line+0.67 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 06:53 · 16 h before start
odds 1.45DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New Jersey Devils
4:1
Anaheim Ducks
New Jersey Devils to win
Open on Xexpected 66% from the closing line+0.45 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 06:53 · 16 h before start
odds 1.37DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Pittsburgh Penguins
4:0
Florida Panthers
Florida Panthers +1.5
Open on Xexpected 70% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 06:53 · 17 h before start
odds 1.95DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New York Islanders
2:3
Los Angeles Kings
New York Islanders to win
Open on Xexpected 49% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 06:53 · 17 h before start
odds 1.80DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
St. Louis Blues
6:2
Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas Golden Knights to win
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 06:53 · 17 h before start
odds 1.50DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Dallas Stars
3:2
Winnipeg Jets
Dallas Stars to win
Open on Xexpected 64% from the closing line+0.50 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 06:53 · 18 h before start
odds 1.45DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Calgary Flames
2:1
Minnesota Wild
Minnesota Wild to win
Open on Xexpected 66% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 06:53 · 18 h before start
odds 1.74DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Edmonton Oilers
6:5
Carolina Hurricanes
penalties
Carolina Hurricanes to win
Open on Xexpected 55% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 06:53 · 19 h before start
odds 1.64DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Seattle Kraken
5:3
Utah Mammoth
Seattle Kraken +1.5
Open on Xexpected 58% from the closing line+0.64 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 06:53 · 19 h before start
odds 1.58DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Vancouver Canucks
2:5
Detroit Red Wings
Detroit Red Wings to win
Open on Xexpected 61% from the closing line+0.58 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 19:41 · 3 h before start
Lost
NBA · Regular season·
New York Knicks
100:106
Philadelphia 76ers
New York Knicks over 117.5
Open on Xexpected 50% by model
Singleposted 20 Oct, 16:54 · 2 h before start
odds 1.15DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Champions League · League Stage·
Manchester City
5:1
AEK Athens
Manchester City to win
Open on Xexpected 83% from the closing line+0.15 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 16:54 · 2 h before start
Lost
Champions League · League Stage·
Paris Saint-Germain
4:2
Barcelona
Barcelona +1.5
Open on Xexpected 82% by model
Singleposted 20 Oct, 16:54 · 2 h before start
odds 1.11DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Champions League · League Stage·
AS Roma
4:0
Slovan Bratislava
AS Roma to win
Open on Xexpected 86% from the closing line+0.11 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 16:54 · 2 h before start
odds 1.48DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
Champions League · League Stage·
FC Porto
0:1
PSV Eindhoven
FC Porto to win
Open on Xexpected 64% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 16:54 · 2 h before start
odds 1.54DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Champions League · League Stage·
Liverpool
4:3
Villarreal
Liverpool to win
Open on Xexpected 62% from the closing line+0.54 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 16:54 · 2 h before start
odds 2.10DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
Champions League · League Stage·
VfB Stuttgart
1:1
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid to win
Open on Xexpected 45% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 16:54 · 2 h before start
odds 1.66DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
Champions League · League Stage·
Napoli
4:3
Bodoe/Glimt
Napoli to win
Open on Xexpected 57% from the closing line+0.66 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 16:26 · 34 min before start
odds 1.92DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Indianapolis Colts
20:26
Tennessee Titans
Indianapolis Colts −6.5
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 11:45 · 2 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Jacksonville Jaguars
31:34
Houston Texans
Houston Texans +10.5
Open on Xexpected 69% by model
Singleposted 18 Oct, 11:45 · 5 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Atlanta Falcons
23:31
Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears +4.5
Open on Xexpected 70% by model
Singleposted 18 Oct, 11:45 · 5 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Giants
27:34
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans Saints +7.5
Open on Xexpected 70% by model
Singleposted 18 Oct, 11:45 · 5 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Cleveland Browns
13:10
Baltimore Ravens
Cleveland Browns +10.5
Open on Xexpected 69% by model
Singleposted 18 Oct, 11:45 · 8 h before start
odds 1.11DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Rams
16:18
Arizona Cardinals
Los Angeles Rams to win
Open on Xexpected 86% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 11:45 · 9 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Las Vegas Raiders
30:33
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills +3.5
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Singleposted 18 Oct, 11:45 · 9 h before start
odds 1.23DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Kansas City Chiefs
22:6
Los Angeles Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs to win
Open on Xexpected 78% from the closing line+0.23 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 11:45 · 13 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Green Bay Packers
23:13
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys +10.5
Open on Xexpected 69% by model
Singleposted 18 Oct, 11:21 · 2 h before start
odds 1.70DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Jacksonville Jaguars
31:34
Houston Texans
Jacksonville Jaguars to win
Open on Xexpected 56% from the closing line−1.00 u