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@Kimmolten56647 followersfirst pick 12 Octusually posts 3 h before start

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Tennis
CompareRSS
Tipster index54.0needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Open picks 3

Games not played yet
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Daniil Medvedev
live
Dalibor Svrcina
Dalibor Svrcina to win@5.70
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Arthur Fils
-:-
Botic van de Zandschulp
Arthur Fils to win@1.22
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Tommy Paul
-:-
Valentin Vacherot
Tommy Paul to win@1.66
Hit rate
71.4%
expected 60.9%
Edge
+10.5 pp
over expectation
Graded
7
5-2 · 3 pending
ROI
+13.8%
on 7 picks with odds · max drawdown −1.00 u
Average odds
1.60
singles with odds
Form
streak L2 · best W4, worst L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

00.20.40.611 Oct12 Oct

By sport

Tennis5-2 · 7 graded
+10.5
71%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result5-2 · 7 graded
+10.5
71%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite4-1 · 5 graded
+14.9
80%
Even1-1 · 2 graded
−0.5
50%
Underdog0-0 · 0 graded
-
-

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.502-0 · 2 graded
-
100%
1.50…1.892-2 · 4 graded
-
50%
1.90…2.291-0 · 1 graded
-
100%
3.50+0-0 · 0 graded
-
-

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    +10.5 pp
    5-2 · 71%
    ROI +13.8%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 12 Oct, 06:05 · 15 min before start
odds 1.66Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Jiri Lehecka
1:2
Rafael Jodar
Jiri Lehecka to win@1.66
Open on Xexpected 57% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 12 Oct, 06:05 · 3 h before start
odds 5.70Pending
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Daniil Medvedev
live
Dalibor Svrcina
Dalibor Svrcina to win@5.70
Open on Xexpected 17% from odds
Singleposted 12 Oct, 06:05 · 5 h before start
odds 1.22Pending
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Arthur Fils
-:-
Botic van de Zandschulp
Arthur Fils to win@1.22
Open on Xexpected 78% from odds
Singleposted 12 Oct, 05:59 · 20 min before start
odds 2.19Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Jiri Lehecka
1:2
Rafael Jodar
Rafael Jodar to win@2.19
Open on Xexpected 44% from odds+1.19 u
Singleposted 12 Oct, 01:28 · 3 h before start
odds 1.53Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Learner Tien
0:2
Casper Ruud
Casper Ruud to win@1.53
Open on Xexpected 62% from odds+0.53 u
Singleposted 12 Oct, 01:28 · 5 h before start
odds 1.40Won
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Jasmine Paolini
2:0
Sara Bejlek
Jasmine Paolini to win@1.40
Open on Xexpected 68% from odds+0.40 u
Singleposted 12 Oct, 01:28 · 4 h before start
odds 1.71Void
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Clara Tauson
void
Marie Bouzkova
Clara Tauson to win@1.71
Open on Xexpected 56% from odds
Singleposted 12 Oct, 01:28 · 3 h before start
odds 1.30Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Pablo Carreno Busta
1:2
Felix Auger Aliassime
Felix Auger Aliassime to win@1.30
Open on Xexpected 73% from odds+0.30 u
Singleposted 12 Oct, 01:28 · 5 h before start
odds 1.58Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Stefanos Tsitsipas
2:1
Taylor Fritz
Taylor Fritz to win@1.58
Open on Xexpected 60% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 12 Oct, 01:28 · 10 h before start
odds 1.66Pending
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Tommy Paul
-:-
Valentin Vacherot
Tommy Paul to win@1.66
Open on Xexpected 57% from odds
Singleposted 12 Oct, 01:28 · 2 h before start
odds 1.55Won
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Anhelina Kalinina
0:2
Sonay Kartal
Sonay Kartal to win@1.55
Open on Xexpected 62% from odds+0.55 u
Singleposted 12 Oct, 01:28 · 3 h before start
odds 1.33Void
WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·
Janice Tjen
void
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Janice Tjen to win@1.33
Open on Xexpected 71% from odds