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JackinJay

@JunoJoubert21.2K followersfirst pick 6 Octusually posts 2 h before start

96846 Fun-loving dude up for anything fun or adventurous. Nipple and ball play, drives me wild and wet. Enjoy Kissing, frotting, worshipping the male organ.

BasketballFootballBaseball
Tipster index50.7#385 on the leaderboardnewdeveloping sample
Hit rate
50.0%
expected 48.7%
Edge
+1.3 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 27.0%, the edge is within noise
Graded
10
5-5
ROI
+50.1%
on 8 picks with odds · max drawdown −2.00 u
Average odds
2.74
singles with odds
Form
streak L1 · best W1, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-0.100.10.10.15 Oct11 Oct16 Oct22 Oct27 Oct

By sport

Football2-2 · 4 graded
+4.1
50%
Basketball2-2 · 4 graded
−0.6
50%
Baseball1-1 · 2 graded
−0.4
50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap4-5 · 9 graded
−7.0
44%
Match result1-0 · 1 graded
+76.2
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite1-1 · 2 graded
−37.6
50%
Even2-3 · 5 graded
−9.2
40%
Underdog2-1 · 3 graded
+44.8
67%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.500-1 · 1 graded
-
0%
1.50…1.891-1 · 2 graded
-
50%
1.90…2.291-1 · 2 graded
-
50%
3.50+2-1 · 3 graded
-
67%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    +1.3 pp
    5-5 · 50%
    ROI +50.1%

By league

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Same main sport, closest index

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Picks

Singleposted 27 Oct, 13:19 · 3 h before start
odds 1.19Lost
EuroLeague · EuroLeague: Regular season·
BC Dubai
93:99
Paris Basketball
BC Dubai −1.19@1.19
Open on Xexpected 80% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 27 Oct, 13:19 · 3 h before start
odds 4.35Won
EuroLeague · EuroLeague: Regular season·
BC Dubai
93:99
Paris Basketball
Paris Basketball −4.35@4.35
Open on Xexpected 22% from odds+3.35 u
Singleposted 26 Oct, 20:18 · 3 h before start
odds 2.06Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Charlotte Hornets
110:103
Washington Wizards
Washington Wizards −2.06@2.06
Open on Xexpected 46% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 26 Oct, 20:18 · 3 h before start
odds 1.76Won
NBA · Regular season·
Charlotte Hornets
110:103
Washington Wizards
Charlotte Hornets −1.76@1.76
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds+0.76 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:49 · 2 h before start
odds 4.75Lost
Premier League·
Hull City
1:1
Brentford
Hull City −4.75@4.75
Open on Xexpected 20% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:49 · 2 h before start
odds 4.00Won
Premier League·
Hull City
1:1
Brentford
Draw@4.00
Open on Xexpected 24% from odds+3.00 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:49 · 2 h before start
Lost
Premier League·
Hull City
1:1
Brentford
Brentford −1.69
Open on Xexpected 45% by model
Singleposted 19 Oct, 07:43 · 35 h before start
Won
Northern Ireland · League Cup·
Ballinamallard United
1:1
Queen's University
penalties
Queen's University +5
Open on Xexpected 95% by model
Singleposted 6 Oct, 20:21 · 2 h before start
odds 1.90Won
MLB · post-season·
Atlanta Braves
1:3
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers −1.9@1.90
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.90 u
Singleposted 6 Oct, 20:21 · 2 h before start
odds 1.88Lost
MLB · post-season·
Atlanta Braves
1:3
Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves −1.88@1.88
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds−1.00 u