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Sports Pulse HQ

@sportspulseHQ513 followersfirst pick 10 Septusually posts 7 h before start

Hustler since Birth!!! All I do is win money sports betting.Everything else is bullshit.

BasketballNFL & NCAAFBaseballTennisHockeyFootball
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Tipster index54.3#226 on the leaderboarddown 113 this weekestablished sample
Hit rate
57.8%
expected 55.4%
Edge
+2.3 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 53.5%, the edge is within noise
Graded
367
212-155
ROI
−2.9%
on 231 picks with odds · max drawdown −11.37 u
Average odds
1.73
singles with odds
Form
streak L1 · best W13, worst L7

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

05109 Sept21 Sept2 Oct14 Oct26 Oct

By sport

Basketball61-51 · 112 graded
+2.5
54%
NFL & NCAAF56-42 · 98 graded
+2.1
57%
Baseball39-22 · 61 graded
+8.6
64%
Hockey24-11 · 35 graded
+8.7
69%
Tennis19-15 · 34 graded
−4.6
56%
Football13-14 · 27 graded
−11.5
48%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result120-78 · 198 graded
+2.3
61%
Handicap69-48 · 117 graded
−0.3
59%
Parlays3-22 · 25 graded
+2.4
12%
Totals17-7 · 24 graded
+12.1
71%
Both teams to score2-0 · 2 graded
+28.5
100%
Double chance1-0 · 1 graded
+42.8
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite104-47 · 151 graded
−0.4
69%
Even100-78 · 178 graded
+4.6
56%
Underdog5-8 · 13 graded
+4.0
38%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.5042-16 · 58 graded
−4.5%
72%
1.50…1.8972-33 · 105 graded
+14.7%
69%
1.90…2.2918-32 · 50 graded
−28.5%
36%
2.30…3.495-9 · 14 graded
−8.1%
36%
3.50+0-1 · 1 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 2 of 2 months with 5+ picks
  • September 2026
    +4.9 pp
    87-55 · 61%
    ROI −1.6%
  • October 2026
    +0.8 pp
    125-100 · 56%
    ROI −3.6%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:56 · 12 h before start
odds 2.10DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NBA · Regular season·
Philadelphia 76ers
93:106
Detroit Pistons
Philadelphia 76ers to win
Open on Xexpected 46% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:55 · 5 h before start
odds 2.12Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Tennessee Titans
24:27
Cleveland Browns
Tennessee Titans to win@2.12
Open on Xexpected 45% from odds−1.00 u
Parlay · 7posted 25 Oct, 11:53 · 9 h before start
Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Utah Jazz
123:132
LA Lakers
LA Lakers to win✓
NBA · Regular season·
Brooklyn Nets
109:136
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers to win✓
NBA · Regular season·
New York Knicks
102:111
Orlando Magic
New York Knicks to win✕
NBA · Regular season·
Minnesota Timberwolves
117:94
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors to win✕
NBA · Regular season·
Oklahoma City Thunder
108:101
LA Clippers
Oklahoma City Thunder to win✓
NBA · Regular season·
Philadelphia 76ers
93:106
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons to win✓
NBA · Regular season·
Sacramento Kings
112:123
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies to win✓
Open on Xexpected 4% by model
Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:53 · 5 h before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Baltimore Ravens
13:35
Cincinnati Bengals
Baltimore Ravens +7.5
Open on Xexpected 70% by model
Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:53 · 9 h before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Las Vegas Raiders
21:35
Los Angeles Rams
Las Vegas Raiders +10.5
Open on Xexpected 70% by model
Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:53 · 12 h before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Seattle Seahawks
20:3
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs +7.5
Open on Xexpected 70% by model
Parlay · 5posted 25 Oct, 11:52 · 7 h before start
Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Chicago Blackhawks
2:3
Florida Panthers
Florida Panthers to win✓
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Dallas Stars
6:3
New York Islanders
Dallas Stars to win✓
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Winnipeg Jets
1:2
Montreal Canadiens
Winnipeg Jets to win✕
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Nashville Predators
6:2
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche to win✕
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Vancouver Canucks
2:4
Minnesota Wild
Minnesota Wild to win✓
Open on Xexpected 8% by model
Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:51 · 2 h before start
odds 1.61DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
10:16
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers to win
Open on Xexpected 59% from the closing line+0.61 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:51 · 5 h before start
odds 1.70DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Atlanta Falcons
29:20
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco 49ers to win
Open on Xexpected 56% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:51 · 5 h before start
odds 2.36DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Baltimore Ravens
13:35
Cincinnati Bengals
Baltimore Ravens to win
Open on Xexpected 41% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:51 · 9 h before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Las Vegas Raiders
21:35
Los Angeles Rams
Las Vegas Raiders +5.5
Open on Xexpected 70% by model
Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:51 · 12 h before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Seattle Seahawks
20:3
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs +5.5
Open on Xexpected 70% by model
Parlay · 5posted 25 Oct, 11:50 · 5 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Houston Texans
21:27
New York Giants
New York Giants to win✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Baltimore Ravens
13:35
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals to win✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Tennessee Titans
24:27
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns to win✓
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Jets
25:28
Miami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins to win✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Minnesota Vikings
16:10
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis Colts +6.5✓
Open on Xexpected 1% by model
Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:50 · 7 h before start
odds 1.50DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Chicago Blackhawks
2:3
Florida Panthers
Florida Panthers to win
Open on Xexpected 64% from the closing line+0.50 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:50 · 10 h before start
odds 1.54DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Dallas Stars
6:3
New York Islanders
Dallas Stars to win
Open on Xexpected 62% from the closing line+0.54 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:50 · 11 h before start
odds 2.02DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Winnipeg Jets
1:2
Montreal Canadiens
Winnipeg Jets to win
Open on Xexpected 47% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:50 · 12 h before start
odds 1.42DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Nashville Predators
6:2
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche to win
Open on Xexpected 68% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:50 · 14 h before start
odds 1.48DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Vancouver Canucks
2:4
Minnesota Wild
Minnesota Wild to win
Open on Xexpected 65% from the closing line+0.48 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:46 · 11 h before start
odds 1.07DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Oklahoma City Thunder
108:101
LA Clippers
Oklahoma City Thunder to win
Open on Xexpected 89% from the closing line+0.07 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:46 · 12 h before start
odds 1.76DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Philadelphia 76ers
93:106
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons to win
Open on Xexpected 54% from the closing line+0.76 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:46 · 13 h before start
odds 1.55DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Sacramento Kings
112:123
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies to win
Open on Xexpected 62% from the closing line+0.55 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:46 · 9 h before start
odds 1.40DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Utah Jazz
123:132
LA Lakers
LA Lakers to win
Open on Xexpected 69% from the closing line+0.40 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:46 · 10 h before start
odds 1.45DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Brooklyn Nets
109:136
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers to win
Open on Xexpected 66% from the closing line+0.45 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:46 · 11 h before start
odds 1.37DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NBA · Regular season·
New York Knicks
102:111
Orlando Magic
New York Knicks to win
Open on Xexpected 70% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:46 · 11 h before start
odds 2.40DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NBA · Regular season·
Minnesota Timberwolves
117:94
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors to win
Open on Xexpected 40% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:45 · 2 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
10:16
Pittsburgh Steelers
New Orleans Saints +10.5
Open on Xexpected 70% by model
Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:45 · 5 h before start
odds 1.45DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Jets
25:28
Miami Dolphins
New York Jets to win
Open on Xexpected 66% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:45 · 5 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Carolina Panthers
13:43
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +10.5
Open on Xexpected 70% by model
Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:45 · 5 h before start
odds 1.74DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Tennessee Titans
24:27
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland Browns to win
Open on Xexpected 55% from the closing line+0.74 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 11:45 · 5 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Atlanta Falcons
29:20
San Francisco 49ers
Atlanta Falcons +10.5
Open on Xexpected 70% by model