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D̷R̷E̷A̷M̷E̷R̷

@DennizDream2.1K followersfirst pick 8 Augusually posts 7 h before start

𝕴’𝖒 𝖆 𝖈𝖊𝖗𝖙𝖎𝖋𝖎𝖊𝖉 𝖑𝖚𝖓𝖆𝖙𝖎𝖈 𝖜𝖍𝖔 𝖙𝖗𝖊𝖆𝖙 𝖉𝖆𝖓𝖌𝖊𝖗 𝖑𝖎𝖐𝖊 𝖆 𝖋𝖚ç𝖐𝖎𝖓𝖌 𝖕𝖑𝖆𝖞𝖌𝖗𝖔𝖚𝖓𝖉.

BasketballNFL & NCAAF
CompareRSS
Tipster index49.7#364 on the leaderboarddown 63 this weekestablished sample

Open picks 6

Games not played yet
NBA · Regular season·
Boston Celtics
-:-
New York Knicks
Boston Celtics to win@1.70DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use it
NBA · Regular season·
Charlotte Hornets
-:-
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks to win@1.70DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use it
NBA · Regular season·
Indiana Pacers
-:-
Dallas Mavericks
Indiana Pacers to win@1.38DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use it
NBA · Regular season·
Orlando Magic
-:-
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves to win@1.98DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use it
NBA · Regular season·
Washington Wizards
-:-
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors to win@1.29DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use it
NBA · Regular season·
Miami Heat
-:-
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons to win@1.80DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use it
Hit rate
67.0%
expected 67.2%
Edge
−0.2 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 59.0%, the edge is within noise
Graded
103
69-34 · 11 pending
ROI
−4.5%
on 100 picks with odds · max drawdown −13.10 u
Average odds
1.49
singles with odds
Form
streak L2 · best W13, worst L4

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-20247 Aug26 Aug15 Sept4 Oct23 Oct

By sport

Basketball69-33 · 102 graded
+0.5
68%
NFL & NCAAF0-1 · 1 graded
−70.9
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result69-32 · 101 graded
+0.6
68%
Totals0-1 · 1 graded
−39.8
0%
Parlays0-1 · 1 graded
−39.2
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite50-16 · 66 graded
−0.7
76%
Even19-13 · 32 graded
+6.6
59%
Underdog0-4 · 4 graded
−36.1
0%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.5047-10 · 57 graded
−0.3%
82%
1.50…1.8920-13 · 33 graded
+4.6%
61%
1.90…2.292-4 · 6 graded
−32.0%
33%
2.30…3.490-4 · 4 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 3 months with 5+ picks
  • August 2026
    +5.3 pp
    45-17 · 73%
    ROI +5.7%
  • September 2026
    −5.9 pp
    22-12 · 65%
    ROI −13.4%
  • October 2026
    −21.2 pp
    2-5 · 29%
    ROI −50.6%

By league

  • WNBA69-3070%+1.9
  • NBA0-10%−51.8
  • NCAAF0-10%−70.9
  • World Cup0-10%−39.8

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D̷R̷E̷A̷M̷E̷R̷ (@DennizDream) on BetBuddyRank
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Picks

Singleposted 23 Oct, 19:59 · 1 min before start
odds 1.84DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NBA · Regular season·
Milwaukee Bucks
125:132
Chicago Bulls
Milwaukee Bucks to win
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 19:59 · 3 h before start
odds 1.70DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NBA · Regular season·
Boston Celtics
-:-
New York Knicks
Boston Celtics to win
Open on Xexpected 56% from the closing line
Singleposted 23 Oct, 19:59 · 3 h before start
odds 1.70DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NBA · Regular season·
Charlotte Hornets
-:-
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks to win
Open on Xexpected 56% from the closing line
Singleposted 23 Oct, 19:59 · 3 h before start
odds 1.38DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NBA · Regular season·
Indiana Pacers
-:-
Dallas Mavericks
Indiana Pacers to win
Open on Xexpected 70% from the closing line
Singleposted 23 Oct, 19:59 · 3 h before start
odds 1.98DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NBA · Regular season·
Orlando Magic
-:-
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves to win
Open on Xexpected 48% from the closing line
Singleposted 23 Oct, 19:59 · 3 h before start
odds 1.29DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NBA · Regular season·
Washington Wizards
-:-
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors to win
Open on Xexpected 74% from the closing line
Singleposted 23 Oct, 19:59 · 4 h before start
odds 1.80DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NBA · Regular season·
Miami Heat
-:-
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons to win
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line
Singleposted 23 Oct, 19:59 · 6 h before start
odds 1.54DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NBA · Regular season·
San Antonio Spurs
-:-
Houston Rockets
San Antonio Spurs to win
Open on Xexpected 62% from the closing line
Singleposted 23 Oct, 19:59 · 6 h before start
odds 1.89DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NBA · Regular season·
Utah Jazz
-:-
New Orleans Pelicans
Utah Jazz to win
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line
Singleposted 23 Oct, 19:59 · 6 h before start
odds 1.62DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NBA · Regular season·
Golden State Warriors
-:-
Memphis Grizzlies
Golden State Warriors to win
Open on Xexpected 59% from the closing line
Singleposted 23 Oct, 19:59 · 6 h before start
odds 1.28DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NBA · Regular season·
LA Lakers
-:-
LA Clippers
LA Lakers to win
Open on Xexpected 75% from the closing line
Singleposted 23 Oct, 19:59 · 6 h before start
odds 1.21DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itPending
NBA · Regular season·
Sacramento Kings
-:-
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers to win
Open on Xexpected 79% from the closing line
Singleposted 19 Oct, 15:01 · 9 h before start
odds 1.76DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
WNBA · WNBA: Play-off·
Golden State Valkyries
65:79
Atlanta Dream
Golden State Valkyries to win
Open on Xexpected 54% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 16:14 · 3 h before start
odds 1.70DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
WNBA · WNBA: Play-off·
Golden State Valkyries
68:64
Atlanta Dream
Golden State Valkyries to win
Open on Xexpected 56% from the closing line+0.70 u
Singleposted 7 Oct, 19:02 · 4 h before start
odds 2.10DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
WNBA · WNBA: Play-off·
Atlanta Dream
101:98
New York Liberty
New York Liberty to win
Open on Xexpected 46% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 7 Oct, 19:02 · 6 h before start
odds 1.76DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
WNBA · WNBA: Play-off·
Golden State Valkyries
83:81
Las Vegas Aces
Golden State Valkyries to win
Open on Xexpected 54% from the closing line+0.76 u
Singleposted 4 Oct, 13:44 · 4 h before start
odds 2.60DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
WNBA · WNBA: Play-off·
Atlanta Dream
92:82
New York Liberty
New York Liberty to win
Open on Xexpected 37% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 4 Oct, 13:44 · 6 h before start
odds 1.95DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
WNBA · WNBA: Play-off·
Golden State Valkyries
71:60
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces to win
Open on Xexpected 49% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 29 Sept, 14:30 · 8 h before start
odds 1.86DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
WNBA · WNBA: Play-off·
Indiana Fever
99:89
Las Vegas Aces
Indiana Fever to win
Open on Xexpected 51% from the closing line+0.86 u
Singleposted 29 Sept, 14:30 · 10 h before start
odds 1.57DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
WNBA · WNBA: Play-off·
New York Liberty
87:71
Minnesota Lynx
Minnesota Lynx to win
Open on Xexpected 61% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 27 Sept, 14:03 · 4 h before start
odds 1.38DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
WNBA · WNBA: Play-off·
Minnesota Lynx
75:91
New York Liberty
Minnesota Lynx to win
Open on Xexpected 69% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 27 Sept, 14:03 · 6 h before start
odds 1.54DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
WNBA · WNBA: Play-off·
Las Vegas Aces
102:85
Indiana Fever
Las Vegas Aces to win
Open on Xexpected 62% from the closing line+0.54 u
Singleposted 27 Sept, 14:03 · 9 h before start
odds 1.33DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
WNBA · WNBA: Play-off·
Atlanta Dream
92:77
Washington Mystics
Atlanta Dream to win
Open on Xexpected 72% from the closing line+0.33 u
Singleposted 27 Sept, 14:03 · 11 h before start
odds 1.34DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
WNBA · WNBA: Play-off·
Golden State Valkyries
104:80
Dallas Wings
Golden State Valkyries to win
Open on Xexpected 71% from the closing line+0.34 u
Singleposted 24 Sept, 17:49 · 5 h before start
odds 1.67DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·
Connecticut Sun
95:81
Toronto Tempo
Connecticut Sun to win
Open on Xexpected 57% from the closing line+0.67 u
Singleposted 24 Sept, 17:49 · 6 h before start
odds 1.11DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·
Washington Mystics
101:93
Chicago Sky
Washington Mystics to win
Open on Xexpected 86% from the closing line+0.11 u
Singleposted 24 Sept, 17:49 · 6 h before start
odds 1.52DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·
Minnesota Lynx
86:66
Indiana Fever
Indiana Fever to win
Open on Xexpected 63% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 24 Sept, 17:49 · 8 h before start
odds 1.19DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·
Los Angeles Sparks
75:76
Golden State Valkyries
Golden State Valkyries to win
Open on Xexpected 81% from the closing line+0.19 u
Singleposted 24 Sept, 17:49 · 8 h before start
odds 1.23DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·
Phoenix Mercury
82:100
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces to win
Open on Xexpected 78% from the closing line+0.23 u
Singleposted 23 Sept, 15:18 · 9 h before start
odds 2.64DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·
New York Liberty
65:83
Atlanta Dream
New York Liberty to win
Open on Xexpected 36% from the closing line−1.00 u