Hit rate
71.4%
expected 51.0%
Edge
+20.5 pp
over expectation
Graded
7
5-2
ROI
+34.1%
on 7 picks with odds · max drawdown −1.00 u
Average odds
1.88
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 · best W4, worst L1
Wins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
NFL & NCAAF2-1 · 3 graded
+18.367%
Hockey2-1 · 3 graded
+14.967%
Baseball1-0 · 1 graded
+43.5100%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Match result3-1 · 4 graded
+22.175%
Handicap2-1 · 3 graded
+18.367%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
Favourites and underdogs
Even5-2 · 7 graded
+20.571%
Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By odds
1.50…1.892-1 · 3 graded
-67%
1.90…2.293-1 · 4 graded
-75%
Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).
By month
Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 1 months with 5+ picks- October 2026+16.4 pp4-2 · 67%ROI +27.4%
- November 2026+44.9 pp1-0 · 100%
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Picks
odds 1.74DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Seattle Kraken
2:1
Seattle Kraken to win
odds 1.95DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Vegas Golden Knights
2:5
New Jersey Devils to win
odds 1.86DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Calgary Flames
6:2
Seattle Kraken to win
odds 1.69Won
MLB · post-season·
Tampa Bay Rays
1:4
Milwaukee Brewers to win@1.69
odds 1.98Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Atlanta Falcons
23:31
Chicago Bears −1.5@1.98
odds 2.03Won
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Giants
27:34
New Orleans Saints −1.5@2.03
odds 1.90Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Denver Broncos
17:14
Seattle Seahawks −2.5@1.90
