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Haleighs Hammers

@HaleighsHammers6 followersfirst pick 29 Septusually posts 4 h before start

NHL betting picks Sides | Totals | Props No fluff. Just hammers.

Hockey
CompareRSS
Tipster index39.0#623 on the leaderboarddown 66 this weekdeveloping sample
Hit rate
33.3%
expected 52.6%
Edge
−19.3 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 16.0%, the edge is within noise
Graded
12
4-8
ROI
−57.1%
on 11 picks with odds · max drawdown −6.67 u
Average odds
1.80
singles with odds
Form
streak L1 · best W2, worst L5

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-3-2-1029 Sept5 Oct12 Oct19 Oct25 Oct

By sport

Hockey4-8 · 12 graded
−19.3
33%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result2-5 · 7 graded
−25.2
29%
Handicap1-1 · 2 graded
−7.6
50%
Totals0-2 · 2 graded
−53.1
0%
Team totals1-0 · 1 graded
+66.8
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite2-1 · 3 graded
−0.7
67%
Even1-7 · 8 graded
−37.0
13%
Underdog1-0 · 1 graded
+66.8
100%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.502-0 · 2 graded
-
100%
1.50…1.890-4 · 4 graded
-
0%
1.90…2.291-4 · 5 graded
−61.0%
20%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • September 2026
    −54.4 pp
    0-1 · 0%
  • October 2026
    −16.1 pp
    4-7 · 36%
    ROI −52.8%

By league

  • NHL4-833%−19.3

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Picks

Singleposted 25 Oct, 21:16 · 2 h before start
odds 2.02DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Winnipeg Jets
1:2
Montreal Canadiens
Winnipeg Jets to win
Open on Xexpected 47% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 18:11 · 5 h before start
odds 1.44DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Columbus Blue Jackets
1:0
New York Rangers
New York Rangers +1.5
Open on Xexpected 66% from the closing line+0.44 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 18:11 · 6 h before start
odds 1.95DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Nashville Predators
5:2
St. Louis Blues
Nashville Predators to win
Open on Xexpected 49% from the closing line+0.95 u
Singleposted 16 Oct, 23:16 · 3 h before start
odds 1.92DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Anaheim Ducks
2:4
Boston Bruins
Anaheim Ducks to win
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 15 Oct, 22:46 · 14 min before start
odds 1.33DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Florida Panthers
3:2
Vancouver Canucks
Florida Panthers to win
Open on Xexpected 72% from the closing line+0.33 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 12:38 · 4 h before start
odds 2.24DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Boston Bruins
5:1
Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia Flyers to win
Open on Xexpected 43% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 11:45 · 12 h before start
odds 1.83DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Winnipeg Jets
1:5
Anaheim Ducks
Winnipeg Jets to win
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 11:45 · 11 h before start
odds 1.84DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Washington Capitals
3:1
New York Rangers
Over 5.5
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 7 Oct, 23:07 · 22 min before start
odds 1.50DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Winnipeg Jets
3:2
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche to win
Open on Xexpected 64% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 3 Oct, 14:24 · 11 h before start
odds 1.95DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Colorado Avalanche
6:1
St. Louis Blues
St. Louis Blues +1.5
Open on Xexpected 49% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 1 Oct, 23:03 · 3 h before start
Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Vancouver Canucks
7:9
Edmonton Oilers
Edmonton Oilers over 3.5
Open on Xexpected 33% by model
Singleposted 29 Sept, 23:43 · 16 min before start
odds 1.76DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Boston Bruins
3:0
New York Rangers
Over 5.5
Open on Xexpected 54% from the closing line−1.00 u