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Propnosis

@propnosis3.9K followersfirst pick 2 Octusually posts 3 h before start

Player props backed by research & data. 📊 Daily picks. Real results. 21+ | Gamble responsibly.

HockeyNFL & NCAAF
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Tipster index37.1#588 on the leaderboardnewdeveloping sample

Open picks 2

Games not played yet
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Chicago Blackhawks
-:-
Montreal Canadiens
Montreal Canadiens to win@1.63
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Colorado Avalanche
-:-
Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning +1.5@1.44
Hit rate
31.3%
expected 49.8%
Edge
−18.6 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 16.2%, the edge is within noise
Graded
16
5-11 · 2 pending
ROI
−40.8%
on 15 picks with odds · max drawdown −6.12 u
Average odds
1.71
singles with odds
Form
streak L2 · best W3, worst L3

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-3-2-102 Oct7 Oct12 Oct17 Oct23 Oct

By sport

Hockey5-10 · 15 graded
−16.4
33%
NFL & NCAAF0-1 · 1 graded
−50.7
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result4-5 · 9 graded
−14.0
44%
Parlays0-3 · 3 graded
−20.0
0%
Totals1-2 · 3 graded
−20.1
33%
Handicap0-1 · 1 graded
−50.7
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite1-4 · 5 graded
−45.0
20%
Even4-4 · 8 graded
−1.5
50%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.501-2 · 3 graded
-
33%
1.50…1.892-5 · 7 graded
−48.8%
29%
1.90…2.292-1 · 3 graded
-
67%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    −18.6 pp
    5-11 · 31%
    ROI −40.8%

By league

  • NHL5-742%−15.5
  • NFL0-10%−50.7

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Picks

Singleposted 23 Oct, 21:35 · 2 h before start
odds 1.63Pending
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Chicago Blackhawks
-:-
Montreal Canadiens
Montreal Canadiens to win@1.63
Open on Xexpected 59% from odds
Singleposted 23 Oct, 21:35 · 3 h before start
odds 1.44Pending
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Colorado Avalanche
-:-
Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning +1.5@1.44
Open on Xexpected 66% from odds
Singleposted 22 Oct, 21:21 · 3 h before start
odds 1.79Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
St. Louis Blues
6:2
Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas Golden Knights to win@1.79
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 21:21 · 5 h before start
odds 1.56Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Seattle Kraken
5:3
Utah Mammoth
Utah Mammoth to win@1.56
Open on Xexpected 61% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 22:18 · 1 h before start
odds 1.91Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Ottawa Senators
5:1
Florida Panthers
Ottawa Senators to win@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 22:18 · 1 h before start
odds 1.73Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Buffalo Sabres
1:3
Philadelphia Flyers
Over 5.5@1.73
Open on Xexpected 55% from odds−1.00 u
Parlay · 2posted 19 Oct, 20:35 · 2 h before start
Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Philadelphia Flyers
3:2
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche to win✕
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Utah Mammoth
5:4
Pittsburgh Penguins
Utah Mammoth to win✓
Open on Xexpected 43% by model
Singleposted 18 Oct, 16:04 · 8 h before start
odds 1.48DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Calgary Flames
3:2
Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina Hurricanes to win
Open on Xexpected 65% from the closing line−1.00 u
Parlay · 3posted 17 Oct, 18:49 · 3 h before start
odds 12.99Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Florida Panthers
8:3
Seattle Kraken
Seattle Kraken to win@2.64✕
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Detroit Red Wings
4:3
San Jose Sharks
penalties
San Jose Sharks to win@2.30✕
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Los Angeles Kings
1:4
Boston Bruins
Boston Bruins to win@2.14✓
Open on Xexpected 7% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 16 Oct, 19:59 · 6 h before start
odds 1.87Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Anaheim Ducks
2:4
Boston Bruins
Boston Bruins to win@1.87
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds+0.87 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 22:32 · 57 min before start
odds 1.92DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New York Islanders
3:5
Tampa Bay Lightning
Under 5.5
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line−1.00 u
Parlay · 4posted 10 Oct, 17:59 · 2 h before start
odds 7.79Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
San Jose Sharks
1:3
Edmonton Oilers
Edmonton Oilers to win@1.69✓
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Pittsburgh Penguins
2:1
Dallas Stars
penalties
Dallas Stars to win@1.56✕
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Vegas Golden Knights
2:1
Los Angeles Kings
Vegas Golden Knights to win@1.60✓
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Calgary Flames
2:4
Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim Ducks to win@1.85✓
Open on Xexpected 11% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 7 Oct, 18:11 · 8 h before start
odds 1.71Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Anaheim Ducks
2:5
Edmonton Oilers
Over 6.5@1.71
Open on Xexpected 56% from odds+0.71 u
Singleposted 6 Oct, 17:06 · 6 h before start
odds 2.05DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New Jersey Devils
3:5
Utah Mammoth
Utah Mammoth to win
Open on Xexpected 47% from the closing line+1.05 u
Singleposted 4 Oct, 15:12 · 10 h before start
odds 1.34DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Vancouver Canucks
2:3
Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas Golden Knights to win
Open on Xexpected 71% from the closing line+0.34 u
Singleposted 4 Oct, 15:12 · 2 h before start
odds 1.88Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Baltimore Ravens
24:18
Tennessee Titans
Baltimore Ravens −11.5@1.88
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 2 Oct, 15:53 · 9 h before start
odds 1.54DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Dallas Stars
0:4
St. Louis Blues
Dallas Stars to win
Open on Xexpected 62% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 2 Oct, 15:53 · 10 h before start
odds 1.45DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Vegas Golden Knights
3:4
Anaheim Ducks
Vegas Golden Knights to win
Open on Xexpected 66% from the closing line−1.00 u