NinetyEdge | Sports Picks

@NinetyEdge145 followersfirst pick 4 Octusually posts 35 min before start

Data-driven sports analysis and picks. Pre-match reasoning, odds, risk ratings and every result tracked. 21+ | Bet responsibly.

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Tipster index47.6#282 on the leaderboardnewdeveloping sample

Hit rate

50.0%

expected 54.2%

Edge

−4.2 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 28.6%, the edge is within noise

Graded

6-6

ROI

−1.3%

on 9 picks with odds · max drawdown −2.15 u

Average odds

1.85

singles with odds

Form

streak L1 · best W4, worst L3

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Hockey4-2 · 6 graded

+8.8

67%

Basketball1-2 · 3 graded

−18.1

33%

Football1-2 · 3 graded

−16.1

33%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Totals4-2 · 6 graded

+12.6

67%

Match result1-3 · 4 graded

−30.7

25%

Handicap1-1 · 2 graded

−1.5

50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite1-0 · 1 graded

+31.0

100%

Even5-6 · 11 graded

−7.3

45%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.894-3 · 7 graded

−0.4%

57%

1.90…2.291-1 · 2 graded

50%

Singles with the odds stated in the post. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 1 months with 5+ picks

October 2026
−4.2 pp
6-6 · 50%
ROI −1.3%

By league

DEL · Germany2-0100%+46.6
NHL0-10%−55.9
UEFA Nations League0-10%−42.3
LaLiga · Spain1-0100%+45.6
EuroLeague0-10%−51.5
EuroCup1-0100%+48.5
Lega Basket Serie A · Italy0-10%−51.5
3. Liga · Germany0-10%−51.5
Extraliga · Czech Republic1-0100%+44.0
Liiga · Finland0-10%−59.4

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Picks

Singleposted 11 Oct, 16:56 · 34 min before start

odds 1.85Lost

3. Liga·11 Oct, 17:30

Fortuna Dusseldorf

2:2

SC Verl

Under 3@1.85

Singleposted 11 Oct, 11:30 · 30 min before start

odds 1.91Won

Germany · DEL·11 Oct, 12:00

ERC Ingolstadt

2:3

Loewen Frankfurt

penalties

Under 6@1.91

Singleposted 10 Oct, 17:19 · 25 min before start

Won

Switzerland · National League·10 Oct, 17:45

Ajoie

5:4

SCL Tigers

Over 5.5

Singleposted 9 Oct, 18:24 · 35 min before start

odds 1.75Won

LaLiga·9 Oct, 19:00

Malaga

1:1

Espanyol

Under 2.5@1.75

Singleposted 9 Oct, 14:03 · 56 min before start

odds 1.70Won

Czech Republic · Extraliga·9 Oct, 15:00

Trinec

5:2

Mountfield HK

Trinec to win@1.70

Singleposted 8 Oct, 10:43 · 8 h before start

odds 1.85Lost

EuroLeague · EuroLeague: Regular season·8 Oct, 18:45

Real Madrid

86:76

Partizan

Partizan +9.5@1.85

Singleposted 7 Oct, 19:28 · 4 h before start

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·7 Oct, 23:30

Winnipeg Jets

3:2

Colorado Avalanche

Colorado Avalanche to win

Singleposted 7 Oct, 15:07 · 23 min before start

Lost

Finland · Liiga·7 Oct, 15:30

Sport

2:1

Ilves

Ilves to win

Singleposted 6 Oct, 17:11 · 19 min before start

odds 1.85Won

EuroCup · Group C·6 Oct, 17:30

Bourg-en-Bresse

82:89

Tofas

Tofas +5.5@1.85

Singleposted 5 Oct, 18:08 · 37 min before start

odds 2.25Lost

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·5 Oct, 18:45

Italy

3:1

Turkiye

Under 0.5@2.25

Singleposted 4 Oct, 14:12 · 48 min before start

odds 1.85Lost

Italy · Lega Basket Serie A·4 Oct, 15:00

Scafati Basket

77:85

Varese

Scafati Basket to win@1.85

Singleposted 4 Oct, 11:40 · 20 min before start

odds 1.67Won

Germany · DEL·4 Oct, 12:00

Bremerhaven

2:1

Loewen Frankfurt

Under 6@1.67