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Ensalada Deportiva - Sports Picks

@EnsaDeportiva4K followersfirst pick 11 Octusually posts 4 h before start

Somos amantes de los deportes. Expertos analistas en #MLB ⚾ #NBA 🏀 #NHL #NFL 🏈 #CFB 🏈 y #CBB 🏀 Información y noticias deportiva en general.

HockeyBaseballBasketballNFL & NCAAF
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Tipster index43.0#532 on the leaderboardnewdeveloping sample

Open picks 5

Games not played yet
NBA · Regular season·
Boston Celtics
-:-
New York Knicks
Boston Celtics to win@1.71
NBA · Regular season·
Washington Wizards
-:-
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors −7@1.69
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Chicago Blackhawks
-:-
Montreal Canadiens
Montreal Canadiens to win@1.63
MLB · post-season·
Milwaukee Brewers
-:-
Tampa Bay Rays
Milwaukee Brewers over 3.5@1.80
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Colorado Avalanche
-:-
Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning to win@2.10
Hit rate
44.8%
expected 51.9%
Edge
−7.1 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 30.8%, the edge is within noise
Graded
29
13-16 · 5 pending
ROI
−21.0%
on 29 picks with odds · max drawdown −8.50 u
Average odds
1.86
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 · best W3, worst L5

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-3-2-1010 Oct13 Oct16 Oct19 Oct23 Oct

By sport

Hockey6-12 · 18 graded
−17.9
33%
Baseball4-1 · 5 graded
+24.3
80%
NFL & NCAAF2-2 · 4 graded
+0.7
50%
Basketball1-1 · 2 graded
−3.5
50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result9-7 · 16 graded
+2.2
56%
Handicap2-6 · 8 graded
−22.6
25%
Totals2-1 · 3 graded
+14.9
67%
Team totals0-2 · 2 graded
−52.9
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Even13-15 · 28 graded
−5.9
46%
Underdog0-1 · 1 graded
−39.7
0%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.8910-8 · 18 graded
−5.1%
56%
1.90…2.293-5 · 8 graded
−27.3%
38%
2.30…3.490-3 · 3 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    −7.1 pp
    13-16 · 45%
    ROI −21.0%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 23 Oct, 19:08 · 4 h before start
odds 1.71Pending
NBA · Regular season·
Boston Celtics
-:-
New York Knicks
Boston Celtics to win@1.71
Open on Xexpected 56% from odds
Singleposted 23 Oct, 19:08 · 4 h before start
odds 1.69Pending
NBA · Regular season·
Washington Wizards
-:-
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors −7@1.69
Open on Xexpected 56% from odds
Singleposted 23 Oct, 19:00 · 5 h before start
odds 1.63Pending
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Chicago Blackhawks
-:-
Montreal Canadiens
Montreal Canadiens to win@1.63
Open on Xexpected 59% from odds
Singleposted 23 Oct, 19:00 · 6 h before start
odds 2.10Pending
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Colorado Avalanche
-:-
Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning to win@2.10
Open on Xexpected 45% from odds
Singleposted 23 Oct, 18:58 · 5 h before start
odds 1.80Pending
MLB · post-season·
Milwaukee Brewers
-:-
Tampa Bay Rays
Milwaukee Brewers over 3.5@1.80
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds
Singleposted 22 Oct, 18:54 · 4 h before start
odds 1.67Won
NBA · Regular season·
Philadelphia 76ers
114:106
Cleveland Cavaliers
Philadelphia 76ers to win@1.67
Open on Xexpected 57% from odds+0.67 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 18:48 · 5 h before start
odds 1.87Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Chicago Bears
30:24
New England Patriots
Over 50.5@1.87
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds+0.87 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 18:45 · 4 h before start
odds 1.95Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Toronto Maple Leafs
5:4
New York Rangers
Over 6.5@1.95
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds+0.95 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 18:45 · 5 h before start
odds 1.77Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
St. Louis Blues
6:2
Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas Golden Knights to win@1.77
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 20:13 · 3 h before start
odds 1.91Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Orlando Magic
125:132
Atlanta Hawks
Orlando Magic −2.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 20:08 · 3 h before start
odds 2.40Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Buffalo Sabres
1:3
Philadelphia Flyers
Buffalo Sabres −1.5@2.40
Open on Xexpected 40% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 20:08 · 3 h before start
odds 1.91Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Ottawa Senators
5:1
Florida Panthers
Ottawa Senators to win@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 20:54 · 2 h before start
odds 1.61Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Washington Capitals
2:5
Los Angeles Kings
Washington Capitals to win@1.61
Open on Xexpected 59% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 20:54 · 3 h before start
odds 2.35Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Dallas Stars
3:2
Boston Bruins
Boston Bruins to win@2.35
Open on Xexpected 41% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 21:03 · 3 h before start
odds 1.67Won
MLB · post-season·
Tampa Bay Rays
7:3
Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays to win@1.67
Open on Xexpected 57% from odds+0.67 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 18:49 · 4 h before start
odds 1.67Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New York Rangers
5:2
Anaheim Ducks
New York Rangers to win@1.67
Open on Xexpected 57% from odds+0.67 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 18:49 · 5 h before start
odds 1.77Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Toronto Maple Leafs
3:1
San Jose Sharks
Toronto Maple Leafs to win@1.77
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds+0.77 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 18:44 · 6 h before start
odds 1.95Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
23:17
Washington Commanders
San Francisco 49ers −7.5@1.95
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 16:44 · 4 h before start
odds 1.95Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Kansas City Chiefs
22:6
Los Angeles Chargers
Kansas City Chiefs −7.5@1.95
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds+0.95 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 16:44 · 4 h before start
odds 1.95Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Las Vegas Raiders
30:33
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills −5.5@1.95
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 16:36 · 4 h before start
odds 1.74Won
MLB · post-season·
Cleveland Guardians
1:3
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays to win@1.74
Open on Xexpected 55% from odds+0.74 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 16:33 · 5 h before start
odds 1.80Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Minnesota Wild
2:1
Columbus Blue Jackets
Minnesota Wild over 3.5@1.80
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 16:33 · 7 h before start
odds 1.80Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Calgary Flames
3:2
Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina Hurricanes over 3.5@1.80
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 21:20 · 2 h before start
odds 2.30Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Detroit Red Wings
4:3
San Jose Sharks
penalties
San Jose Sharks to win@2.30
Open on Xexpected 41% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 21:20 · 2 h before start
odds 1.67Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Philadelphia Flyers
3:1
Ottawa Senators
Ottawa Senators to win@1.67
Open on Xexpected 57% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 16 Oct, 18:36 · 5 h before start
odds 1.91Void
MLB · post-season·
Cleveland Guardians
void
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays to win@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds
Singleposted 15 Oct, 20:34 · 2 h before start
odds 1.65Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Ottawa Senators
2:1
New York Islanders
penalties
Ottawa Senators to win@1.65
Open on Xexpected 58% from odds+0.65 u
Singleposted 15 Oct, 20:34 · 3 h before start
odds 1.77Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Chicago Blackhawks
4:3
Winnipeg Jets
Winnipeg Jets to win@1.77
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 15 Oct, 16:42 · 17 min before start
odds 1.77Won
MLB · post-season·
Cleveland Guardians
3:2
Tampa Bay Rays
Cleveland Guardians to win@1.77
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds+0.77 u
Singleposted 14 Oct, 22:37 · 2 h before start
odds 1.65Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Colorado Avalanche
2:3
Dallas Stars
penalties
Colorado Avalanche to win@1.65
Open on Xexpected 58% from odds−1.00 u