Ghost The Bookies 👻

@GhostTheBookies4.7K followersfirst pick 5 Augusually posts 13 h before start

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Tipster index41.6#372 on the leaderboardestablished sample

Open picks 5

Games not played yet

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 06:20

Jiri Lehecka

live

Rafael Jodar

Rafael Jodar to win@2.36

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 06:30

Stefanos Tsitsipas

live

Taylor Fritz

Stefanos Tsitsipas to win@2.34

WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·12 Oct, 07:30

Maria Sakkari

live

Donna Vekic

Maria Sakkari to win@1.61

ATP Challenger · Jinan, China·12 Oct, 08:00

Martin Landaluce

-:-

Ilia Simakin

Ilia Simakin to win@2.10

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 11:30

Tommy Paul

-:-

Valentin Vacherot

Tommy Paul to win@1.65

Hit rate

48.7%

expected 54.5%

Edge

−5.8 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 39.6%, the edge is within noise

Graded

38-40-1 · 5 pending

ROI

−22.2%

on 46 picks with odds · max drawdown −13.43 u

Average odds

1.85

singles with odds

Form

streak L2 · best W8, worst L4

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Tennis22-21 · 43 graded

−4.5

51%

NFL & NCAAF15-17-1 · 33 graded

−7.9

47%

Baseball1-1 · 2 graded

−1.9

50%

Hockey0-1 · 1 graded

−6.7

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result29-32 · 61 graded

−9.3

48%

Handicap4-3-1 · 8 graded

−2.6

57%

Totals4-2 · 6 graded

+14.3

67%

Parlays1-3 · 4 graded

+11.2

25%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite20-14 · 34 graded

−6.8

59%

Even15-18 · 33 graded

−7.0

45%

Underdog2-5-1 · 8 graded

−5.4

29%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.507-5 · 12 graded

−20.2%

58%

1.50…1.8910-8 · 18 graded

−7.2%

56%

1.90…2.292-6 · 8 graded

−44.4%

25%

2.30…3.492-3 · 5 graded

+0.8%

40%

3.50+0-1 · 1 graded

Singles with the odds stated in the post. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 3 months with 5+ picks

August 2026
+6.1 pp
17-12 · 59%
ROI +3.2%
September 2026
−10.8 pp
18-20-1 · 47%
ROI −48.1%
October 2026
−20.2 pp
3-8 · 27%
ROI −72.4%

By league

NFL13-15-146%−11.9
ATP 10008-657%+1.8
WTA 10007-278%+22.6
ATP Challenger0-50%−66.5
Davis Cup4-267%+2.9
US Open3-350%+4.2
MLB · USA1-150%−1.9
NCAAF1-150%+3.6
WTA0-10%−59.3
WTA Challenger0-10%−49.2

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Picks

Singleposted 12 Oct, 05:03 · 1 h before start

odds 2.34Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 06:30

Stefanos Tsitsipas

live

Taylor Fritz

Stefanos Tsitsipas to win@2.34

Singleposted 12 Oct, 05:03 · 1 h before start

odds 2.36Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 06:20

Jiri Lehecka

live

Rafael Jodar

Rafael Jodar to win@2.36

Singleposted 12 Oct, 05:03 · 2 h before start

odds 1.61Pending

WTA 1000 · Wuhan Open·12 Oct, 07:30

Maria Sakkari

live

Donna Vekic

Maria Sakkari to win@1.61

Singleposted 12 Oct, 05:03 · 3 h before start

odds 2.10Pending

ATP Challenger · Jinan, China·12 Oct, 08:00

Martin Landaluce

-:-

Ilia Simakin

Ilia Simakin to win@2.10

Singleposted 12 Oct, 05:03 · 6 h before start

odds 1.65Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 11:30

Tommy Paul

-:-

Valentin Vacherot

Tommy Paul to win@1.65

Parlay · 4posted 8 Oct, 23:52 · 7 min before start

odds 12.20Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·9 Oct, 01:00

Calgary Flames

3:7

Colorado Avalanche

Colorado Avalanche −1.5✓

NHL · NHL: Regular season·9 Oct, 02:00

Vegas Golden Knights

4:3

Toronto Maple Leafs

penalties

Vegas Golden Knights to win✓

MLB · post-season·9 Oct, 00:00

Chicago White Sox

5:9

Cleveland Guardians

Chicago White Sox to win✕

NFL · Regular Season·9 Oct, 00:15

Dallas Cowboys

16:24

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +9.5✓

Singleposted 8 Oct, 23:16 · 59 min before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·9 Oct, 00:15

Dallas Cowboys

16:24

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +9.5

Singleposted 8 Oct, 22:14 · 16 h before start

odds 1.94Lost

WTA Challenger · Samsun, Turkiye·9 Oct, 14:00

Simona Waltert

1:2

Himeno Sakatsume

Simona Waltert to win@1.94

Singleposted 8 Oct, 22:14 · 14 h before start

odds 1.37Lost

ATP Challenger · Braga, Portugal·9 Oct, 12:10

Marvin Moeller

0:2

Matej Dodig

Marvin Moeller to win@1.37

Singleposted 8 Oct, 22:14 · 6 h before start

odds 2.00Lost

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·9 Oct, 04:10

Arthur Gea

2:1

Ugo Humbert

Ugo Humbert to win@2.00

Singleposted 8 Oct, 22:14 · 9 h before start

odds 2.21Won

WTA 1000 · China Open·9 Oct, 07:00

Qinwen Zheng

2:0

Elina Svitolina

Qinwen Zheng to win@2.21

Parlay · 5posted 5 Oct, 23:49 · 3 h before start

Lost

WTA 1000 · China Open·6 Oct, 03:10

Daria Snigur

0:2

Mirra Andreeva

Mirra Andreeva to win✓

WTA 1000 · China Open·6 Oct, 04:30

Linda Noskova

0:2

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Linda Noskova to win✕

WTA 1000 · China Open·6 Oct, 10:20

Sinja Kraus

1:2

Nikola Bartunkova

Nikola Bartunkova to win✓

ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·6 Oct, 09:15

Carlos Alcaraz

2:0

Jiri Lehecka

Carlos Alcaraz to win✓

ATP 500 · China Open·6 Oct, 11:15

Novak Djokovic

void

Alex de Minaur

Novak Djokovic to win∅

Singleposted 4 Oct, 03:49 · 10 h before start

odds 2.88Lost

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 13:30

Washington Commanders

13:30

Indianapolis Colts

Washington Commanders to win@2.88

Singleposted 4 Oct, 03:49 · 13 h before start

odds 1.69Lost

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Cincinnati Bengals

17:22

Jacksonville Jaguars

Cincinnati Bengals to win@1.69

Singleposted 4 Oct, 03:47 · 13 h before start

odds 1.73Lost

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

New York Giants

36:24

Arizona Cardinals

Arizona Cardinals to win@1.73

Singleposted 4 Oct, 03:47 · 13 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Buffalo Bills

26:29

New England Patriots

New England Patriots +6.5

Singleposted 24 Sept, 22:38 · 2 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·25 Sept, 00:15

Green Bay Packers

14:35

Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons +4.5

Singleposted 20 Sept, 03:57 · 16 h before start

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·20 Sept, 20:05

Los Angeles Chargers

14:26

Las Vegas Raiders

Los Angeles Chargers to win

Singleposted 20 Sept, 03:57 · 13 h before start

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·20 Sept, 17:00

Tennessee Titans

20:24

Philadelphia Eagles

Tennessee Titans to win

Singleposted 20 Sept, 03:57 · 13 h before start

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·20 Sept, 17:00

Chicago Bears

3:9

Minnesota Vikings

Chicago Bears −4.5

Singleposted 20 Sept, 03:57 · 13 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·20 Sept, 17:00

Baltimore Ravens

17:24

New Orleans Saints

New Orleans Saints +8.5

Singleposted 20 Sept, 03:55 · 13 h before start

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·20 Sept, 17:00

New England Patriots

20:3

Pittsburgh Steelers

Pittsburgh Steelers to win

Singleposted 20 Sept, 03:55 · 16 h before start

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·20 Sept, 20:05

Denver Broncos

20:13

Jacksonville Jaguars

Jacksonville Jaguars +2.5

Singleposted 20 Sept, 03:55 · 16 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·20 Sept, 20:25

Arizona Cardinals

7:31

Seattle Seahawks

Seattle Seahawks to win

Singleposted 20 Sept, 03:53 · 13 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·20 Sept, 17:00

Houston Texans

6:20

Cincinnati Bengals

Cincinnati Bengals to win

Singleposted 20 Sept, 03:53 · 13 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·20 Sept, 17:00

Atlanta Falcons

3:34

Carolina Panthers

Carolina Panthers to win

Singleposted 20 Sept, 03:53 · 13 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·20 Sept, 17:00

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

19:23

Cleveland Browns

Cleveland Browns to win

Singleposted 20 Sept, 03:53 · 16 h before start

Won

NFL · Regular Season·20 Sept, 20:05

Denver Broncos

20:13

Jacksonville Jaguars

Denver Broncos to win

Singleposted 20 Sept, 03:53 · 17 h before start

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·20 Sept, 20:25

Arizona Cardinals

7:31

Seattle Seahawks

Arizona Cardinals to win

Singleposted 20 Sept, 01:08 · 29 min before start

Won

MLB·20 Sept, 01:38

Los Angeles Angels

6:5

Minnesota Twins

Los Angeles Angels to win