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Antares

@AntaresBets197 followersfirst pick 12 Septusually posts 17 min before start

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Tipster index53.4#280 on the leaderboarddown 95 this weekdeveloping sample

Open picks 2

Games not played yet
Australia · NBL·
Brisbane Bullets
-:-
Cairns Taipans
Brisbane Bullets to win@1.99
Championship·
Wolves
-:-
Cardiff City
Wolves −2.5@1.78
Hit rate
54.8%
expected 51.5%
Edge
+3.4 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 40.4%, the edge is within noise
Graded
32
17-14-1 · 2 pending
ROI
+0.7%
on 31 picks with odds · max drawdown −4.72 u
Average odds
1.86
singles with odds
Form
streak W2 · best W4, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

01211 Sept23 Sept5 Oct17 Oct29 Oct

By sport

Basketball6-5 · 11 graded
+2.1
55%
NFL & NCAAF4-3 · 7 graded
+6.1
57%
Football1-4-1 · 6 graded
−31.4
20%
Tennis4-1 · 5 graded
+30.3
80%
Hockey1-1 · 2 graded
−2.0
50%
Baseball1-0 · 1 graded
+48.2
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap8-8-1 · 17 graded
−1.1
50%
Match result6-3 · 9 graded
+14.4
67%
Totals3-3 · 6 graded
−1.4
50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Even17-14-1 · 32 graded
+3.4
55%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.899-11-1 · 21 graded
−18.1%
45%
1.90…2.296-3 · 9 graded
+30.2%
67%
2.30…3.491-0 · 1 graded
-
100%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 2 of 2 months with 5+ picks
  • September 2026
    +9.4 pp
    6-4 · 60%
    ROI +5.2%
  • October 2026
    +0.5 pp
    11-10-1 · 52%
    ROI −1.2%

By league

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Same main sport, closest index

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Picks

Singleposted 29 Oct, 05:36 · 3 h before start
odds 1.99Pending
Australia · NBL·
Brisbane Bullets
-:-
Cairns Taipans
Brisbane Bullets to win@1.99
Open on Xexpected 48% from odds
Singleposted 29 Oct, 02:21 · 9 min before start
odds 1.95Won
NBA · Regular season·
LA Clippers
87:103
LA Lakers
LA Lakers to win@1.95
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds+0.95 u
Singleposted 29 Oct, 01:35 · 55 min before start
odds 1.74Lost
MLS·
Seattle Sounders FC
0:1
Houston Dynamo
Seattle Sounders FC to win@1.74
Open on Xexpected 55% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 29 Oct, 01:02 · 2 h before start
odds 2.06Won
WTA 500 · Pan Pacific Open (Tokyo)·
Leylah Fernandez
2:0
Elise Mertens
Leylah Fernandez to win@2.06
Open on Xexpected 46% from odds+1.06 u
Singleposted 29 Oct, 00:07 · 3 days before start
odds 1.78Pending
Championship·
Wolves
-:-
Cardiff City
Wolves −2.5@1.78
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds
Singleposted 28 Oct, 23:31 · 28 min before start
odds 1.78Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Minnesota Timberwolves
114:119
Golden State Warriors
Minnesota Timberwolves −2.5@1.78
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 28 Oct, 19:43 · 17 min before start
odds 1.85Push
EFL Cup · EFL Cup: Round 4·
Liverpool
1:1
Chelsea
penalties
Liverpool draw no bet@1.85
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds+0.00 u
Singleposted 28 Oct, 06:16 · 5 h before start
odds 1.83Won
ATP 500 · Swiss Indoors Basel·
Yannick Hanfmann
0:2
Jan-Lennard Struff
Jan-Lennard Struff to win@1.83
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds+0.83 u
Singleposted 27 Oct, 03:33 · 9 h before start
odds 1.66Won
ATP 500 · Erste Bank Open (Vienna)·
Tommy Paul
2:0
Andrey Rublev
Tommy Paul to win@1.66
Open on Xexpected 57% from odds+0.66 u
Singleposted 27 Oct, 01:57 · 3 min before start
odds 1.87Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Denver Nuggets
114:134
Golden State Warriors
Denver Nuggets −6.5@1.87
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 26 Oct, 23:13 · 16 min before start
odds 1.80Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Miami Heat
109:113
Dallas Mavericks
Miami Heat −6.5@1.80
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 26 Oct, 00:48 · 11 min before start
odds 1.77Won
NBA · Regular season·
Sacramento Kings
112:123
Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies −2.5@1.77
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds+0.77 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 20:48 · 12 min before start
odds 1.83Won
NBA · Regular season·
Utah Jazz
123:132
LA Lakers
LA Lakers −5.5@1.83
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds+0.83 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 01:49 · 11 min before start
odds 1.81Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Sacramento Kings
120:128
Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers −8.5@1.81
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 01:49 · 11 min before start
odds 1.78Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Golden State Warriors
108:111
Memphis Grizzlies
Golden State Warriors −2.5@1.78
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 23:57 · 2 h before start
odds 1.85Won
NBA · Regular season·
Oklahoma City Thunder
96:84
Denver Nuggets
Oklahoma City Thunder −7.5@1.85
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds+0.85 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 23:33 · 1 h before start
odds 1.74DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Edmonton Oilers
6:5
Carolina Hurricanes
penalties
Carolina Hurricanes to win
Open on Xexpected 55% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 11:44 · 3 h before start
odds 1.88Void
ATP 250 · Almaty Open·
Alexander Bublik
void
Fabian Marozsan
Alexander Bublik −1.5 sets@1.88
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds
Singleposted 22 Oct, 06:30 · 10 min before start
odds 1.85Lost
ATP 250 · Almaty Open·
Terence Atmane
2:1
Mattia Bellucci
Mattia Bellucci to win@1.85
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 00:16 · 14 min before start
odds 1.83Won
NBA · Regular season·
Houston Rockets
128:110
Dallas Mavericks
Houston Rockets −8.5@1.83
Open on Xexpected 52% from odds+0.83 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 18:33 · 27 min before start
odds 1.91Lost
LaLiga·
Real Madrid
1:0
Villarreal
Real Madrid −1.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 13:49 · 10 min before start
odds 1.72Lost
Premier League·
Ipswich Town
2:1
Fulham
Fulham draw no bet@1.72
Open on Xexpected 55% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 10 Oct, 11:49 · 10 min before start
odds 1.79Void
LaLiga·
Rayo Vallecano
void
Athletic Club
Athletic Club draw no bet@1.79
Open on Xexpected 53% from odds
Singleposted 10 Oct, 11:49 · 10 min before start
Void
LaLiga·
Rayo Vallecano
void
Athletic Club
Athletic Club to win
Open on Xexpected 21% by model
Singleposted 10 Oct, 08:13 · 16 min before start
odds 1.70Won
Australia · NBL·
South East Melbourne Phoenix
99:104
Melbourne United
Melbourne United to win@1.70
Open on Xexpected 56% from odds+0.70 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 10:15 · 2 h before start
odds 2.30Won
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Alexander Bublik
2:0
Tomas Machac
Alexander Bublik −1.5 sets@2.30
Open on Xexpected 41% from odds+1.30 u
Singleposted 8 Oct, 22:42 · 18 min before start
odds 1.95Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Ottawa Senators
2:1
Philadelphia Flyers
Ottawa Senators to win@1.95
Open on Xexpected 49% from odds+0.95 u
Singleposted 28 Sept, 00:13 · 6 min before start
odds 1.73Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Denver Broncos
30:26
Los Angeles Rams
Under 46.5@1.73
Open on Xexpected 55% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 27 Sept, 22:06 · 2 h before start
odds 1.91Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Denver Broncos
30:26
Los Angeles Rams
Denver Broncos +2.5@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 25 Sept, 18:34 · 25 min before start
odds 2.03Lost
Africa Cup of Nations Qualification · Qualification: Group A·
Morocco
2:0
Gabon
Morocco −2.5@2.03
Open on Xexpected 47% from odds−1.00 u