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Pelican Picks

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Sports Bettor | 49-25 (+18.63u) NBA Model 🏀 Premier League Sharp ⚽️ | “Trust The Model” ™️ | All Futures Pinned Below ⬇️

BaseballFootballNFL & NCAAFTennisBasketball
Tipster index49.0#190 on the leaderboard
Hit rate
46.9%
expected 47.5%
Edge
−0.5 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 41.2%, the edge is within noise
Graded
197
92-104-1
ROI
−3.4%
on 32 picks with odds
Average odds
4.00
singles with odds
Form
streak L4

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-6-4-2031 Jul17 Aug3 Sept20 Sept8 Oct

By sport

Baseball48-39-1 · 88 graded
+3.9
55%
Football23-51 · 74 graded
−9.6
31%
NFL & NCAAF15-11 · 26 graded
+5.3
58%
Tennis5-3 · 8 graded
+6.1
63%
Basketball1-0 · 1 graded
+76.2
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result53-42 · 95 graded
+1.1
56%
Parlays17-42 · 59 graded
−2.7
29%
Handicap15-12-1 · 28 graded
+5.6
56%
Totals3-5 · 8 graded
−18.1
38%
Double chance3-3 · 6 graded
−18.3
50%
Both teams to score1-0 · 1 graded
+46.4
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 7 Oct, 23:44
Lost
MLB · post-season·
New York Yankees
3:4
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees to win
Singleposted 5 Oct, 20:10
Lost
MLB · post-season·
Cleveland Guardians
3:4
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians to win
Singleposted 5 Oct, 20:10
Lost
MLB · post-season·
Tampa Bay Rays
5:2
New York Yankees
New York Yankees to win
Parlay · 2posted 5 Oct, 20:10
Lost
MLB · post-season·
Cleveland Guardians
3:4
Chicago White Sox
Cleveland Guardians to win✕
MLB · post-season·
Tampa Bay Rays
5:2
New York Yankees
New York Yankees to win✕
Singleposted 4 Oct, 20:23
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Las Vegas Raiders
27:30
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs −2.5
Singleposted 4 Oct, 20:23
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
24:14
Denver Broncos
San Francisco 49ers to win
Parlay · 4posted 3 Oct, 18:03
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Missouri Tigers
45:17
Florida Gators
Missouri Tigers +6.5✓
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
South Carolina Gamecocks
34:35
Kentucky Wildcats
South Carolina Gamecocks to win✕
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Iowa Hawkeyes
14:31
Ohio State Buckeyes
Iowa Hawkeyes +14.5✕
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Clemson Tigers
13:41
Miami Hurricanes
Clemson Tigers +15.5✕
Singleposted 3 Oct, 15:58
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Mississippi State Bulldogs
23:56
Alabama Crimson Tide
Mississippi State Bulldogs +5.5
Singleposted 2 Oct, 21:17
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Virginia Tech Hokies
33:35
Pittsburgh Panthers
Virginia Tech Hokies to win
Singleposted 2 Oct, 21:17
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Northwestern Wildcats
34:13
Penn State Nittany Lions
Northwestern Wildcats to win
Parlay · 4posted 2 Oct, 21:17
odds 5.42Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Virginia Tech Hokies
33:35
Pittsburgh Panthers
Virginia Tech Hokies to win✕
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Northwestern Wildcats
34:13
Penn State Nittany Lions
Northwestern Wildcats to win✓
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Delaware Blue Hens
14:30
Liberty Flames
Liberty Flames to win✓
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Virginia Tech Hokies
33:35
Pittsburgh Panthers
Ungraded market?
Singleposted 1 Oct, 22:22
Won
MLB · post-season·
Atlanta Braves
6:2
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves to win
Singleposted 30 Sept, 23:44
Won
MLB · post-season·
New York Yankees
9:2
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees to win
Singleposted 30 Sept, 23:44
Lost
MLB · post-season·
San Diego Padres
4:1
Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs to win
Parlay · 2posted 30 Sept, 23:44
odds 3.89Lost
MLB · post-season·
New York Yankees
9:2
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees to win✓
MLB · post-season·
San Diego Padres
4:1
Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs to win✕
Singleposted 30 Sept, 17:52
Won
MLB · post-season·
Atlanta Braves
3:4
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies to win
Parlay · 2posted 29 Sept, 18:31
odds 2.11Won
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 3·
Czechia
0:2
England
England to win✓
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 3·
Spain
4:1
Croatia
Spain −1.5✓
Singleposted 29 Sept, 17:07
Won
MLB · post-season·
Houston Astros
3:6
Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox to win
Singleposted 29 Sept, 17:07
Won
MLB · post-season·
New York Yankees
9:0
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees to win
Parlay · 2posted 29 Sept, 17:07
odds 3.59Won
MLB · post-season·
Houston Astros
3:6
Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox to win✓
MLB · post-season·
New York Yankees
9:0
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees to win✓
Singleposted 27 Sept, 20:19
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
27:35
Las Vegas Raiders
New Orleans Saints −2.5
Singleposted 27 Sept, 16:52
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Cleveland Browns
21:18
Carolina Panthers
Carolina Panthers to win
Singleposted 27 Sept, 16:52
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Jacksonville Jaguars
35:6
New England Patriots
Jacksonville Jaguars to win
Singleposted 26 Sept, 12:59
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Tennessee Volunteers
17:20
Texas Longhorns
Texas Longhorns −2.5
Singleposted 26 Sept, 12:59
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Florida Gators
52:28
Ole Miss Rebels
Ole Miss Rebels +3.5
Singleposted 26 Sept, 12:59
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
USC Trojans
27:41
Oregon Ducks
USC Trojans +3.5
Singleposted 20 Sept, 20:05
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
35:13
Miami Dolphins
San Francisco 49ers −12.5
Singleposted 20 Sept, 16:53
Won
Serie A·
AC Milan
3:0
Lecce
AC Milan to win
Singleposted 20 Sept, 16:53
Won
Serie A·
AC Milan
3:0
Lecce
Both teams to score: no
Singleposted 19 Sept, 15:12
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Louisville Cardinals
41:31
SMU Mustangs
Louisville Cardinals to win