Tony T

Sports Handicapper Tony Tellez provides information for pro & college sports from a wagering angle for betting legally on games #picks #odds #NFL #NBA #MLB

BaseballNFL & NCAAF

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Tipster index45.8#203 on the leaderboard

Open picks 3

Games not played yet

MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 22:00

Atlanta Braves

-:-

Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers to win@3.53

MLB · post-season·8 Oct, 00:00

New York Yankees

-:-

Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay Rays to win

MLB · post-season·8 Oct, 02:00

San Diego Padres

-:-

Milwaukee Brewers

San Diego Padres to win

Hit rate

46.4%

expected 49.4%

Edge

−3.0 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 36.9%, the edge is within noise

Graded

32-37-2 · 3 pending

ROI

−15.7%

on 31 picks with odds

Average odds

2.11

singles with odds

Form

streak W3

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Baseball22-23-1 · 46 graded

+0.9

49%

NFL & NCAAF10-14-1 · 25 graded

−10.5

42%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result17-18 · 35 graded

+0.4

49%

Totals11-5-1 · 17 graded

+13.0

69%

Handicap3-9-1 · 13 graded

−27.2

25%

Parlays1-5 · 6 graded

−17.4

17%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

MLB · USA22-22-150%+1.9
NCAAF6-1038%−17.9
NFL3-4-143%−4.5

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Picks

Singleposted 7 Oct, 14:07

Pending

MLB · post-season·8 Oct, 02:00

San Diego Padres

-:-

Milwaukee Brewers

San Diego Padres to win

Singleposted 7 Oct, 13:56

Pending

MLB · post-season·8 Oct, 00:00

New York Yankees

-:-

Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay Rays to win

Singleposted 7 Oct, 13:47

odds 3.53Pending

MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 22:00

Atlanta Braves

-:-

Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers to win@3.53

Singleposted 6 Oct, 11:10

odds 1.77Won

MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 01:30

San Diego Padres

4:3

Milwaukee Brewers

San Diego Padres to win@1.77

Singleposted 5 Oct, 10:35

odds 2.15Won

MLB · post-season·6 Oct, 00:00

Tampa Bay Rays

5:2

New York Yankees

Tampa Bay Rays to win@2.15

Singleposted 4 Oct, 14:04

Won

MLB · post-season·4 Oct, 20:00

Milwaukee Brewers

4:3

San Diego Padres

Milwaukee Brewers to win

Parlay · 4posted 3 Oct, 12:56

odds 2.00Lost

MLB · post-season·3 Oct, 17:00

Cleveland Guardians

0:3

Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox to win✓

MLB · post-season·3 Oct, 20:00

Los Angeles Dodgers

5:3

Atlanta Braves

Los Angeles Dodgers −1.5✓

MLB · post-season·3 Oct, 22:30

Tampa Bay Rays

1:0

New York Yankees

Tampa Bay Rays to win✓

MLB · post-season·4 Oct, 00:30

Milwaukee Brewers

3:2

San Diego Padres

San Diego Padres to win✕

Singleposted 30 Sept, 09:51

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 16:00

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

57:3

Stanford Cardinal

Over 53.5

Singleposted 30 Sept, 09:51

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 16:00

North Carolina Tar Heels

26:37

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Notre Dame Fighting Irish −21

Singleposted 30 Sept, 09:51

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 16:00

Air Force Falcons

14:9

Navy Midshipmen

Under 46

Singleposted 30 Sept, 09:51

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 16:00

Houston Cougars

27:17

UCF Knights

Over 51.5

Singleposted 30 Sept, 09:51

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 16:00

Minnesota Golden Gophers

20:14

Michigan Wolverines

Michigan Wolverines −5.5

Singleposted 30 Sept, 09:51

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 16:00

Kansas Jayhawks

55:0

Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders

Under 50.5

Singleposted 30 Sept, 09:51

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 16:00

SMU Mustangs

25:16

Boston College Eagles

SMU Mustangs −21

Singleposted 30 Sept, 09:51

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 16:00

Mississippi State Bulldogs

23:56

Alabama Crimson Tide

Over 60

Singleposted 30 Sept, 09:51

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 16:45

Georgia Bulldogs

38:14

Vanderbilt Commodores

Georgia Bulldogs −24.5

Singleposted 30 Sept, 09:35

odds 2.04Lost

MLB · post-season·30 Sept, 18:00

Atlanta Braves

3:4

Philadelphia Phillies

Atlanta Braves to win@2.04

Singleposted 30 Sept, 09:35

Won

MLB · post-season·30 Sept, 21:00

Houston Astros

3:7

Chicago White Sox

Over 7.5

Singleposted 30 Sept, 09:35

odds 1.76Won

MLB · post-season·1 Oct, 00:00

New York Yankees

9:2

Boston Red Sox

New York Yankees to win@1.76

Singleposted 30 Sept, 09:35

odds 1.74Won

MLB · post-season·1 Oct, 02:00

San Diego Padres

4:1

Chicago Cubs

San Diego Padres to win@1.74

Singleposted 29 Sept, 13:08

Won

MLB · post-season·30 Sept, 02:00

San Diego Padres

8:0

Chicago Cubs

San Diego Padres to win

Singleposted 29 Sept, 12:48

Won

MLB · post-season·29 Sept, 21:00

Houston Astros

3:6

Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox to win

Same-game combo · 2posted 28 Sept, 13:51

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·29 Sept, 00:15

Chicago Bears

27:7

Philadelphia Eagles

Philadelphia Eagles −4.5✕

NFL · Regular Season·29 Sept, 00:15

Chicago Bears

27:7

Philadelphia Eagles

Under 41.5✓

Same-game combo · 2posted 27 Sept, 13:01

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·27 Sept, 17:00

Indianapolis Colts

19:17

Houston Texans

Houston Texans −1.5✕

NFL · Regular Season·27 Sept, 17:00

Indianapolis Colts

19:17

Houston Texans

Indianapolis Colts +1.5✓

Same-game combo · 2posted 26 Sept, 15:18

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·27 Sept, 20:25

New Orleans Saints

27:35

Las Vegas Raiders

New Orleans Saints −3✕

NFL · Regular Season·27 Sept, 20:25

New Orleans Saints

27:35

Las Vegas Raiders

Las Vegas Raiders +3✓

Singleposted 26 Sept, 14:48

Won

NFL · Regular Season·27 Sept, 17:00

Miami Dolphins

10:24

Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City Chiefs to win

Singleposted 26 Sept, 13:21

Lost

MLB·26 Sept, 16:35

Washington Nationals

1:7

New York Mets

Over 8.5

Singleposted 26 Sept, 13:21

Won

MLB·26 Sept, 20:05

San Francisco Giants

3:4

Los Angeles Dodgers

Under 7.5

Singleposted 26 Sept, 13:21

odds 2.10Lost

MLB·26 Sept, 20:10

Minnesota Twins

2:6

Texas Rangers

Minnesota Twins to win@2.10

Singleposted 24 Sept, 13:43

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·26 Sept, 19:00

Wyoming Cowboys

27:10

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors

Wyoming Cowboys +3