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NFL & NCAAFFootballBaseballHockey

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Tipster index38.6#320 on the leaderboard

Hit rate

35.3%

expected 51.1%

Edge

−15.8 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 19.5%, the edge is within noise

Graded

6-11-1

ROI

−29.9%

on 15 picks with odds

Average odds

1.94

singles with odds

Form

streak L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

NFL & NCAAF3-4-1 · 8 graded

−7.8

43%

Football1-6 · 7 graded

−37.4

14%

Baseball2-0 · 2 graded

+46.1

100%

Hockey0-1 · 1 graded

−44.3

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Totals5-2 · 7 graded

+17.6

71%

Handicap0-3-1 · 4 graded

−51.2

Match result1-3 · 4 graded

−25.5

25%

Double chance0-2 · 2 graded

−43.4

Both teams to score0-1 · 1 graded

−49.5

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

NFL3-260%+9.8
NCAAF0-2-10%−51.9
MLB · USA2-0100%+46.1
Premier League · England0-20%−48.9
Champions League1-150%+1.5
MLS · USA0-10%−63.8
NHL0-10%−44.3
Superliga · Denmark0-10%−49.5
Allsvenskan · Sweden0-10%−53.8

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Picks

Singleposted 7 Oct, 20:36

odds 2.15Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·8 Oct, 02:00

Anaheim Ducks

2:5

Edmonton Oilers

Anaheim Ducks to win@2.15

Singleposted 7 Oct, 20:14

odds 2.00Won

MLB · post-season·8 Oct, 02:00

San Diego Padres

1:3

Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers to win@2.00

Singleposted 7 Oct, 19:41

Won

MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 20:00

Chicago White Sox

3:9

Cleveland Guardians

Over 7.5

Singleposted 4 Oct, 05:33

odds 1.91Won

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Cincinnati Bengals

17:22

Jacksonville Jaguars

Under 52@1.91

Singleposted 4 Oct, 05:33

odds 1.91Lost

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Buffalo Bills

26:29

New England Patriots

Under 50.5@1.91

Singleposted 4 Oct, 05:33

odds 1.87Won

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Chicago Bears

23:12

New York Jets

Under 43.5@1.87

Singleposted 3 Oct, 06:33

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 19:30

Iowa Hawkeyes

14:31

Ohio State Buckeyes

Iowa Hawkeyes +14.5

Singleposted 21 Sept, 22:33

odds 1.91Lost

NFL · Regular Season·22 Sept, 00:15

Los Angeles Rams

28:6

New York Giants

New York Giants +7@1.91

Singleposted 19 Sept, 14:55

odds 1.95Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·19 Sept, 19:00

Toledo Rockets

49:48

Temple Owls

Toledo Rockets −5.5@1.95

Singleposted 19 Sept, 13:29

odds 1.69Lost

Premier League·19 Sept, 14:00

Brighton

3:0

Arsenal

Arsenal to win@1.69

Singleposted 19 Sept, 13:29

odds 2.30Lost

Premier League·19 Sept, 14:00

Newcastle United

2:1

Hull City

Hull City or draw@2.30

Singleposted 17 Sept, 23:36

odds 1.89Won

NFL · Regular Season·18 Sept, 00:15

Buffalo Bills

41:31

Detroit Lions

Over 54.5@1.89

Singleposted 11 Sept, 03:57

odds 1.93Lost

Superliga·11 Sept, 17:00

FC Copenhagen

2:0

AC Horsens

Both teams to score: yes@1.93

Singleposted 9 Sept, 18:13

odds 2.10Lost

Champions League · League Stage·9 Sept, 19:00

Liverpool

2:1

Atletico Madrid

Atletico Madrid or draw@2.10

Singleposted 9 Sept, 18:13

odds 1.85Won

Champions League · League Stage·9 Sept, 19:00

Napoli

0:1

Arsenal

Under 2.5@1.85

Singleposted 7 Sept, 20:03

odds 1.83Push

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·7 Sept, 23:30

Florida State Seminoles

24:27

SMU Mustangs

Florida State Seminoles +3@1.83

Singleposted 4 Sept, 03:48

Lost

MLS·4 Sept, 23:30

New York City FC

0:0

Nashville SC

Over 2.5

Singleposted 31 Aug, 04:14

odds 1.77Lost

Allsvenskan·31 Aug, 17:00

Sirius

0:1

Malmo FF

Sirius to win@1.77