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Open picks 1

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MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 22:00

Atlanta Braves

-:-

Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers to win

Hit rate

52.0%

expected 45.4%

Edge

+6.6 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 42.6%, the edge is within noise

Graded

39-36 · 1 pending

ROI

−42.1%

on 17 picks with odds

Average odds

2.26

singles with odds

Form

streak L5

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

NFL & NCAAF19-13 · 32 graded

+12.2

59%

Baseball10-13 · 23 graded

−3.9

43%

Tennis4-5 · 9 graded

+12.8

44%

Football5-2 · 7 graded

+10.0

71%

Basketball0-3 · 3 graded

−9.2

Hockey1-0 · 1 graded

+36.7

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result24-15 · 39 graded

+5.3

62%

Parlays1-18 · 19 graded

−5.2

Handicap13-3 · 16 graded

+22.2

81%

Totals1-0 · 1 graded

+33.8

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

NCAAF17-674%+17.6
MLB · USA10-953%−3.0
UEFA Nations League5-271%+10.0
US Open4-267%+21.5
NFL1-233%−14.4
NHL1-0100%+36.7
WNBA0-10%−19.6

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Picks

Singleposted 7 Oct, 05:48

Pending

MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 22:00

Atlanta Braves

-:-

Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers to win

Parlay · 4posted 7 Oct, 01:20

odds 23.85Lost

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·7 Oct, 05:40

Adrian Mannarino

void

Nikoloz Basilashvili

Adrian Mannarino to win∅

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·7 Oct, 06:10

Alex Molcan

2:1

Federico Cina

Alex Molcan to win✓

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·7 Oct, 07:00

Marco Trungelliti

0:2

Rei Sakamoto

Marco Trungelliti to win✕

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·7 Oct, 13:15

Holger Rune

1:2

Daniel Altmaier

Daniel Altmaier to win✓

Parlay · 4posted 6 Oct, 21:49

odds 12.41Lost

NBA · Pre-season·6 Oct, 23:00

Charlotte Hornets

90:124

Brooklyn Nets

Brooklyn Nets +4.5@1.87✓

NBA · Pre-season·7 Oct, 00:00

Oklahoma City Thunder

110:116

New Orleans Pelicans

Oklahoma City Thunder to win@1.88✕

NBA · Pre-season·7 Oct, 01:00

Utah Jazz

106:117

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets to win@1.89✓

NBA · Pre-season·7 Oct, 02:00

Golden State Warriors

124:98

LA Lakers

LA Lakers +4.5@1.87✕

Parlay · 3posted 5 Oct, 23:40

Lost

MLB · post-season·6 Oct, 00:00

Tampa Bay Rays

5:2

New York Yankees

New York Yankees +1.5✕

NFL · Regular Season·6 Oct, 00:15

New Orleans Saints

24:45

Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons +7.5✓

MLB · post-season·6 Oct, 00:00

Tampa Bay Rays

5:2

New York Yankees

Ungraded market?

Parlay · 4posted 5 Oct, 01:20

odds 22.22Lost

WTA 1000 · China Open·5 Oct, 05:10

Iva Jovic

2:0

Kamilla Rakhimova

Kamilla Rakhimova to win@4.15✕

ATP Challenger · Wuning 3, China·5 Oct, 05:20

Beibit Zhukayev

0:2

Yaroslav Demin

Beibit Zhukayev to win@1.71✕

ATP Challenger · Wuning 3, China·5 Oct, 07:05

Luca Castelnuovo

1:2

Akira Santillan

Luca Castelnuovo to win@1.80✕

ATP 500 · China Open·5 Oct, 11:25

Novak Djokovic

live

Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev to win@1.74◷

Parlay · 4posted 5 Oct, 01:14

odds 14.30Lost

WTA 1000 · China Open·5 Oct, 06:15

Marie Bouzkova

1:2

Qinwen Zheng

Qinwen Zheng to win@1.69✓

WTA 1000 · China Open·5 Oct, 06:50

Alina Charaeva

2:0

Sonay Kartal

Sonay Kartal to win@1.54✕

ATP 500 · China Open·5 Oct, 09:30

Alex de Minaur

void

Hubert Hurkacz

Hubert Hurkacz to win@2.10∅

ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·5 Oct, 10:20

Jiri Lehecka

2:0

Valentin Vacherot

Valentin Vacherot to win@2.62✕

Parlay · 3posted 4 Oct, 19:17

odds 2.22Won

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 20:05

Minnesota Vikings

15:10

Miami Dolphins

Minnesota Vikings to win@1.20✓

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 20:25

Seattle Seahawks

30:23

Los Angeles Chargers

Seattle Seahawks to win@1.27✓

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 20:25

Las Vegas Raiders

27:30

Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City Chiefs to win@1.47✓

Parlay · 5posted 3 Oct, 23:32

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

14:17

Green Bay Packers

Green Bay Packers to win✓

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Philadelphia Eagles

20:24

Los Angeles Rams

Los Angeles Rams to win✓

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Buffalo Bills

26:29

New England Patriots

Buffalo Bills to win✕

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 20:25

Las Vegas Raiders

27:30

Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City Chiefs to win✓

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

14:17

Green Bay Packers

Ungraded market?

Singleposted 3 Oct, 21:31

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 23:30

Boise State Broncos

37:18

Utah State Aggies

Boise State Broncos −9.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 21:31

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 23:30

Clemson Tigers

13:41

Miami Hurricanes

Miami Hurricanes to win

Singleposted 3 Oct, 21:31

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 23:00

Rice Owls

14:16

UTSA Roadrunners

UTSA Roadrunners to win

Singleposted 3 Oct, 21:31

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 23:30

South Florida Bulls

13:17

Temple Owls

South Florida Bulls to win

Singleposted 3 Oct, 21:31

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·3 Oct, 23:00

Philadelphia Flyers

2:3

Carolina Hurricanes

Carolina Hurricanes to win

Singleposted 3 Oct, 21:31

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 23:00

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

24:31

Georgia Southern Eagles

Georgia Southern Eagles to win

Singleposted 3 Oct, 21:31

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 23:00

South Alabama Jaguars

52:35

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks

South Alabama Jaguars to win

Singleposted 3 Oct, 06:31

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 20:15

South Carolina Gamecocks

34:35

Kentucky Wildcats

South Carolina Gamecocks to win

Singleposted 3 Oct, 06:31

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 16:00

Minnesota Golden Gophers

20:14

Michigan Wolverines

Michigan Wolverines to win

Singleposted 3 Oct, 06:31

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 16:00

Connecticut Huskies

41:42

Syracuse Orange

Syracuse Orange to win

Singleposted 3 Oct, 06:30

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 16:00

North Carolina Tar Heels

26:37

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

North Carolina Tar Heels +28.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 06:30

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 16:00

Mississippi State Bulldogs

23:56

Alabama Crimson Tide

Mississippi State Bulldogs +11.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 06:30

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 16:00

Houston Cougars

27:17

UCF Knights

UCF Knights +14.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 06:30

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 16:00

SMU Mustangs

25:16

Boston College Eagles

SMU Mustangs −16.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 06:30

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 16:45

Georgia Bulldogs

38:14

Vanderbilt Commodores

Georgia Bulldogs −18.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 06:30

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 19:30

Iowa Hawkeyes

14:31

Ohio State Buckeyes

Iowa Hawkeyes +21.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 06:30

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Baltimore Ravens

24:18

Tennessee Titans

Tennessee Titans to win

Singleposted 3 Oct, 06:30

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 20:15

South Carolina Gamecocks

34:35

Kentucky Wildcats

Kentucky Wildcats +7.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 06:30

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 23:00

TCU Horned Frogs

10:17

BYU Cougars

BYU Cougars to win

Singleposted 3 Oct, 06:30

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 20:05

Minnesota Vikings

15:10

Miami Dolphins

Miami Dolphins −6.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 06:30

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 23:30

Colorado Buffaloes

7:29

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Texas Tech Red Raiders to win

Singleposted 3 Oct, 06:30

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 23:30

USC Trojans

25:21

Washington Huskies

USC Trojans to win