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FootballNFL & NCAAFTennisBaseballHockey
Tipster index37.1#260 on the leaderboard
Hit rate
20.4%
expected 28.6%
Edge
−8.3 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 14.7%, the edge is within noise
Graded
108
22-84-2
ROI
−17.3%
on 70 picks with odds
Average odds
4.18
singles with odds
Form
streak L6

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-10-503 Aug18 Aug3 Sept18 Sept3 Oct

By sport

Football18-71-2 · 91 graded
−8.6
20%
NFL & NCAAF3-11 · 14 graded
−7.3
21%
Tennis0-2 · 2 graded
−39.2
0%
Hockey1-0 · 1 graded
+67.4
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Parlays4-54 · 58 graded
−16.7
7%
Match result12-22 · 34 graded
+0.4
35%
Handicap6-3-2 · 11 graded
+22.5
65%
Correct score0-3 · 3 graded
−6.3
0%
Totals0-1 · 1 graded
−42.0
0%
Double chance0-1 · 1 graded
−44.9
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 1 Oct, 16:00
odds 6.40Lost
FA Cup · FA Cup: Qualification·
Salisbury FC
5:0
Dulwich Hamlet
Dulwich Hamlet to win@6.40
Singleposted 1 Oct, 10:00
odds 2.90Lost
UEFA Nations League · League C: Group 1·
Finland
2:1
Albania
Albania to win@2.90
Parlay · 2posted 1 Oct, 10:00
odds 2.00Lost
League 2·
Rochdale
1:0
Swindon Town
Over 1.5@2.15✕
League 2·
Rochdale
1:0
Swindon Town
Ungraded market?
Parlay · 2posted 1 Oct, 04:00
odds 2.09Lost
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·
France
1:1
Italy
France to win@1.41✕
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·
Belgium
3:0
Turkiye
Belgium to win@1.48✓
Singleposted 27 Sept, 01:00
odds 2.55Push
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 2·
Northern Ireland
0:0
Hungary
Northern Ireland draw no bet@2.55
Parlay · 2posted 27 Sept, 01:00
Lost
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 2·
Northern Ireland
0:0
Hungary
Northern Ireland to win@2.65✕
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 2·
Northern Ireland
0:0
Hungary
Ungraded market?
Singleposted 26 Sept, 22:00
Void
MLB·
New York Yankees
void
Baltimore Orioles
New York Yankees to win
Singleposted 26 Sept, 19:00
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
27:35
Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas Raiders to win
Parlay · 2posted 26 Sept, 16:00
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Washington Commanders
33:31
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks −6.5✕
NFL · Regular Season·
Cleveland Browns
21:18
Carolina Panthers
Carolina Panthers −1.5✕
Singleposted 26 Sept, 13:00
odds 30.00Lost
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·
Norway
1:2
Portugal
Correct score 3:3@30.00
Parlay · 2posted 26 Sept, 13:00
odds 2.16Won
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 3·
Austria
3:1
Kosovo
Austria to win@1.54✓
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 2·
Serbia
1:2
Netherlands
Netherlands to win@1.40✓
Parlay · 13posted 25 Sept, 23:51
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Detroit Lions
31:24
New York Jets
Detroit Lions to win@1.34✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Pittsburgh Steelers
30:27
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals −2.5✕
NFL · Regular Season·
Dallas Cowboys
31:34
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens to win@1.55✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
16:23
Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings to win@1.82✓
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Giants
12:7
Tennessee Titans
New York Giants −2.5✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Chicago Bears
27:7
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles to win@1.42✕
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
36:30
Arizona Cardinals
San Francisco 49ers to win@1.24✓
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
27:35
Las Vegas Raiders
New Orleans Saints to win@1.55✕
NFL · Regular Season·
Cleveland Browns
21:18
Carolina Panthers
Carolina Panthers −2.5✕
NFL · Regular Season·
Buffalo Bills
24:16
Los Angeles Chargers
Buffalo Bills −5.5✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Washington Commanders
33:31
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks −5.5✕
NFL · Regular Season·
Miami Dolphins
10:24
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs to win@1.15✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Detroit Lions
31:24
New York Jets
Ungraded market?
Singleposted 23 Sept, 22:05
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Green Bay Packers
14:35
Atlanta Falcons
Green Bay Packers −7.5
Parlay · 6posted 23 Sept, 22:05
odds 11.46Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Detroit Lions
31:24
New York Jets
Detroit Lions to win@1.33✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Dallas Cowboys
31:34
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens to win@1.55✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Buffalo Bills
24:16
Los Angeles Chargers
Buffalo Bills to win@1.28✓
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
36:30
Arizona Cardinals
San Francisco 49ers to win@1.22✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Green Bay Packers
14:35
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons to win@3.15✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Miami Dolphins
10:24
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs to win@1.13✓
Singleposted 23 Sept, 01:45
odds 2.65Won
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 2·
Serbia
1:2
Greece
Greece −0.25@2.65
Parlay · 23posted 23 Sept, 01:45
Lost
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 2·
Georgia
0:1
Northern Ireland
Georgia or draw@1.26✕
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 3·
Kosovo
1:0
Ireland
Ungraded market@1.17?
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·
Portugal
1:0
Wales
Portugal to win@1.14✓
UEFA Nations League · League D: Group 2·
Liechtenstein
0:2
Lithuania
Lithuania to win@1.19✓
UEFA Nations League · League D: Group 1·
Andorra
1:2
Malta
Ungraded market@1.16?
Africa Cup of Nations Qualification · Qualification: Group C·
Ivory Coast
2:0
Ghana
Over 0.5@1.20✓
Africa Cup of Nations Qualification · Qualification: Group B·
Egypt
0:0
Angola
Over 0.5@1.13✕
Africa Cup of Nations Qualification · Qualification: Group F·
Burkina Faso
1:1
Benin
Burkina Faso draw no bet@1.17↺
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·
Turkiye
0:1
France
France or draw@1.14✓
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·
Norway
3:2
Denmark
Over 0.5@1.15✓
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 2·
Netherlands
1:1
Germany
Over 2.5@1.52✕
UEFA Nations League · League C: Group 2·
Montenegro
2:1
Cyprus
Montenegro or draw@1.21✓
Africa Cup of Nations Qualification · Qualification: Group E·
DR Congo
2:0
Equatorial Guinea
DR Congo draw no bet@1.16✓
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·
Italy
0:2
Belgium
Ungraded market@1.64?
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 2·
Serbia
1:2
Greece
Ungraded market@1.19?
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 2·
Hungary
0:1
Ukraine
Ungraded market@1.13?
Africa Cup of Nations Qualification · Qualification: Group B·
Malawi
2:1
South Sudan
Malawi draw no bet@1.14✓
Africa Cup of Nations Qualification · Qualification: Group G·
Cameroon
3:1
Comoros
Cameroon to win@1.18✓
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 4·
Sweden
2:1
Romania
Sweden or draw@1.16✓
Africa Cup of Nations Qualification · Qualification: Group A·
Morocco
2:0
Gabon
Morocco to win@1.28✓
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 3·
Austria
3:1
Israel
Austria to win@1.23✓
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 4·
Poland
0:0
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Poland or draw@1.20✓
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 2·
Georgia
0:1
Northern Ireland
Ungraded market?
Parlay · 2posted 22 Sept, 00:32
Lost
ATP 250 · Chengdu Open·
Sebastian Baez
0:2
Jenson Brooksby
Sebastian Baez to win@2.10✕
ATP 250 · Chengdu Open·
Sebastian Baez
0:2
Jenson Brooksby
Ungraded market?
Singleposted 16 Sept, 22:49
odds 2.27Lost
Premier League·
Brentford
3:0
Chelsea
Chelsea to win@2.27
Parlay · 11posted 16 Sept, 22:49
odds 2.00Lost
Premier League·
Brentford
3:0
Chelsea
Over 2@1.19✓
2. Bundesliga·
Wolfsburg
5:1
Darmstadt
Over 2.75@1.55✓
Bundesliga·
Eintracht Frankfurt
2:2
Freiburg
Over 2@1.19✓
Bundesliga·
Werder Bremen
3:2
Augsburg
Over 2.25@1.31✓
Bundesliga·
VfB Stuttgart
0:1
Borussia Dortmund
Ungraded market@1.37?
Eredivisie·
FC Groningen
3:0
PEC Zwolle
Over 2.75@1.51✓
Bundesliga·
Borussia M'gladbach
3:4
Mainz 05
Over 1.75@1.19✓
Bundesliga·
Bayern Munich
7:0
Union Berlin
Over 2.5@1.26✓
2. Bundesliga·
Kaiserslautern
1:0
Eintracht Braunschweig
Over 2.75@1.73✕
LaLiga·
Athletic Club
0:0
Deportivo Alaves
Over 1.25@1.20✕
Premier League·
Brentford
3:0
Chelsea
Ungraded market?
Singleposted 15 Sept, 08:13
odds 2.06Won
Europa League · League Stage·
Anderlecht
1:2
Lyon
Lyon to win@2.06
Parlay · 11posted 15 Sept, 08:13
odds 2.00Lost
Europa League · League Stage·
Sturm Graz
0:0
Rennes
Rennes to win@1.96✕
Europa League · League Stage·
Anderlecht
1:2
Lyon
Over 0.5@1.17✓
Europa League · League Stage·
OFI Crete
2:0
Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim to win@1.41✕
Europa League · League Stage·
Viktoria Plzen
0:3
Union St.Gilloise
Union St.Gilloise or draw@1.50✓
Europa League · League Stage·
Sunderland
1:0
AZ Alkmaar
Ungraded market@1.74?
Europa League · League Stage·
AC Milan
0:2
Benfica
Ungraded market@1.60?
Europa League · League Stage·
Beşiktaş
4:1
Marseille
Beşiktaş to win@1.83✓
Europa League · League Stage·
Juventus
5:0
NEC Nijmegen
Juventus to win@1.24✓
Europa League · League Stage·
Bayer Leverkusen
2:0
NK Celje
Bayer Leverkusen to win@1.17✓
Europa League · League Stage·
Omonia Nicosia
1:0
Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo or draw@1.26✕
Europa League · League Stage·
Sturm Graz
0:0
Rennes
Ungraded market?
Singleposted 14 Sept, 13:21
odds 2.60Lost
EFL Cup · EFL Cup: Round 3·
Peterborough United
3:3
Barnsley
penalties
Barnsley to win@2.60
Parlay · 4posted 14 Sept, 13:21
odds 2.00Lost
LaLiga·
Elche
2:3
Real Madrid
Real Madrid to win@1.27✓
LaLiga·
Deportivo Alaves
0:1
Valencia
Deportivo Alaves to win@1.87✕
LaLiga·
Deportivo A Coruna
0:1
Sevilla
Deportivo A Coruna to win@2.48✕
LaLiga·
Elche
2:3
Real Madrid
Ungraded market?
Parlay · 2posted 12 Sept, 03:26
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Cincinnati Bengals
33:27
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Under 27.5✕
NFL · Regular Season·
Cincinnati Bengals
33:27
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Ungraded market?
Singleposted 11 Sept, 08:11
odds 3.35Lost
Bundesliga·
SCR Altach
1:2
Grazer AK
Draw@3.35
Parlay · 11posted 11 Sept, 08:11
odds 2.00Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Philadelphia Eagles
24:22
Washington Commanders
Philadelphia Eagles to win@1.40✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Jacksonville Jaguars
34:10
Cleveland Browns
Jacksonville Jaguars to win@1.21✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Pittsburgh Steelers
20:13
Atlanta Falcons
Pittsburgh Steelers to win@1.42✓
Premier League·
Liverpool
0:0
Fulham
Liverpool to win@1.44✕
NFL · Regular Season·
Indianapolis Colts
23:41
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens to win@1.54✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Carolina Panthers
37:59
Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears to win@1.57✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Houston Texans
31:36
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo Bills to win@1.81✓
Premier League·
Chelsea
2:2
Hull City
Chelsea to win@1.23✕
NFL · Regular Season·
Minnesota Vikings
39:22
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers to win@2.01✕
NFL · Regular Season·
Detroit Lions
31:30
New Orleans Saints
Detroit Lions to win@1.30✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Philadelphia Eagles
24:22
Washington Commanders
Ungraded market?
Parlay · 2posted 9 Sept, 03:00
Lost
Champions League · League Stage·
Fenerbahçe
1:1
AS Roma
AS Roma to win@2.24✕
Champions League · League Stage·
Fenerbahçe
1:1
AS Roma
Ungraded market?
Singleposted 8 Sept, 16:51
odds 2.75Lost
MLS·
Chicago Fire
1:1
Inter Miami CF
Inter Miami CF to win@2.75
Singleposted 8 Sept, 01:15
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Seattle Seahawks
13:10
New England Patriots
New England Patriots to win
Parlay · 4posted 8 Sept, 01:15
Lost
Champions League · League Stage·
Manchester United
4:0
Sabah FK
Ungraded market@1.70?
NFL · Regular Season·
Seattle Seahawks
13:10
New England Patriots
Seattle Seahawks to win@1.53✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Rams
7:27
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams to win@1.50✕
Champions League · League Stage·
Manchester United
4:0
Sabah FK
Ungraded market?