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Sharp Picks Daily

@sharppickdaily69 followers

Sports analysis. Daily picks across MLB, NHL, NBA. 114-86 on the season. Not advice.

BaseballNFL & NCAAF
Tipster index47.6#181 on the leaderboard
Hit rate
44.4%
expected 49.7%
Edge
−5.2 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 21.9%, the edge is within noise
Graded
10
4-5-1
ROI
−10.4%
on 4 picks with odds
Average odds
1.91
singles with odds
Form
streak L3

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-0.500.51 Aug18 Aug3 Sept20 Sept7 Oct

By sport

Baseball2-4 · 6 graded
−14.3
33%
NFL & NCAAF2-1-1 · 4 graded
+12.9
67%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap2-2-1 · 5 graded
−2.8
50%
Match result2-2 · 4 graded
−0.2
50%
Totals0-1 · 1 graded
−35.0
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 6 Oct, 13:53
odds 2.16Lost
MLB · post-season·
San Diego Padres
4:3
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers to win@2.16
Singleposted 5 Oct, 13:52
Lost
MLB · post-season·
Tampa Bay Rays
5:2
New York Yankees
Under 6.5
Singleposted 4 Oct, 13:50
Push
NFL · Regular Season·
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
14:17
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers −3
Singleposted 26 Sept, 15:25
odds 1.91Lost
MLB·
Chicago White Sox
6:9
Colorado Rockies
Chicago White Sox −1.5@1.91
Singleposted 26 Sept, 15:25
odds 1.87Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Michigan Wolverines
19:20
Iowa Hawkeyes
Iowa Hawkeyes +5.5@1.87
Singleposted 14 Sept, 12:46
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Kansas City Chiefs
31:10
Denver Broncos
Denver Broncos +2.5
Singleposted 9 Sept, 15:17
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Seattle Seahawks
13:10
New England Patriots
New England Patriots +3.5
Singleposted 22 Aug, 16:09
Lost
MLB·
Baltimore Orioles
3:2
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays to win
Singleposted 22 Aug, 16:09
Won
MLB·
Arizona Diamondbacks
5:11
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds to win
Singleposted 2 Aug, 16:08
odds 1.71Won
MLB·
Baltimore Orioles
0:8
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies to win@1.71