Won
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 3·
Ireland
1:1
IsraelDraw
Hit rate
58.6%
expected 48.0%
Edge
+10.6 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 43.5%, the edge is within noise
Graded
29
17-12
ROI
+1900.0%
on 1 picks with odds
Average odds
-
singles with odds
Form
streak W1
Wins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
Football17-12 · 29 graded
+10.659%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Match result6-6 · 12 graded
+19.650%
Both teams to score4-3 · 7 graded
−1.657%
Totals3-2 · 5 graded
−19.860%
Double chance2-1 · 3 graded
−3.867%
Parlays2-0 · 2 graded
+96.9100%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By league
- Club Friendlies3-260%+17.8
- UEFA Nations League3-260%−2.7
- Premier League · England3-175%+18.7
- LaLiga · Spain1-233%−13.3
- Champions League3-0100%+38.0
- Ligue 1 · France1-150%+7.0
- Championship · England1-150%+11.1
- Primeira Liga · Portugal0-10%−70.3
- Eredivisie · Netherlands0-10%−58.8
- Copa do Brasil · Brazil0-10%−19.0
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Picks
IsraelLost
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·
Wales
0:1
DenmarkOver 1.5
Won
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 4·
Poland
0:0
Bosnia and HerzegovinaPoland or draw
Won
UEFA Nations League · League C: Group 2·
Montenegro
2:1
CyprusMontenegro or draw
Lost
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 2·
Georgia
0:1
Northern IrelandGeorgia or draw
Lost
LaLiga·
Getafe
1:0
MalagaDraw
Lost
Premier League·
AFC Bournemouth
0:1
LiverpoolBoth teams to score: yes
Won
LaLiga·
Atletico Madrid
2:1
Real MadridBoth teams to score: yes
Won
Premier League·
Fulham
1:1
Manchester UnitedBoth teams to score: yes
Lost
Ligue 1·
Nice
2:1
LilleDraw
Lost
Primeira Liga·
FC Porto
3:1
BenficaUnder 3.5
Lost
Eredivisie·
PEC Zwolle
0:7
FeyenoordBoth teams to score: yes
Won
Ligue 1·
Brest
0:1
Paris Saint-GermainParis Saint-Germain to win
odds 20.00Won
Eredivisie·
Fortuna Sittard
1:5
AjaxBoth teams to score: yes✓
Premier League·
Sunderland
0:2
ArsenalArsenal or draw✓
Bundesliga·
Hoffenheim
2:1
VfB StuttgartOver 2.5✓
Won
Champions League · League Stage·
Bayern Munich
5:0
Bodoe/GlimtBayern Munich to win
Won
Champions League · League Stage·
Manchester United
4:0
Sabah FKManchester United to win
Won
Champions League · League Stage·
Liverpool
2:1
Atletico MadridOver 1.5
odds 50.00Won
Champions League · League Stage·
Real Madrid
2:1
InterBoth teams to score: yes✓
Champions League · League Stage·
Liverpool
2:1
Atletico MadridBoth teams to score: yes✓
Won
Premier League·
Ipswich Town
0:2
LiverpoolOver 1.5
Lost
LaLiga·
Real Betis
1:0
Real MadridBoth teams to score: yes
Won
Championship·
Burnley
1:1
MiddlesbroughBoth teams to score: yes
Lost
Championship·
QPR
2:1
Cardiff CityDraw
Won
Premier League·
Newcastle United
2:2
LiverpoolDraw
Lost
Club Friendlies · Featured Club Friendlies·
Mallorca
3:0
Paris Saint-GermainDraw
Won
Club Friendlies · Featured Club Friendlies·
Arsenal
1:3
Real BetisBoth teams to score: yes
Lost
Club Friendlies · Club Friendlies 2026·
Sassuolo
1:4
Celta VigoDraw
Lost
Brazil · Copa do Brasil·
Fluminense
1:3
Vasco da GamaDraw
Won
Club Friendlies · Club Friendlies 2026·
Galatasaray
3:3
RennesOver 1.5
Won
Club Friendlies · Club Friendlies 2026·
Galatasaray
3:3
RennesDraw